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investingLive Americas market news wrap: Katayama talks tough as the yen plunges
Japan's Katayama: Alarmed over currency moves, will take appropriate actionCanada October retail sales -0.2% vs 0.0% expectedECB's Lane on why the ECB is cutting into a sticky-inflation slowing economyUS November existing home sales 4.13m vs 4.15m expectedDecember final UMich consumer sentiment 52.9 vs 53.4 expectedFed's Williams: CPI data had some distortions, may have been pushed down a bitFed's Waller had 'a strong interview' but the market isn't buying itMarkets:USD leads, JPY lagsGold up $6 to $4337WTI crude oil up 54-cents to $56.54US 10-year yields down 3.3 bps to 4.15%S&P 500 up 0.9%The US dollar made some modest headway against the rest of the FX market today bu the big movement was in the yen as USD/JPY rose 220 pips and EUR/JPY hit another record high. The jump started after an initial dip on the BOJ decision. It looks like sellers were hoping the hike would cool the pair and then when it didn't, it was off to the races. The move was large enough that it prompted some tough intervention talk from finance minister Katayama. That didn't little to stop it as a quick 40 pips dip was almost immediately bought. The bids continued right until the end of the day as the pair closed at the highs.In terms of news, the Canadian retail sales headline was soft but the advance number for November was strong at +1.2%. That led to some early USD/JPY selling down to 1.3760 but it reversed later and the pair finished near 1.3800 with the loonie among the laggards.Flows were dominant as we wind down the year so it's tough to draw any conclusions. In equities, it was quad witching and a record estimated $7.1 trillion opex. I thought that might lock up trading but there were some good gains. Eminis ultimately ended just below 6800, which would have been a natural options magnet. Nvidia was a leader along with some travel and chip memory names. Nike was a laggard falling 10% as tariffs eroded margins.Have a great weekend.
This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.
US stock markets finishes the week flat after gains on Thursday and Friday
It was a week in two parts as heavy selling hit markets to start the week as the post-FOMC slump continued. That turned around yesterday in part due to strong revenues from Micron and the bounce continued today. A lower US CPI also helped even if it was likely skewed by data collections problems due to the government shutdown.On net, for the week the S&P 500 finished the week virtually flat.On the day:S&P 500 +0.8%Nasdaq Comp +1.1%Russell 2000 +0.8%DJIA +0.3%Toronto TSX +1.2%Today was a strange day because it featured the largest options expiration in history --- an estimated $7.1 trillion. Ultimately, that led to some fairly normal price action after a burst of buying at the open. We spent the last half of the day in a tight range.The winners on the day featured a mixture of recent losers (short covering?) and some momentum names:Carnival Cruise LinesModernaMicronOracleAMDNorwegian Cruise linesAll were up more than 5% to lead the S&P 500.The laggards:Nike (-10.9%)Lamb WestonDH Horton (housing is struggling)LululemonThe Mag7 names were mostly restrained, which might have been due to heavy options expiries:NVDA +3.4%MSFT -0.1%AMZN +1.0%TSLA -0.2%AAPL -0.5%META +0.2%GOOG +0.6%
This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.
