News from the economy, politics and the financial markets
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JPY: Political pressure weighs on currency – Commerzbank
The Japanese Yen has come under renewed pressure, with USD/JPY trading at 155.50. The lack of concrete follow-up to verbal interventions and political statements regarding a weak currency have contributed to this weakness.
Dow Jones futures rise on strong earnings from tech firms
Dow Jones futures rose 0.12% to around 49,580 in the European session on Tuesday, while S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures climbed 0.27% and 0.57% to near 7,020 and 26,000, respectively. Investors now look ahead to a busy earnings slate later in the day, including results from AMD, Pfizer, and Chipotle.
Gold adds to strong intraday gains; eyes $4,950 as Fed rate cut bets undermine USD
Gold (XAU/USD) rallies back closer to the $4,950 level during the first half of the European session on Tuesday amid some follow-through short-covering after two days of heavy liquidation.
GBPUSD: Modest gains as BoE meeting approaches – Scotiabank
The GBP is showing modest gains against the USD, outperforming G10 peers as markets prepare for the upcoming BoE meeting. Recent UK data has reduced expectations for easing, with a 25bps cut now priced in by June, note Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret from Scotiabank.
S&P 500 (SPX) approaches completion of Elliott Wave diagonal pattern [Video]
The S&P 500 (SPX) continues to advance as it works toward completing a diagonal Elliott Wave structure that began at the November 21, 2025 low. From that level, wave ((i)) pushed higher and ended at 6986.33. The market then entered wave ((ii)), which unfolded as a clear zigzag.
Crude Oil: Price forecasts raised amid geopolitical tensions – Rabobank
Rabobank's RaboResearch Team has raised its 2026 Brent forecasts to $64/bbl from $58.25/bbl due to geopolitical tensions. WTI is now expected to average $59.80/bbl, up from $54.60/bbl.
EUR/USD ticks up amid strong US economic data, easing tensions
The Euro (EUR) edges higher against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, trading at 1.1815 at the time of writing after bottoming at 1.1776 the previous day.
Pound Sterling trades mixed as focus shifts to BoE policy announcement
The Pound Sterling (GBP) shows a mixed performance against its major currency peers on Tuesday as traders shift their focus to the Bank of England’s (BoE) monetary policy announcement on Thursday.
Silver Price Forecasts: XAG/USD rises beyond $87.00 after a two-day selloff
Silver (XAG/USD) shows moderate gains on Tuesday, trading at $87.05 at the time of writing. The white metal found some footing after plummeting more than 30% in the previous two trading days, hitting one-month lows right below the $72.00 line.
USD/INR dives over 1% on US-India trade deal euphoria
The Indian Rupee (INR) gains sharply against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, following the confirmation of a long-awaited trade deal between the United States (US) and India the previous day. The USD/INR pair opens with a gap down to near 90.35, the lowest level seen in almost three weeks.
NZD/USD rebounds to near 0.6050 as US Dollar pares recent gains
NZD/USD recovers losses registered in the previous two consecutive sessions, trading around 0.6050 during the European hours on Tuesday. The pair rebounds as the US Dollar (USD) struggles after two days of gains.
Spain Unemployment Change came in at 30.392K, above forecasts (10.5K) in January
Spain Unemployment Change came in at 30.392K, above forecasts (10.5K) in January
Brazil Fipe's IPC Inflation dipped from previous 0.32% to 0.21% in January
Brazil Fipe's IPC Inflation dipped from previous 0.32% to 0.21% in January
USD: Positive outlook amid strong data – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank's Macro Strategy report highlights a positive outlook for the Dollar following strong economic data. The report notes that the ISM manufacturing index unexpectedly surged, contributing to rising optimism for 2026.
France Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (MoM) down to -0.4% in January from previous 0.1%
France Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (MoM) down to -0.4% in January from previous 0.1%
France Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (MoM) fell from previous 0.1% to -0.3% in January
France Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (MoM) fell from previous 0.1% to -0.3% in January
France Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (YoY) registered at 0.4%, below expectations (0.6%) in January
France Consumer Price Index (EU norm) (YoY) registered at 0.4%, below expectations (0.6%) in January
AUD: RBA hikes cash rate, inflation concerns persist – TD Securities
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) raised the target cash rate by 25bps to 3.85% in a unanimous decision, citing risks to inflation from excess demand and capacity constraints. The RBA's core inflation forecast was increased from 2.7% to 3.2% for 2026, indicating the likelihood of further action.
France Budget Balance rose from previous €-155.4B to €-124.7B in December
France Budget Balance rose from previous €-155.4B to €-124.7B in December
Ashland (ASH) reports Q1 earnings: What key metrics have to say
Ashland (ASH) reported $386 million in revenue for the quarter ended December 2025, representing a year-over-year decline of 4.7%. EPS of $0.26 for the same period compares to $0.28 a year ago.
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