It was a mixed day for the US equities with the Dow and S&P indices moving lower. The NASDAQ in the small-cap Russell 2000 moved marginally higher. For the Russell 2000, it traded intraday at a new record high, but closed about 4 point below its record high close reached last week.A snapshot of the closing levels shows: Dow industrial average is 179.03 points or -0.3% to47560.29.S&P index fell -6 .00 point or -0.09% to 6840.41NASDAQ index rose 30.58 points or 0.13% to 23576.49.Russell 2000 rose by .26 points or 0.21% to 2526.24. The all-time record high close comes in 2531.15 This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

Appreciated the opportunity to speak this morning with Ukrainian Prime Minister Yulia SvyrydenkoDiscussion highlighted Trumps commitment to lasting peace in Ukraine.Discussed treasuries sanctions on Lukoil and Rosneft. Earlier today, Zelenskyy spoke and said:Wants to discuss restoration of Ukraine as part of peace plan preparation with US. Is ready to hold elections US and European unity security during the process.If securities is guaranteed, would be held next 60 days and 90 days. Will is parliament to prepare legislative framework to make elections possible during martial lawMeanwhile Pres. Trump said he would give Zelenskyy "days" to respond to peace proposal. This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

Crude oil settles lower, slipping over 1% as sellers defend key technical resistance. 200-hour moving average caps the rally, reinforcing downside momentum. Swing-area support tested, raising the risk of further declines if broken.Crude oil futures finished the session at $58.25, a decline of $0.63 or -1.07%. The market briefly pushed higher early in the day, reaching a session peak of $59.17, before losing momentum and retreating into negative territory. On the downside, the contract touched an intraday low of $58.12, reflecting a notable shift in sentiment as traders faded the early strength.From a technical standpoint, today’s high stalled precisely at the 200-hour moving average, a level that continues to act as a firm ceiling and keep buyers on the defensive. Once crude failed at that resistance, sellers stepped in and drove the price lower, pushing it beneath the 61.8% retracement of the entire rise from the October 20 low at $50.49.The decline ultimately brought crude into a key swing-area support zone between $58.13 and $58.49, an area highlighted as pivotal in recent sessions. Price tested the lower boundary of this zone, and while buyers held the initial line, the structure remains fragile. A decisive move below this region would likely spark additional downside momentum and reinforce the broader bearish bias.The are now back at This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

Fresh remarks from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Breman highlight a continued emphasis on data dependency and policy flexibility as the economy evolves.• Important to look at all incoming data ahead of the next monetary policy meeting. • Will maintain a laser focus on the core mandate. • There is no preset course for monetary policy. • Keeping a close watch on key indicators, including inflation and GDP. • The RBNZ has achieved substantial progress toward delivering its mandated functions.Summary Interpretation:The comments reinforce a clear message: the RBNZ is committed to a fully data-dependent, flexible policy stance. With no predetermined path for interest rates, policymakers remain focused on monitoring inflation, GDP trends, and other economic signals before making further decisions. The emphasis on maintaining its core mandate, while acknowledging progress already achieved, suggests a balanced tone—neither hawkish nor dovish—but grounded in caution and responsiveness to evolving conditions.The NZDUSD is coming off its highs which took the price back above its 38.2% retracement of the move down from the July 1 high at 0.57835. Yesterday and today, the price moved above that target, but fell short of other target levels including the natural resistance and swing level at 0.5800, and the falling 100 day moving average at 0.58091. The high price today reached 0.5794, before rotating back to the downside. See earlier post here outlining the technical levels for the NZDUSD This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