Who were the best 2025 forecasters? Here is who nailed (and who whiffed) the S&P 500 call
It’s easy to dunk on strategists. It’s a year-end tradition to pull up the forecast lists and laugh at how wrong the banks were.But they did pretty well this year.With the S&P 500 trading at 6,831 today, the index is up roughly 16% on the year. That is a strong, double-digit run. And when you look at the "consensus" pack—Goldman, JPM, Citi, MS at 6,500—they were only off by about 4.8%.In a game where a single geopolitical headline or a shift in Fed tone can move the market 10% in a month, landing within 5% of the pin a year out is solid work, though you could pushback that a 12-15% forecast is just standard 'continued bull market stuff' that doesn't take much courage.The nightmare scenario for a strategist is predicting a rally when the market crashes (or vice versa). That didn't happen.Almost everyone on the Street predicted a positive year. The consensus was for a steady grind higher to 6,500. The market just had a bit more juice than they expected, overshootng their targets by roughly 300 points.We still have to rank them, though. Accuracy matters. We're not at the finish line yet but close enough.SocGen deserves the accolades this year. They didn't just get the direction right; they got the magnitude almost perfect. A target of 6,750 against a spot price of 6,831 is remarkable precision (~1.2% off).Deutsche Bank and Wells Fargo also deserve credit for breaking from the herd. They stuck their necks out with 7,000+ targets. While they overshot slightly (by ~2.5%), they captured the bull market despite the Liberation Day madness.The Scorecard (Distance from 6,831)Here is how the forecasts stack up by proximity:SocGen: 81 pts (Target: 6,750) BMO / HSBC: 131 pts (Target: 6,700) BofA: 165 pts (Target: 6,666) Deutsche Bank: 169 pts (Target: 7,000) Wells Fargo: 176 pts (Target: 7,007) Barclays / RBC: 231 pts (Target: 6,600)Oppenheimer: 269 pts (Target: 7,100)The Consensus (Citi, GS, JPM, MS): 331 pts (Target: 6,500) UBS: 431 pts (Target: 6,400)BNP Paribas: 531 pts (Target: 6,300)Cantor: 831 pts (Target: 6,000) Cantor tried for the hero call and blew it. That's the kind of performance that will get your Chairman and CEO into the White House cabinet.
This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.
More gains in Europe today: The trade of 2025 wasn't AI, it was Southern Europe
The German DAX has been bouncing around for months but shook off some selling at the start of the week to post a solid gain. It was indicative of the continent, which finished Friday solid to cap an ok week. There was better strength in southern Europe, just like there has been all year. The UK also benefitted from the BOE rate cut.On the day:German DAX +0.4%France's CAC +0.3%UK's FTSE 100 +0.7%Spain's Ibex +0.45%Italy's FTSE MIB +0.7%On the week:German DAX +0.4%France's CAC +1.3%UK's FTSE 100 +2.6%Spain's Ibex +2.0%Italy's FTSE MIB +2.8%Everyone talks about American exceptionalism, but look at the scoreboard. The S&P 500 is having a solid year (up ~16%), but it's getting lapped by Madrid and Milan.Looking back on the year so far: IBEX 35: The absolute star of the show. Up 48.36% YTD and adding another 2.06% this week alone. Breaking 17,000 is a massive psychological win. FTSE MIB: Not far behind, sitting on a 30.91% YTD gain and up 2.85% this week.DAX : The industrial engine is humming, up 22.01% YTD. FTSE 100: Even the FTSE is joining the 20% club, up 21.12% YTD and finding late-year momentum (+2.59% WTD). CAC 40 The laggard of the group, but still holding double-digit gains at +10.72% YTD.If that looks good, keep in mind that the euro is up 13% year-to-date so those returns in US dollars are significantly amplified. I highlighted earlier how there are challenges for Europe in the year ahead as the ECB has moved to the sidelines. The ECB growth assumptions are on the optimistic side and the inflation problem hasn't gone away, particularly in services. The thing is, Europe is still very cheap and the market is increasingly looking for shelter away from the AI trade.
This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.
