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Inside the Prediction Markets: Interactive Brokers Adds Prediction Markets as ETF Plans Stall
This week, Interactive Brokers integrated contracts from Kalshi, CME Group, and ForecastEx into a single trading platform for retail and institutional clients. At the same time, the SEC slowed down a wave of prediction market ETFs, while the CFTC eased reporting requirements for operators.
Here’s what mattered this week. Interactive Brokers Brings Prediction Markets Into Its Trading Stack
On May 14, Interactive Brokers launched a prediction markets platform combining contracts from Kalshi, CME Group, and its own ForecastEx exchange.
The system allows retail and institutional clients to trade contracts tied to economics, climate, and political events from a single interface, with pricing displayed across venues side by side.Kalshi x Interactive Brokers One of the largest brokers in the world. Casual, sophisticated, and institutional investors can now trade the future. All in one place. pic.twitter.com/yM2S4mksU9— Kalshi (@Kalshi) May 14, 2026
The move pushes prediction markets deeper into traditional brokerage infrastructure. Rather than operating as standalone platforms, event contracts are increasingly being integrated alongside existing trading products and execution systems.Interactive Brokers said sports and entertainment contracts are not part of the initial rollout.
Kalshi Extends Its Lead as Polymarket Volume Slips
Polymarket’s trading activity declined in April for the first time in eight months, while Kalshi continued to gain ground in the U.S. market.According to Dune Analytics data compiled by @datadashboards, Polymarket’s monthly notional volume fell about 9% to $10.3 billion. Over the same period, Kalshi’s volume rose 13% to $14.8 billion.
Polymarket attributed the slowdown to a major infrastructure overhaul rolled out at the end of April after months of trading delays, failed transactions, and postponed product releases. The platform also introduced trading fees across most markets in late March, a change that may have contributed to lower activity.
A company spokesperson told Bloomberg that the upgrade is intended to improve execution speed and reliability. “Over the coming weeks, we are shipping a series of updates that will make trading faster and smoother than ever — reducing delays and delivering the biggest speed improvement in Polymarket’s history,” the spokesperson said.
Meanwhile, Kalshi’s institutional expansion has continued to accelerate following its $1 billion funding round earlier this month.CFTC Eases Reporting Requirements for Prediction Markets
On May 13, the CFTC issued a no-action letter relieving prediction market operators from certain swap data reporting requirements tied to fully collateralized event contracts.
Previously, companies had to seek this relief individually. The new letter creates a single framework that other operators can join.
The change lowers compliance costs for prediction market platforms and gives the industry a more standardized regulatory setup while broader rulemaking is still being developed.SEC Slows Down Prediction Market ETFs
The SEC delayed the launch of 24 prediction market ETFs this week, pausing products filed by Roundhill Investments, Bitwise, and GraniteShares.
The funds would have given retail investors exposure to event contracts tied to elections, economic data, and other real-world outcomes through a standard ETF structure. Under SEC rules, the filings were approaching automatic approval deadlines before the agency intervened.
ETF analysts said the delay was likely procedural rather than a rejection, comparing it to the early regulatory path of spot bitcoin ETFs. But the SEC’s hesitation reflects broader concerns around market manipulation, insider trading, and whether prediction market infrastructure is mature enough for mainstream investment products.
The delay matters because prediction markets are already moving toward institutional finance.Quote of the WeekOn May 12, CFTC Chairman Michael Selig gave a rare interview to Axios in which he drew a direct line between prediction markets and financial derivatives — and away from sports betting. Selig is the sole current member of the typically five-member commission, appointed by Trump, and his classification of these products as financial instruments carries direct regulatory weight."They represent different frameworks. Standard sportsbooks and casinos provide entertainment and possess considerable power to exclude winners. In derivative markets, that is not permissible. If you keep winning? Fantastic. You retain your profits. What we are witnessing is a distinction between markets and entertainment."
Bottom Line
This week showed prediction markets moving closer to the structure of traditional financial markets.
Interactive Brokers integrated event contracts into its brokerage infrastructure. The CFTC reduced reporting friction for operators. ETF issuers moved closer to bringing prediction markets into retail investment accounts, even as the SEC slowed the process down for additional review.
At the same time, the debate over what these products actually are remains unresolved. Industry participants continue to frame prediction markets as financial derivatives tied to hedging and price discovery. Critics still view them as gambling products operating under a financial label.
The infrastructure is moving faster than the classification debate around it.
This article was written by Tanya Chepkova at www.financemagnates.com.
YEP Accelerator opens Silicon Valley program to help Ukrainian startups scale into the US
Today YEP Accelerator announced that it is opening a new office in California and launching an international track for growth-stage Ukrainian startups looking to enter the US market.