USDINR slips below the 100-hour moving average, signaling early signs of weakening bullish momentum.Key support sits at the 89.7900 swing area, with sellers needing a break below to extend downside pressure.A move under the 200-hour moving average (89.7560) would mark a major shift, giving sellers clearer control for the first time since November 19.USDINR Slips as Momentum FadesThe USDINR is coming off the boil, slipping back below both the rising 100-hour moving average and a nearby trend line near the 90.00 level. The 100-hour MA itself has begun to tilt lower, now sitting near 89.9897, signaling a potential shift in short-term momentum. Breaking back beneath this moving average is an important first step in turning the bias more bearish—but sellers still have additional hurdles to clear.Key Support Zone Approaches: The 89.79 Swing AreaLooking at the hourly chart, the next critical level sits at the 89.7900 swing area, a zone highlighted in prior technical discussions. Today’s lows have stalled just ahead of that support, suggesting buyers are still willing to defend the area on initial tests.If sellers can push the price below 89.79, downside momentum would likely accelerate, flipping the market sentiment further toward bearish control.The 200-Hour Moving Average: A Major Decision PointThe next major target sits at the rising 200-hour moving average, currently near 89.7560 and inching closer to the swing-area support. The convergence of these two levels over the next 24 hours will create a technical inflection zone.A break below both the 89.79 swing area and the 200-hour MA would give sellers the clear go-ahead to extend the move lower. It would also mark a meaningful shift: the last time USDINR traded materially below its 200-hour MA was back on November 19. A move under this longer-term measure would be a strong signal that sellers have regained broader control.Bottom Line: Sellers Have an Opening—Now They Must Follow ThroughThe break back below the 100-hour MA is a step in the right direction for sellers, but the real test lies ahead.Below 89.79 = downside opens.Below the 200-hour MA = sellers take firmer control.Until price takes out these deeper levels, buyers still have room to hold the line. This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

The U.S. Treasury sold $39 billion of 10 year notes at a high yield of 4.175% WI level at the time of the auction 4.175%Tail 0.0 basis points versus 6 month average of 0.0 basis pointsBid to cover 2.55X vs 6 month average of2.51XDIrects 20.96% vs 6 month average of 20.5%Indirects 70.24% vs 6 month average of 69.5%Dealers 8.81% versus 6 month average of 10.0%AUCTION GRADE: C+/B-The 10 year note auction came in with a 0.0 basis point tail which is precisely the six-month average. The bid to cover was just marginally higher than the six-month average. The domestic the bidders were just above the six-month average while the in directs were also just above the six-month average. As a result the dealers were saddled with about 1.2% less than the norm.That was good enough for a C+/B- grade in my view.There is little reaction. However, in general, the 10 year yield is comfortably above the 4.0% level at 4.17%. Recall that toward the end of November, the yield reached a low of 3.962%. The current level is near the high levels going back to September 26 and is also near a swing area between 4.17% and 4.199%. Move above that area and we could see a further pop in yields. This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

European Indices End Mixed as Trading Winds DownThe major European stock indices closed the session mixed, with performance varying across the region. Germany’s DEU40 led to the upside, gaining 0.49% at 24,162.66, while France’s CAC40 lagged, falling 0.69% to 8,052.52. The UK’s FTSE 100 (UKX) hovered near unchanged levels, slipping just 0.03% to 9,642.00.Spain’s market data included duplicate readings for the IBEX 35, both showing the index up 0.13% at 16,734.49, confirming a modest gain on the day. Italy’s FTMIB also posted a respectable rise of 0.33%, closing at 43,574.51.U.S. stock indices are mixed as London and European traders call it a dayAs European traders head for the exits, U.S. equities are mixed in early trading.Dow Jones (DJI): 47,724.12, down 0.03%S&P 500 (SPX): 6,854.43, up 0.12%Nasdaq (IXIC): 23,588.28, up 0.18%The modest moves reflect a cautious tone ahead of today’s Treasury auction and lingering macro uncertainty.U.S. Treasury Yields head higher ahead of 10 year auctionThe U.S. Treasury market is showing small upward moves in yields across much of the curve:2-year: 3.6043% (+0.021 basis points)5-year: 3.7691% (+0.017 basis points)10-year: 4.1741% (unchanged)30 year 4.800%, (-1.5 basis points)Further out the curve, long-end yields dipped slightly, with the 20-year and 30-year down by 0.012 and 0.014 respectively.A key focal point today will be the U.S. Treasury’s auction of $39 billion in 10-year notes at 1:00 PM ET, which could influence yield direction and risk sentiment into the afternoon session.Commodities & Crypto: Silver Breaks Above $60 for the First Time EverThe commodities complex is uneven, with crude oil under pressure while precious metals surge.US Oil: $58.22, down 1.05%Gold: $4,206.095, up 0.37%Silver: $60.115 — up 3.40%, trading above $60 for the first time everBitcoin: $93,727, up 3.40%Silver’s breakout above the $60 mark marks a historic milestone, underscoring strong investment flows into precious metals as inflation hedges and volatility dampeners. This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