ECB's Lane on why the ECB is cutting into a sticky-inflation slowing economy
After months of easing, the Governing Council decided that 2.00% is the magic number—the "neutral" rate where they can sit back and let the economy hum. But if you listened to Philip Lane today, the humming sounds more like a sputter.Lane’s presentation at the CBI workshop was a masterclass in saying "we are done cutting" while simultaneously showing us a dozen charts explaining why the economy is barely keeping its head above water.Lane is pinning the hold on sticky domestic costs. The data shows services inflation is proving to be a problem, refusing to break below 3% in the near term. With compensation per employee projected to jump 4.5% in 2025, Lane is signaling that they can't cut further right now without risking a wage-price spiral. He sees the "last mile" of disinflation as a long, slow grind.While Lane defends the hold with inflation charts, his growth slides are flashing red. The staff projections have 2025 GDP growth at a dismal 1.4% and 1.2% next year and 1.4% in 2027. That is stagnation with a bow on it.Looking further out, this chart caught my attention as it shows worsening consumption despite a decline in the savings rate. Lane devoted entire slides to the "volatile global trade environment" and the decoupling of US and Euro area export volumes. He is effectively telling us that the external engine of the European economy is broken while at the same time forecasting impressive increases in exports in 2027 and 2028.Lane is trying to sell a "soft landing" narrative where 2% rates are perfect. But looking at his own charts—weak investment , fragmented trade, and flatlining growth—2% doesn't feel neutral. It feels tight. The ECB might be done for now, but if that growth forecast slips even a fraction, "neutral" could be a problem.The thing is, it might only be half the problem as the two slides look overly optimistic on inflation. First off, he straight-lines a decline in services inflation but also assumes energy disinflation next year and minimal inflation out to 2028. I find that hard to believe given AI power spending and brent at $60. That's an unsustainably low level.Overall, the euro had a good year and European stock markets were particularly strong but the problems in the eurozone economy under the surface are worsening, not getting better.For now there isn't really a trade here but the picture for the eurozone in 2026 is fragile. I would expect a short-term peace dividend if there is a ceasefire in Ukraine but that won't last long.
This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.
US November existing home sales 4.13m vs 4.15m expected
Prior was 4.10mHome sales change +0.5% vs +1.2% priorShares of home builders have been beaten up this week on poor earnings and even-weaker forecasts for the months ahead.
This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.
December final UMich consumer sentiment 52.9 vs 53.4 expected
Prelim was 53.3Prior was 51.0Conditions 50.4 vs 50.7 prelimExpectations 54.6 vs 55.0 prelim10year inflation 4.2% vs 4.1% prelim (prior was 4.5%)5-year inflation 3.2% vs 3.2% prelim (prior was 3.4%)In the preliminary report, the big surprise was the drop in inflation expectations. Now that tends to correlate with gasoline prices so I'd take it with a grain of salt but the Fed will see it as validation for cutting rates, particularly when combined with the softer CPI report this week. All that said, the market is seeing just a 20% chance of a January rate cut and just over 50% for March.
This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.
Today is the largest stock market options expiry day of all time. What to watch for
It is Quadruple Witching Friday—that rare quarterly alignment where contracts on four different types of securities expire simultaneously:Index optionsSingle stock optionsIndex futuresIndex futures optionsAccording to data from Goldman Sachs, a staggering $7.1 trillion in notional options exposure is set to expire today. To give you an idea of the sheer scale here, that represents notional exposure equal to roughly 10.2% of the total market capitalization of the Russell 3000.Broken down, that includes about $5 trillion tied to the S&P 500 and another $880 billion linked to single stocks.So, why is today so heavy?
December expirations are typically the biggest of the year anyway, as funds and retail traders alike look to close out positions and finalize P&L before the books shut. December options also attract the big annual hedges but even by December standards, this one eclipses all prior records.In terms of price action, huge options expirations tend to get headlines as if they will stoke volatility but because of delta-hedging, they end up restraining volatility. S&P 500 futures were last up 6 points, or 0.1%.Options tend to cluster around big round numbers and with S&P 500 futures at 6785, that will make 6800 as the main battleground. If we get there, we could see the market pinned there. At the same time, I will be watching price action in individual Mag7 names if we get stuck there as funds could be using the liquidity to make exits.There is a popular line of thinking that the megacap names are due for some selling next year as the AI narrative is challenged and profitability re-prioritized. So if we see some heavy dumping of Nvidia as the rest of the market holds up, that could be a tell.
This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.