The new track is designed for Ukrainian startups that already have a live product, paying customers, and ambitions to scale in the US.
Unlike traditional accelerator programs, this program focuses on hands-on market-entry preparation rather than theory. The San Francisco residency includes a five-week immersion into the local startup ecosystem.
Founders will live and work together through a coliving and coworking setup designed to help them stay fully focused on growth, fundraising, and networking.
Participants get access to major tech events, including San Francisco Tech Week. At a final Demo Day, startups will pitch for access to up to $1.8 million in potential investment from partner venture funds, including u.ventures, ZAS Ventures, Geek Ventures, Angel One Fund, Vesna Capital, Green Flag Ventures, Network VC, Dnipro VC, and Flyer One Ventures.
The European startup ecosystem has increasingly focused on building stronger international support networks for founders expanding abroad. It joins initiatives such as the European Startup Embassy, a shared landing pad and community hub for startups and VCs from Central and Eastern Europe expanding into the US, and Entrepreneur First, which has also created The Bridge for startups operating in Silicon Valley. The program is open to startups that:
Have a product on the market and paying customers.
Operate in B2B SaaS or other scalable business models.
Are planning to enter the US market within the next 12 months.
Are preparing to raise venture funding in Silicon Valley.
Throughout the program, founders will work on:
Building a US sales pipeline;
Developing a scalable go-to-market strategy;
Expanding their network in Silicon Valley;
Preparing for meetings with potential customers and investors.
The YEP acceleration program is supported by the Ukraine-Moldova American Enterprise Fund, which invests in building a competitive economy and creating strong, sustainable business opportunities across the region.
The program is also implemented with support from the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development as part of its Star Venture Programme in Ukraine, funded by Switzerland through the EBRD Small Business Impact Fund. YEP’s broader development and acceleration capacity expansion are additionally backed through the same initiative, supported by an international group of fund donors including Ireland, Italy, Japan, Korea, Luxembourg, Norway, Sweden, Switzerland, the Taiwan Business–EBRD Technical Cooperation Fund, the United Kingdom, and the United States. Applications are open through May 31.
Atos and Backbase to Support AI-Native Banking in Regulated Markets
Atos and Backbase have formed a new partnership to support banks moving AI from pilots into regulated digital banking environments.
The collaboration covers international markets including Africa, Asia Pacific, the Middle East, Portugal, Spain, Southeast Europe, Switzerland and Turkey.
It will support financial institutions modernising digital banking systems while managing data controls, resilience and regulatory requirements.
Atos and Backbase will work together on opportunity development, professional services, delivery support, training and joint go-to-market activities.
The partnership combines Backbase’s AI-Native Banking OS with Atos’ expertise in systems integration, sovereign cloud, cybersecurity, AI transformation and large-scale service delivery.
Daniele Principato
Daniele Principato, Head of International Markets at Atos, said,
“This agreement with Backbase reflects our commitment to helping financial institutions in International Markets harness the power of AI in a secure and scalable way.
The demand for resilient and future-ready banking platforms continues to grow across all our markets and by combining our global expertise with strong partners and our regional leadership, we are well positioned to support our clients in navigating transformation with confidence and control.”
Ricardo Ribelles
Ricardo Ribelles, Global VP Partnerships and Alliances at Backbase, said,
“Atos brings the sovereign cloud infrastructure, integration depth, and regional reach that banks in these markets need.
Together we close the gap between a bank’s AI ambitions and the reality of running those capabilities at scale – inside a governed, compliant architecture that meets local data sovereignty requirements.”
The agreement reinforces Atos’ work with financial services firms on secure cloud and digital transformation, while drawing on Backbase’s banking and agentic technology expertise.
Featured image: Edited by Fintech News Singapore, based on image by Frolopiaton Palm via Magnific
The post Atos and Backbase to Support AI-Native Banking in Regulated Markets appeared first on Fintech Singapore.
Deutsche Bank Backs Elliptic in US$120M Round to Scale Crypto Compliance Tools
Blockchain analytics company Elliptic has secured US$120 million in a Series D funding round to scale its compliance platform as traditional financial institutions increase their exposure to digital assets.
Growth equity firm One Peak led the round, with participation from Nasdaq Ventures, Deutsche Bank, and the British Business Bank.
The investment brings the company’s valuation to $670 million.
Elliptic will use the new capital to expand its enterprise-grade analytics tools for banks, government agencies, and cryptocurrency platforms.
The funding arrives as regulated institutions begin transacting more frequently on digital asset networks, deepening their integration with tokenised assets.