NZDUSD Rides Risk Momentum After Hawkish RBA DecisionThe NZDUSD is trading higher today, supported in part by strength in its sister currency, AUDUSD, which surged after the Reserve Bank of Australia delivered a more hawkish-leaning decision. While the overall tone is bullish, the upside move has not been a straight line. Early in the U.S. session, the pair dipped lower, but that pullback found strong support at the rising 100-hour moving average, currently near 0.57744.Holding above that moving average keeps the short-term bias tilted in favor of buyers, reinforcing the notion that the recent correction was a pause rather than a reversal.Key Fibonacci Level in Play: 38.2% Retracement as a BattlegroundAlso important today is the 38.2% retracement of the decline from the July high to the November low, which sits at 0.57835. The price has been oscillating around this level, signaling that the market is testing buyer conviction.For buyers to remain firmly in control, the ideal scenario is to stay above both the 100-hour moving average and the 38.2% retracement. Holding that dual support zone would keep bullish momentum intact and build the foundation for the next leg higher.Upside Roadmap: 0.5800 and the 100-Day Moving AverageIf NZDUSD remains supported above these key intraday levels, the next upside target lies at the 0.5800 handle—a swing high from October and a key pivot point extending back to August. A break above that level exposes the falling 100-day moving average at 0.5809.Notably, NZDUSD has not traded above its 100-day MA since mid-September. Reclaiming that longer-term moving average would mark a meaningful shift in trend and could unlock additional upside potential.Beyond that, traders will look toward the 50% midpoint of the broader July–November decline at 0.58476, a level that would serve as a natural technical magnet if bullish momentum accelerates.Bottom Line: Buyers Are Making a Move—Now They Must Defend ItBuyers have stepped in and are trying to carve out a more constructive bullish structure.Staying above the 100-hour moving average is the first requirement.Breaking and holding above the 100-day moving average strengthens the bullish bias significantly.If these conditions hold, the NZDUSD has room to extend higher into deeper retracement levels and reestablish a broader upward trajectory. This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

Government data releases are catching up following the 46-day shutdown.November CPI arrives December 18, while December CPI and real earnings will be released on January 13.January jobs report shifts to January 9, restoring a near-normal schedule for labor-market data.As the government works its way out of the 46-day shutdown, the economic data calendar is finally beginning to realign. The BLS will release the delayed November CPI report on December 18, and has now scheduled the December CPI for January 13. On that same day, the agency will publish real earnings for December, helping fill in the inflation-adjusted income picture.The U.S. Employment Situation report—normally released on the first Friday of each month—will instead arrive on Friday, January 9, roughly one week later than usual. That timing marks a return to a more typical rhythm for labor-market reporting, suggesting that at least the jobs calendar will be back on track as the backlog clears. This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

RBA holds rates but signals a hawkish shift, boosting expectations for a potential February rate hike if inflation stays elevated.AUDUSD breaks to multi-month highs, clearing key resistance at 0.6648 as bullish momentum accelerates after Governor Bullock’s comments.Next major upside targets sit at 0.66817–0.6706, with hourly support at the 100-hour moving average guiding short-term trend control.RBA Holds Rates but Signals a Hawkish TiltThe Reserve Bank of Australia left rates unchanged, as expected, but Governor Bullock’s comments leaned noticeably toward the possibility of a future rate hike. With the next meeting not until February—after the RBA’s summer break—markets are increasingly pricing in the risk of tightening if inflation fails to cool.AUDUSD Breaks Higher as Buyers Take ControlThat shift in tone helped propel AUDUSD to fresh highs, breaking above the cluster of swing highs from Friday, Monday, and earlier today at 0.6648. The clean break above that ceiling opens the door for additional upside momentum as buyers gain confidence.Key Technical Targets AheadOn the daily chart above, the next target zone sits between 0.66817 and 0.6706, an area defined by multiple swing highs stretching back to October 2024. The top of that zone—0.6706—also marks the 2024 yearly high posted in September. A move toward that region would confirm strengthening bullish control and keep the broader topside narrative intact.Technical Roadmap on the Hourly ChartDrilling down to the hourly chart below, the key ceiling comes in at 0.66488. That ceiling was defined by swing highs from Friday, Monday, and earlier today A break back below this level with momentum would shift the focus toward the rising 100-hour moving average, currently at 0.66235 (blue line on the chart below). Earlier today, the price briefly dipped under that moving average as markets digested the RBA decision, creating a short-lived liquidity air pocket. But once the more hawkish tone from Governor Bullock became clear, buyers quickly stepped back in and pushed the pair higher.For sellers to gain any meaningful control, they must drive the price back below the 100-hour moving average and hold it there. Without that break, the downside remains limited, and the sellers are simply not winning the battle. This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