Tech and semiconductor stocks surge amidst mixed market signals
Sector OverviewThe US stock market today is witnessing notable trends in the technology and semiconductor sectors. Based on today's heatmap, tech giants are on the rise, with Oracle (ORCL) leading the charge with a stunning increase of 5.47%. Meanwhile, the semiconductor industry is experiencing a substantial uptrend, prominently driven by Nvidia (NVDA) rising 1.73% and AMD climbing 2.29%.Conversely, the consumer cyclicals show a mixed scenario; while Tesla (TSLA) is up 0.89%, other key players like Amazon (AMZN) have dipped slightly by 0.25%. Additionally, consumer electronics giant Apple (AAPL) is down by 0.15%, suggesting mild investor caution or profit-taking in this zone.Market Mood and TrendsToday's market sentiment is governed by optimism in tech and semiconductors, countered by a cautious outlook in consumer-centric sectors. This mixed signal is indicative of an investor pool that remains watchful amid industry-specific developments and economic indicators. The upward trajectory in tech and semiconductors might reflect industry resilience or upcoming positive announcements. Meanwhile, stability in sectors like healthcare, with Eli Lilly (LLY) up 0.96%, adds a layer of defensive strategy traction in investor portfolios.Strategic RecommendationsGiven today's insights, investors might consider bolstering their positions in leading tech and semiconductor stocks like Oracle and Nvidia to leverage current growth momentum. Meanwhile, continued monitoring of consumer cyclicals is advised to navigate potential volatility.For a balanced portfolio, diversifying into stable sectors such as healthcare could buffer against downturns in more volatile sectors. Healthcare's steady showing, with a focus on drug manufacturers like LLY, which posted a gain today, offers a reliable anchor.In conclusion, while tech appears bullish, the sector's intrinsic volatility warrants a calculated approach. Stay vigilant and adjust strategies in line with real-time data and market forecasts. For further insights and updates, visit InvestingLive.com to stay informed of the latest market developments and expert analyses.
This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.
Japan's Katayama: Alarmed over currency moves, will take appropriate action
USD/JPY is quickly lower on this.Desirable for FX to move in stable manner reflecting fundamentalsWill take appropriate actionClearly seeing one-sided, rapid movesThis is the strongest language yet and it comes after the yen sold off hard despite today's Bank of Japan rate hike. The BOJ hiked short-term rates today to 0.75%, which is (amazingly) the highest in three decades.The move was not a surprise to markets and it initially strengthened but it appears as though sellers were waiting in the weeds and have been dumping since, boosting USD/JPY by more than 150 pips.Zooming out, USD/JPY is challenging the November highs and that would pit it within striking distance of the January high.While this chart doesn't look that alarming, note that EUR/JPY is at a record high 184.35 and GBP/JPY is at the highest since 2008.Moreover, the finance minister should be most-concerned with finance and the market isn't liking what's happening in Japanese bonds. Thirty-year borrowing rates for the Japanese government are up to 3.42%, which is the highest since at least 2000 and the trajectory is extremely worrisome for the most-indebted major economy.
This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.
Fed's Waller had 'a strong interview' but the market isn't buying it
CNBC was earlier out with a report saying that the Fed's Waller had a 'strong interview' for Fed chair.That begs the question: What does a strong interview with Trump look like? A pledge to lower rates? A pledge to take orders?I take this as CNBC trying to save us from one of the Kevins. I don't put any stock in PredictIt but it has Waller at 14-cents, up from 8-cents yesterday so he's still a longshot. The numbers seem to move with the newsflow but despite Waller ticking up, Hassett held at 52-cents and all the movement was in Warsh dipping to 23-cents.For me, I think Warsh is more likely than priced. Trump repeatedly said he regretted not picking him the last time around and Warsh has been relentlessly sucking up lobbying for the job.Other notable notes from the report:Bowman is no longer a candidateRick Reider will be interviewed in the last week of the yearThat last detail gives us a better timeline of when the decision will come. Trump had floated making it 'in the next couple weeks' but it looks like it will be close to the end of that window.In his speech Wednesday, Trump said, “I will soon announce our next
chairman of the Federal Reserve, someone who believes in lower interest
rates by a lot, and mortgage payments will be coming down even further.”Despite three doves being the front-runners for the Fed job, the market is only pricing 60 bps in easing in the coming year because of persistent inflation and runaway US spending that's keeping growth on track. More recently, the fall in oil prices to five-year lows could help to make a stronger case for rate cuts. This week's CPI report was also low but it was almost-certainly due to statistical noise because of the government shutdown and the inability to collect data.If Waller were to get the Fed job, it would be comforting for the bond market, pushing down longer-dated yields and creating confidence that the US won't rekindle runaway inflation with too-low rates.On the flipside, there could be some disappointment in equity markets that an overly-dovish chair like Kevin Warsh or Kevin Hassett didn't get the job.