Stablecoins processed US$33 trillion in transaction volume in 2025.
This rising volume has turned real-time crypto compliance monitoring into an operational necessity for exchanges and payment firms.
Sabih Behzad
“The sustainable growth of digital assets depends on strong, institutional-grade risk and compliance foundations,”
said Sabih Behzad, Global Head of Digital Assets and Currencies Transformation at Deutsche Bank.
“Our investment in Elliptic reflects our focus on strengthening these foundations,”
Behzad added.
Deutsche Bank has been actively building its digital asset capabilities, including a partnership with Swiss fintech Taurus to establish digital asset custody.
Elliptic screens over one billion transactions weekly across more than 65 blockchains. The company says two-thirds of global crypto trading volume is transacted on exchanges that already use its systems.
In 2025, the company launched an AI system designed to automate compliance investigations and reduce costs.
The architecture relies on a proprietary dataset built over 13 years of continuous entity labelling.
Simone Maini
“Financial systems are being rebuilt on-chain,”
said Simone Maini, CEO of Elliptic.
“The institutions leading that transition need an analytics partner that matches their scale, their sophistication, and their ambition.”
Featured image credit: Edited by Fintech News Switzerland, based on image by Markus Winkler via Unsplash
The post Deutsche Bank Backs Elliptic in US$120M Round to Scale Crypto Compliance Tools appeared first on Fintech Schweiz Digital Finance News - FintechNewsCH.
AI Deception Targets Fintech Wealth Protection
Scammers use AI-driven deception to trick people out of their money and family assets. These attacks have grown more precise and hard to spot. Fintech firms push for better defenses to protect users.
Table of Contents
Key Facts
Simple Breakdown
Why This Matters
What's Next
Key Facts
Digital predators shifted from simple tricks to AI-powered tactics like deepfakes and voice cloning.
A recent Finextra report notes a rise in scams targeting wealth transfers and inheritance processes.
AI Tools make fake calls and videos that fool even bank verification systems.
Victims lost millions last year to these advanced frauds in the US and UK.
Fintech security now focuses on multi-layer checks beyond passwords.
Simple Breakdown
AI-driven deception means bad actors use artificial intelligence to create realistic fakes. Think deepfake videos where someone looks and sounds just like your bank advisor asking for account details. Or AI-generated emails that mimic your lawyer discussing inheritance.
These scams work because AI learns from real data to copy voices, faces, and writing styles. No more bad grammar or obvious errors – attacks feel real. In fintech, this hits payments, loans, and asset management hard. Banks use basic ID checks, but AI beats them unless updated.
For everyday users, it starts with a call from ‘your son’ needing urgent funds. AI clones the voice perfectly. Result: quick wire transfers before doubt sets in.
Why This Matters
This shift affects everyone using digital finance. Families lose savings meant for kids or grandkids. Trust in apps and banks drops when scams succeed.
In the US and Europe, regulators push fintechs to add AI detection. Small losses add up to billions yearly. Users face stress from frozen accounts during probes.
Businesses see higher fraud costs, passed to fees. Open Banking speeds payments but opens doors to AI tricks. Real impact: slower services while firms catch up.
What's Next
Fintech will roll out AI vs. AI tools – defenses that spot fakes in real time. Expect voice biometrics with liveness checks and device behavior scans.
Regulators in UK and EU may require zero-trust models for high-value transfers. Banks team up for shared scam databases. Users get simple apps to verify calls.
By late 2026, most platforms could block 90% of these attacks with better tech.
⚡ Key Takeaways
AI scams use deepfakes to mimic trusted contacts.
Target areas include money transfers and legacy planning.
Old security like passwords fails against smart AI.
Multi-factor checks with AI detection offer better safety.
Users must confirm big requests via trusted channels.
Fintech firms invest in real-time fraud blocks.
Stay updated on new scam patterns via reliable sources.
FAQ
What is AI-driven deception?
It uses AI to make fake videos, voices, or messages that seem real to steal money or data.
How do these scams hit fintech users?
Scammers pose as bank staff or family to approve fake payments or change account details.
What steps protect my wealth?
Use app callbacks for verification, avoid urgent transfers, and enable all security alerts.
Will banks fix this soon?
Yes, many add AI shields and biometrics; full rollout expected in months.
Conclusion
Fintech security adapts to match AI threats. Users play a key role by staying cautious. Watch for updates to keep assets safe.
Sources
Finextra (2026-05-14)
American Banker (2026-05-14)
Reuters (2026-05-14)
Finovate Showcases Asian American and Pacific Islander Fintech Voices
We recently commemorated Asian American and Pacific Islander Heritage Month with a feature highlighting the Asian American and Pacific Islander fintech innovators that introduced their companies to our FinovateSpring 2026 audience.