Silver is on the run again with a gain of $1.50 or 2.57% and $59.64. The high price reached $59.74 so far.Price is testing a key topside trendline, connecting the October 5 high to this month’s highs.Next upside target: the 161.8% Fibonacci extension at $59.95.Break above $59.95 shifts focus to the 200% extension, with resistance up at $63.37.What are the technicals telling traders? A look at the daily chart.From a technical perspective, the daily chart shows the price pressing up against a key topside trendline drawn from the October 5 swing high through the highs reached earlier this month (see daily chart below). This trendline has acted as an important barrier, and today’s test will help determine whether buyers have the momentum to shift the broader structure toward a more aggressive upside breakout.Just above that trendline sits the 161.8% Fibonacci extension of the most recent corrective pullback from October, a level that comes in near $59.95. This zone represents the next meaningful hurdle for buyers and a classic area where traders often reassess risk and momentum. Should the market break through and hold above this extension, it opens the door to the next technical target: the 200% Fibonacci extension, which comes in significantly higher at $63.37.In short, the market is now testing a major resistance confluence—a trendline plus a key Fibonacci extension. A sustained push above this zone would signal that buyers are not just in control but accelerating, setting the stage for a move toward the higher $63s. Until then, the topside remains a battleground where momentum will either stall or ignite the next leg higher.Hourly Chart Analysis: Defining the RisksLooking at the hourly chart, the price action over the past week has repeatedly moved above and below the rising 100-hour moving average (the blue line). That pattern shows a market that has been consolidating but still respecting the broader upward bias. What stands out, however, is the behavior relative to the 200-hour moving average. Despite several dips, the price has not approached or tested that longer-term support level at all. When sellers can’t even push the market down to a key trend-defining moving average, it tells you something: buyers remain in control. Conversely, it would take a move back below those moving averages to give the sellers more control.The inability of sellers to generate deeper retracements keeps the 200-hour MA comfortably below the market and reinforces the idea that the downside has been limited. As a result, buyers have been able to maintain pressure and build toward a renewed push higher. Their willingness to hold the line above deeper support, combined with the rising slope of both moving averages, suggests momentum is shifting more firmly in their favor. With the broader trend structure intact, buyers are now making another run to the upside, and until the 200-hour MA is challenged, they retain a clear tactical advantage.UPDATE: SIlver reaches to $59.998 as the $60 barrier is tested and the 161.80% fib extension is tested /broken at $59.95. This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

Prior month 7.227MJOLTs job openings 7.670M vs 7.150M estimateOctober hires were little changed, holding at 5.1 million.The hire rate remained steady at 3.2%.No significant hiring shifts occurred across any major industriesIn October, total separations were little changed at 5.1 million and a 3.2% rate.Total separations fell in health care & social assistance (-111,000) and the federal government (-34,000).Quits in October were little changed at 2.9 million with a 1.8% rate.Quits were down 276,000 over the year.Quits decreased in:Accommodation & food services (-136,000)Health care & social assistance (-114,000)Federal government (-25,000)Federal government quits hit a series high of 46,000 in September.Quits increased in:Arts, entertainment & recreation (+38,000)Information (+21,000)Job openings moving higher is generally a positive sign for the labor market, suggesting that employers still want to hire. However, the quits rate falling to its lowest level since 2020 tells a different story. Quits typically rise when workers feel confident they can easily find another job; their decline signals anxiety and caution beneath the surface. This contrast highlights a job market that looks healthy on the demand side but shows waning worker confidence.The jobs picture to me is muddy. Initial jobless claims dropped below 200K last week, a level usually associated with strong labor conditions, though the Thanksgiving holiday makes the seasonal adjustment less reliable. Today’s ADP report also moved back into positive territory, reversing recent weakness from a negative monthly reading. Together, the data point to an uptick in employment. What will the Fed say tomorrow? The data point to hawkish cut. This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