This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.
Fed's Williams: CPI data had some distortions, may have been pushed down a bit
Williams did a fairly big 180 in supporting a December rate cut and these are his first comments since the decision.Looking ahead, his comments are generally neutral and wait-and-see tone regarding the path forward for rates. He downplays the rise in unemployment as "distortions" but also suggests the soft CPI data had "distortions" as well.The 'sense of urgency' line is notable but it certainly doesn't rule out January, which is priced at about 25%.Feels pretty good about economy next year2025 GDP likely around 1-1.5%2026 GDP seen at around 2.25%Policy mildly restrictive, has some room to get back to neutralWith inflation above target mildly restrictive monetary policy is helpfulFed policy is 'mildly restrictive,' has some room to get back to neutralKey goal of monetary policy is about helping job marketDoesn't have a 'sense of urgency' on changing monetary policyMonetary policy is well positioned to gather more informationThe data is broadly consistent with recent trends and recent Fed cutJobs data does not show sharp deterioration in hiring marketUnemployemnt rate may have been pushed up by distortions, but not a surprising readNew jobs data shows steady private sector job gainsCPI data may have been pushed down a bitCPI data had some distortions, will need more data to get good read on inflationSome of the new data has been encouraging and shows more disinflationWilliams is a permanent voter.
This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.
Canada October retail sales -0.2% vs 0.0% expected
Prior was -0.7% (revised to -0.9%)Ex-autos -0.6% vs +0.2% expectedPrior ex-autos -0.2% (revised to -0.1%)Core sales -0.5%Advance November reading +1.2%Autos sales +0.6% vs -2.9% priorThe surprise story of post-Liberation Day Canada has been just how strong retail sales have been. Unemployment has been creeping up and housing is in a terrible slump in much of the country but consumer keep on spending.This report is a softer but the advance November reading is very strong.The notes on October show the largest decrease to core retail sales came from food and beverage retailers, with beer, wine and liquor retailers down 10.6% though it may have been affected by a strike in British Columbia. Sales were also down at clothing, clothing accessories, shoes, jewelry, luggage and leather goods retailers (-0.7%) and health and personal care retailers (-0.3%) in OctoberThe headline chart doesn't look great but the underlying numbers have been good.RBC also publishes a report based on its credit card data and it has core sales up 1.1% on a three-month rolling average."Early signs for Q4 remain positive with spending momentum holding up
despite elevated borrowing costs, and still cautious consumer sentiment," RBC said.My sense is that retirees are those near retirement are driving much of the spending. Despite home prices losing value since 2022, they've still generated incredible returns over the past decade and that's keeping that cohort spending. For younger generations, unemployment has risen but there are still enough jobs to keep the consumer buoyant.Looking to 2026, I expect consumers to
This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com.