Today, as part of our continued commemoration, we turn our attention—and our thanks—to the Asian American and Pacific Islander mainstage speakers and panelists who shared their insights and experiences with us at last week’s event in San Diego.
Theodora (Theo) Lau, Founder, Unconventional Ventures & Author
Theodora Lau is the founder of boutique consulting firm, Unconventional Ventures. She is a public speaker, an advisor, the author of Banking on (Artificial) Intelligence (2025), and co-author of The Metaverse Economy (2023) and Beyond Good (2021). Lau also hosts One Vision, a podcast on fintech and innovation.
At FinovateSpring this year, Lau participated in a number of executive briefings and power panels on AI in financial services.
Kristie Han, Principal, Canapi Ventures
Kristie Han is a Principal at Canapi Ventures, a venture capital firm investing in early to growth-stage software and fintech companies. Han brings a decade of experience investing in AI and software companies and leading Series B to pre-IPO opportunities across AI apps.
At FinovateSpring, Han participated in our power panel on the role of collaboration and co-creation in bank-fintech partnerships.
Kevin Lee, Chief Technology Officer & Key Pursuits Leader, NICE
Kevin Lee serves as Chief Technology Officer and Key Pursuits Leader at NICE, where he leads the company’s technology vision and its most strategic customer engagements by aligning platform capabilities, AI strategy, and architectural vision to deliver differentiated outcomes.
At FinovateSpring this year, he delivered a special address on AI agents in financial services.
Huyen Tran, VP of Innovations, U.S. Bank, and Founder, Elys Ventures
Huyen is a fintech product and strategy leader at U.S. Bank and founder of Elys Ventures, with two decades of experience building and scaling global digital platforms and financial services solutions. She is the founder of Elys Ventures, through which she invests in early-stage fintech and health tech companies with a product-driven investment approach.
This year at FinovateSpring, she participated in our Women in Fintech Briefing: How Can We All Make Sure We Are Moving the Needle?
Huong Tran, Founder and Managing Partner, 6igma Ventures
Huong Tran is the Founder & Managing Partner of 6igma Ventures, an early-stage venture fund focused on fintech infrastructure and applied AI platforms bridging Asia and the United States. She founded 6igma Ventures to connect high-growth Asian markets with the US technology ecosystem, investing in structural opportunities shaping the next generation of financial and technology infrastructure.
At FinovateSpring, Tran participated in our Impact+ Investor Power Panel for fintech startups.
Sherry Wu, Chief Technology Officer, University of Michigan Credit Union
Sherry Wu is the Chief Technology Officer (CTO) at the University of Michigan Credit Union (UMCU), where she aligns IT strategy with the credit union’s mission. With over 25 years of experience in IT leadership at IBM, Ford, and HPE, Wu also served on the board of People Driven CU and currently advises Algebrik AI and CU 2.0.
At FinovateSpring, she participated in our power panels on AI and how credit unions can thrive without big bank budgets.
Gary Fan, Chief Operating Officer, RBB
Gary Fan is the Chief Operating Officer of RBB, a publicly traded bank with over $4 billion in assets. As COO, Gary leads enterprise-wide growth initiatives, digital transformation, product and service innovation, and strategic M&A activity. He is also responsible for optimizing cross-functional operations and driving continuous business model evolution to stay ahead in a rapidly changing financial landscape.
This year at FinovateSpring, Fan participated in our panel discussion on the current challenges and opportunities facing community banks.
Photo by Ernests Vaga on Unsplash
The post Finovate Showcases Asian American and Pacific Islander Fintech Voices appeared first on Finovate.
SoftBank posts $46 billion gain at Vision Fund driven mainly by massive OpenAI bet
SoftBank booked a yearly gain of $46 billion at its Vision Fund driven in large part by the huge rise in value of its investment in OpenAI.
Apple’s new CEO, and why Elon Musk wants to buy Cursor for $60B
A new era is on the way for Apple as Tim Cook plans to step down from his CEO role in September, handing the reins to hardware chief John Ternus. Ternus may be inheriting one of the most durable businesses in tech, but he’s also stepping into a very different ecosystem than the one Cook spent decades shaping. The App […]
Could the Dogecoin Price Prediction Ceiling Explain Why DOGE Holders Are Moving Into Pepeto
The first spot DOGE ETF just started trading on Nasdaq, and the biggest meme coin in crypto still cannot break $0.10. Every Dogecoin price prediction model this year tops out between $0.13 and $0.22, and that range tells DOGE holders exactly how long they will wait for returns that barely change their position. Pepeto is […]
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