Energy sector surges while tech hits resistance: A look into today's market dynamicsThe stock market presented a mixed yet intriguing picture today, with notable variation across sectors. While the energy sector soared based on robust performances, the technology sector confronted some challenges, reflecting diverse investor sentiments and wider economic influences.? Sector Overview:Energy: The energy sector has emerged as the standout performer, with Exxon Mobil (XOM) climbing an impressive +1.46% and Chevron (CVX) holding steady at +0.23%. A consistent rise in oil prices and demand has bolstered these giants, encouraging investor confidence.Technology: Despite being a historically strong sector, technology remains under pressure. Microsoft (MSFT) experienced a -0.20% decrease, and semiconductor leader Nvidia (NVDA) saw a decline of -0.67%. The prevailing mood suggests a cautious approach as investors digest recent tech earnings and anticipate potential interest rate changes.Healthcare: Fresh injections of optimism are lifting healthcare stocks. Lilly (LLY) posted a gain of +0.62% amid renewed faith in sector fundamentals.➖ Market Mood and Trends:Today's market environment reveals a cautious optimism among investors, spurred by energy strength and healthcare stability. However, the tech sector's struggles underscore persistent uncertainty related to economic policies and inflation. This dual sentiment may shape upcoming market movements and investor strategies.? Strategic Recommendations:Given current sector performances, investors should consider maintaining a diversified portfolio to hedge against volatility. Energy and healthcare sectors present promising opportunities, thanks to strong fundamentals and favorable market conditions. Conversely, while underperforming today, technology remains a key area to watch for long-term growth.For more insights and updates, visit InvestingLive.com and stay ahead of market trends.? This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.

The White House economic advisor Hassett is speaking and says:Plenty of room for the Fed to cut ratesSays that there is a play room to cut more than 25 basis points.Pres. Trump will make a choice but could change his mindSays that it's important for the Fed chair to look at data.Says that Treasury Secretary Bessette is at the top was for running the Fed, but he does not want the job.If Fed chair, would make decisions based on his judgment. Says Trump trusts that.Labor growth is a little slower than it has beenWhat’s particularly interesting right now is the intense focus on economic data. Critics such as Miran and Bessent argue that the current Federal Reserve is not forward-looking enough, saying policymakers should be anticipating economic shifts rather than reacting to them. In contrast, Kevin Hassett’s is now aligning more closely with the Fed’s existing framework—including the oft criticized Chair Jerome Powell, who repeatedly emphasizes that the Fed remains data-dependent in setting policy.Betting markets still support Hassett. On Polymarket, traders currently assign Hassett a 76% probability of becoming the next Fed leader—down from about 88% yesterday, but still firmly in the lead. Kevin Warsh, by comparison, sits at roughly 12%, suggesting market confidence remains strongly tilted toward Hassett despite recent volatility. This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

The USDCAD rebounds after sharp fall from the stronger jobs report last week.The USDCAD saw an aggressive move lower last Friday after Canada delivered a second straight month of stronger-than-expected employment gains. That upside surprise for the Canadian economy produced a decisive shift in sentiment and triggered a sharp downside push in the pair. In the process, the price broke below both the 100-day and 200-day moving averages at 1.3907 and 1.3886, marking a meaningful technical deterioration. Once below those key longer-term trend indicators, the selling accelerated, driving the pair through the 50% retracement of the entire May–June rally at 1.3839. Momentum ultimately carried the decline toward the 1.3800 psychological area, where the market printed a low at 1.37986 during yesterday’s North American session.REBOUND, but the bounce is limited. After that extended fall, the pair finally found some footing as the broader U.S. dollar strengthened on Monday, allowing USDCAD to rebound back above the 50% midpoint at 1.3839. However, the recovery showed clear signs of stalling. The rebound topped out near 1.3856 yesterday, and today’s high again struggled around that same zone—well ahead of the 38.2% retracement of last Thursday’s decline, which sits at 1.38657. That inability to even test, let alone break, the first major Fibonacci resistance level tells an important story: buyers lack conviction, and the upside simply does not have the momentum needed to challenge the dominant bearish shift.What next for traders?If the price can break and hold below 1.38657, the sellers retain the firm technical advantage. They forced the breakdown through key moving averages, they defended the first pullback, and they continue to dictate the terms of the battle. The buyers, by contrast, are not doing enough—failing to reclaim lost ground or generate any sustained push through resistance. For now, the burden remains squarely on the buyers to prove they can turn the tide. Until that happens, the risk and bias continue to tilt toward the downside. This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

Monthly ADP -32kLast weekly report -13.5K.The weekly 4-week average is 4.75KFrom ADP:For the four weeks ending November 22, 2025, U.S. private employers added an average of 4,750 jobs per week, according to the NER Pulse, a weekly update of the monthly ADP National Employment Report (NER). Three times a month, ADP Research publishes preliminary estimates of the week-over-week change in U.S. employment based on a four-week moving average. These estimates are based on ADP's finely tuned, high-frequency data. Data is seasonally adjusted and made available with a two-week lag.The report is a positive tilt for jobs after weakness seen recently including the monthly number released last week. The USD has moved higher after the report. This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

The USD is mostly little changed to start the North American session. Looking at the changes vs the USD, the.EURUSD, GBPUSD and USDCHF are all within a pip or so of unchanged on the day. The USDJPY is higher by 0.22% as the market continues its move to the upside after rebounding on Friday and Monday. That corrective move is continuing. The AUDUSD is higher (lower USD) by 0.22% after the RBA rate decision. In the video above, I kickstart the North American session with the technical look at the EURUSD, USDJPY and GBPUSD. What levels are in play and why for risk, targets. What are the main bias's going into the day?The AUDUSD is higher after the RBA kept rates unchanged with the RBA Governor Michele Bullock commenting that the Board did not explicitly consider a rate hike at the latest meeting but actively discussed scenarios in which tightening might be required, particularly if inflation proves persistent. She stressed caution with monthly CPI data and said upcoming inflation and labor-market releases—especially the quarterly inflation report—will be critical for the February meeting, the next opportunity after the RBA’s summer break. While she would not put a timeline or probability on future moves, Bullock emphasized that rate cuts are not on the horizon, downside risks have not abated, and upside inflation risks are now greater. The Board remains uncomfortable with current inflation levels and will react only to sustained data trends, not one-off numbers. Her comments put February “in play,” with markets viewing it as a potential staging point for signaling a possible March rate hike, now priced with roughly 45% probability. AUDUSD jumped on the remarks.Overnight, BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda said the Bank is watching market movements closely, particularly the rapid rise in long-term interest rates, and signaled that it stands ready to increase JGB purchases if yields move abruptly. He emphasized that real interest rates remain very low and reiterated that any adjustment to monetary easing will depend on economic and price trends aligning with the BoJ’s forecasts. Ueda noted growing confidence in the BoJ’s policy outlook, while continuing to gather information on companies’ wage intentions for next year. He added that Japan’s tightening labor market is putting upward pressure on wages and prices, and stressed that calibrating the degree of monetary policy is essential for maintaining financial-market stability and achieving price stability.He then added that he expects Japan’s economy to return to positive growth in Q4 and continue strengthening, supported by steady wage and price momentum and the stabilizing effects of automakers keeping export prices lower. He noted that real interest rates remain very low and stressed that the Bank will adjust the degree of monetary easing only if economic and price trends move in line with forecasts. Ueda highlighted that the outlook is gradually becoming more certain, but the BoJ is closely watching food inflation and yen weakness in case they alter inflation expectations. He also emphasized the need to monitor companies’ wage plans for next year and acknowledged that a tightening labor market is adding upward pressure on wages and prices. While he avoided commenting on specific rate moves, he said the Bank is paying close attention to the recent rapid rise in long-term yields and stands ready to increase JGB purchases if needed to counter abrupt moves. Ueda reiterated that exchange rates should follow fundamentals, and understanding how FX impacts the inflation outlook remains a “very important question” for policy.Ueda’s comments lean moderately hawkish, though not aggressively ahead of the December 19 rate decision. The US debt market is mixed to start the US session:2-year yield 3.583%, unchanged5 year yield 3.749%, -0.2 basis points10 year yield 4.164%, -0.8 basis points30 year yield 4.799%, -1.6 basis pointsThe snapshot of the US stock market shows little change Dow industrial average up 12.68 pointsS&P index up 4.49 pointsNASDAQ index down -2.2 pointsPres. Trump let XI know that Nvidia H200 chips would be available to China, but China may still limit the demand. Nvidia's Huang warned that if you limit the supply, they will move away from the use. That is what may be happening. In other markets:Crude oil is up $0.11 said $58.99Gold is up $16.97 or 0.41% at $4207.61Silver is up $0.70 or 1.21% and $58.85Bitcoin is little changed and $90,512The weekly ADP metrics will be released at 8:15 AM ET. The last weekly release showed a shedding of -13.5K. This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

In the lead-up to a major Federal Reserve decision, markets often display volatile behavior designed to shake out weak hands. Yesterday, Gold futures gave us a textbook example of this phenomenon around the psychological $4,200 level.Gold technical analysis: Were the bears just trapped? Seems so!In today's gold technical analysis video, I take a close look at the Gold futures 1-Hour chart, focusing on the price action since the contract rollover on November 26, 2025. What we see is a classic consolidation phase that resolved in a deceptive move, trapping bears before bulls regained the upper hand.The Setup: A Textbook "Shakeout" at $4,200Following the contract rollover, gold entered a period of consolidation. Yesterday, this range was broken with a sharp, temporary drop below the significant $4,200 round number.This move pushed price to a low of $4,197.80. Crucially, this level was near the previous lows from December 2nd and December 4th, an area rich with stop-loss orders from traders who were long. This action bears all the hallmarks of a "stop hunt" or "shakeout"—a move designed to trigger sell orders to provide liquidity for larger players to buy.The Reversal: Bulls Reclaim the Value AreaAs I demonstrate in the video below, the bearish breakdown was short-lived. Bulls stepped in aggressively, buying the dip and driving the price back up.The key confirmation came when price crossed back above the $4,214 level, reclaiming the previous consolidation's Value Area. This decisive move signaled that the brief dip below $4,200 was likely a trap and that control had shifted back to the buyers. The rally even extended to test the Volume Profile's Point of Control (POC), further cementing the bullish stance.Watch the full 1-Hour chart breakdown and identify the key levels in the video above.The Macro Catalyst: FOMC and the Path for 2026This technical recovery is happening against the backdrop of a critical Federal Reserve meeting tomorrow, Wednesday. The market consensus is currently leaning towards a quarter-point rate cut.Traders are looking beyond just this week's decision. The market is eager for guidance on the Fed's dot plot and economic projections for the end of 2026. Any changes in wording regarding the pace of future easing—or hints about who might succeed Jerome Powell as Fed Chair, with Kevin Hassett being a leading candidate—could trigger significant volatility.These factors will determine the broader "risk-on" or "risk-off" sentiment, which will likely dictate the next major directional move for gold.Key Takeaways & Next StepsThe $4,200 zone held: The fake-out below this level has created a strong foundation of support.Bulls are in control: Reclaiming the $4,214 value area invalidates the immediate bearish case.Fed is the trigger: Expect chopped price action until the FOMC statement releases tomorrow.For more in-depth technical analysis and additional perspectives on stocks, commodities, and crypto, be sure to return to investingLive.com.For real-time trade ideas and community discussion, join our free Telegram channel: investingLive Stocks.Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading futures and commodities involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.

Trump: May make tariff changes to lower some pricesUS November NFIB small business optimism index 99.0 vs 98.3 expectedChina set to limit access to Nvidia's H200 chips - FTECB's Nagel: AI offers tools to process vast datasets and can improve predictive accuracyThe JPY is free-falling again despite incoming BoJ rate hike and constant jawboningBoJ Governor Ueda: Believe the economy will go back to positive growth in Q4 and beyondGermany October trade balance €16.9 billion vs €15.6 billion expectedFX option expiries for 9 December 10am New York cutJapan PM Takaichi: Specifics of monetary policy up to BoJBoJ Governor Ueda: Certainty of BoJ's outlook materialising is increasing graduallyWhat are the main events for today?Japan PM Takaichi: Will take appropriate actions on FX if necessaryinvestingLive Asia-pacific market news wrap: RBA introduces a clear hawkish biasRBA's Bullock: If data suggests inflation not slowing, that will be considered in FebruaryThe most notable mover in the session was the Japanese Yen. The JPY continues to weaken across the board despite the incoming BoJ rate hike and constant jawboning from Japanese officials. Part of the problem could be that the BoJ waited far too long and it's now looking to deliver a cautious rate hike right when other major central banks are shifting to a hawkish stance.The market has also already priced in a rate hike this month and at very least another in 2026, so it's hard to see the BoJ outhawking the market pricing, leaving limited room for JPY appreciation on a hawkish repricing.We also got a report from Financial Times saying that Chinese regulators have been discussing ways to permit limited access to H200 chips. No final decision had been made yet though. For context, Trump yesterday announced that the US will allow Nvidia to sell H200 chips to China.US equity indices weakned a bit on the headline but recovered quickly as this news isn't new. In fact, China has been implementing restrictions on foreign AI chips like Nvidia, AMD and so on in state-funded data centers to boost domestic tech as they compete with the US.Lastly, Politico published an interview with Trump in which he said that he may consider changes to tariffs to lower prices. He also said that the willingness to lower interest rates would be a litmus test in the choice of a new Fed chair. Lowering tariffs further would be certainly bullish for the global economy but at this point it could also stoke inflation given that central banks responded to the negative shock from tariffs with lower interest rates. Therefore, it might be bullish in the short-term but if things get hot, central banks will be forced to tighten again, and that would be negative for risk assets. This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.

Artificial intelligence that sharpens your decision-making in the marketsFinancial service providers have been using algorithmic trading and automation tools for decades. Artificial intelligence (AI), with its capability to process large amounts of data and provide actionable insights, is likely to take trading to a whole new level. Although generative AI and LLMs are gaining attention, their use in real-world trading remains limited. Entering the arena in 2017, they rapidly permeated the trading space. According to the IMF, the share of AI content in trading technology patent applications versus algorithmic trading jumped from 19% in 2017 to over 50% in 2020. Further data shows that this percentage will likely continue to rise year-over-year beyond 2025. As innovation unfolds, market participants are also beginning to acknowledge the potential of AI applications to rebalance portfolios, increase liquidity, and change market structure in the long term. OneRoyal, a leader in the derivatives trading space, has announced the launch of AI trading tools. The initiative is not “fuelled by hype, but rather the result of consistent market research, and it reflects the high standards we set across every aspect of our business”, CMO Dominic Poynter highlighted.“The integration of AI tools is a strategic enhancement to our platform, and it underscores the company’s commitment to innovation, transparency, and superior client service,” Poynter continued.This is a significant upgrade and marks the materialisation of a strategic tech partnership between OneRoyal and leading technology provider Acuity Trading. By increasing the availability of AI trading tools, the broker positions itself at the forefront of the AI-led trading transformation. But what does this mean for traders? From trade automation to data-driven insights to reduce emotional bias, traders can unlock a host of exclusive features and advantages.The Latest in AI Trading ToolsTo further support traders’ decisions and strategies, OneRoyal’s upgraded platform integrates a range of AI-powered solutions, enabling high-efficiency, objective investment in global markets:SignalXTraders can improve decision-making by accessing real-time AI analytics to gain deeper insights into market trends and patterns. This solution features the ability to back-test trading strategies and customise market intelligence to individual styles and risk tolerances. Algorithmic signals expand traders’ data sources and minimise the chance of making emotional decisions.AssetIQThis centralised portfolio management system is a single, integrated platform for overseeing assets across a wide range of financial instruments. Featuring real-time updates, algorithmic signals, and analytics all in one place, AssetIQ improves decision-making and risk management with controls over trading parameters and alerts. Improved efficiency and more confident decisions are just two of the advantages it boasts, along with the ability to scale portfolio sizes from small to large. Action NewsThis features unique, AI-driven financial news insights, helping reveal new and alternative trading opportunities by analysing updates from a variety of sources, including articles, social media, and market-moving events. Action News predicts potential market movements based on news data and streamlines research so that traders spend less time going through hundreds of news pieces. In this way, it increases trading efficiency through informed decisions and data-driven choices. The CalendarPacked with a wide range of economic indicators, custom alerts, and historical data, the Calendar enhances timeliness, helping traders optimise their schedule. Its user-friendly interface and sophisticated AI system ensure improved planning with vital real-time updates on economic events. Market ScannerThe constant stream of market opportunities can make it difficult to decide on the best way forward. Market Scanner empowers traders to identify opportunities with key features such as:Data visualisation showing the impact of market-moving events on price chartsSummarising thousands of assets Highlighting key dataNews from trusted sourcesOpportunity snapshotsInsights on major eventsDaily IntelAn exclusive service, Daily Intel is delivered directly into client email inboxes. It features powerful information such as real-time market analysis, interactive charts and data, and expert insights on market trends. Combined, these daily updates can help enhance trading decisions. OneRoyal’s suite of AI tools is seamlessly integrated, enabling traders to connect their workflows and maximise efficiency across all aspects of their trading operations.Discover OneRoyalOneRoyal’s new website and expanding AI toolset demonstrate the company’s ongoing commitment to trustworthiness and technological adaptability. As a multi-licensed and experienced financial services provider since 2006, the company offers security, a wide range of instruments, and high-speed trading capabilities, all backed by expert support and a range of educational resources.With these enhancements, OneRoyal continues to evolve, empowering global traders in their goals to achieve better investment outcomes. This article was written by IL Contributors at investinglive.com.