Navigating 2026: Volatility, Trust, and the New Reality for Traders
An interview with Simon Massey, CEO & Co-Founder, Funded Trading PlusAs 2026 approaches, traders and trading firms are operating in a market environment defined less by certainty and more by competing narratives. Artificial intelligence, geopolitical risk, shifting monetary policy, and growing concerns around market concentration have created conditions where volatility feels permanently “on standby”.To explore what this could mean for retail traders - and how to think about risk in a fast-moving landscape - we sat down with Simon Massey, CEO and Co-Founder of Funded Trading Plus. Simon began trading in 2010 and has spent the past decade-plus around active trading communities and trader education. In recent years, he has also been outspoken about the importance of transparency and fair dealing in the funded trading space, where trust can matter as much as the strategy itself.“The biggest mistake traders make is anchoring themselves to a single narrative,” Massey says. “In an environment like this, preparation matters far more than prediction.”The AI Boom: Bubble or Structural Shift?One of the most persistent questions heading into 2026 is whether the widely discussed AI boom represents a genuine technological transformation - or a fragile bubble driven by concentration risk.A significant portion of recent US market performance has been carried by a small cluster of large technology firms. These companies are heavily intertwined through capital flows, partnerships, and shared exposure to AI infrastructure. If valuations are being supported more by momentum than by underlying fundamentals, the potential for sharp dislocations increases.Markets, however, have a long history of remaining irrational longer than participants expect. Even if a bubble exists, timing its unwinding is notoriously difficult.“The smarter approach isn’t trying to call the top,” Massey explains. “It’s understanding that if sentiment shifts, volatility will arrive quickly and aggressively.”He also points to how different “risk-off” narratives behaved toward the end of 2025. Crypto, for example, traded largely sideways in that period, challenging the assumption that digital assets consistently act as a safe haven during uncertainty. In contrast, gold and other precious metals continued to push toward all-time highs, reinforcing their role as traditional volatility hedges.The implication for traders isn’t to pick the “correct” narrative - it’s to plan for multiple regimes, including sharp reversals, liquidity gaps, and periods where correlations snap into place.Manual Decision-Making Still Matters in a Machine-Driven MarketAlgorithmic trading already accounts for a substantial share of global market volume, particularly at the institutional level. The race for execution speed - through proximity hosting, fibre-optic optimisation, and infrastructure investment - has been under way for years.At the retail and funded trader level, however, the reality is more nuanced.While expert advisors and partially automated systems remain popular, many of the most consistently profitable traders continue to execute manually. The reason is straightforward: retail algorithms cannot realistically compete with institutional infrastructure on ultra-short timeframes.Instead, successful traders often operate on slightly longer horizons, focusing on market structure, risk management, and patience rather than microsecond execution. As a result, algorithmic trading is unlikely to “replace” discretionary trading in this segment. Through 2026, the balance between the two is likely to remain broadly similar - with the edge increasingly found in process, discipline, and risk controls rather than pure speed.Overconcentration Is Emerging as a Hidden RiskGold has become a dominant instrument in many trading environments, accounting for an outsized share of volume for a wide range of traders. While that reflects genuine opportunity, it also introduces a meaningful behavioural risk.“When traders focus too heavily on a single market, they start forcing trades that aren’t really there,” says Massey. “Overconcentration breaks discipline long before it breaks performance.”Looking ahead, Simon expects foreign exchange markets may present renewed opportunity. FX volatility has been relatively muted at points, but underlying tensions - particularly around US dollar policy - suggest this may not persist indefinitely. Political pressure for a weaker dollar can exist at the same time as structural forces pushing in the opposite direction, creating conditions for sharp, directional moves.“Equity indices remain equally sensitive to macro shocks. We’ve already seen how quickly daily ranges can expand when geopolitical tensions rise or policy expectations shift. If AI-related volatility or broader economic shocks re-emerge, indices may once again offer significant trading opportunity - but also sharper drawdowns for traders who are over-leveraged or under-prepared.”The key takeaway for 2026 is diversification - not indiscriminate trading, but maintaining a small basket of well-understood markets rather than relying entirely on a single asset.Flexibility Will Matter More Than ForecastsGlobal economic conditions will continue to shape market behaviour. A synchronised global slowdown tends to generate significantly more volatility than isolated regional issues, particularly as correlations between asset classes increase under stress.There are also wildcard developments that can shift expectations quickly. A potential resolution to major geopolitical conflicts, for example, could remove a persistent drag on parts of the global economy - changing the outlook for risk assets and regional currencies in a way that few traders price in ahead of time.“The danger for traders is becoming emotionally attached to a view,” Massey notes. “Markets rarely behave according to what ‘should’ happen.”In practice, that means the most durable edge often looks unglamorous: position sizing that survives surprises, risk limits that are actually respected, and the humility to step aside when market conditions no longer match your playbook.Trust Will Define the Next Phase of Funded TradingBeyond the markets themselves, Massey believes trust remains one of the most critical issues facing the funded trading industry.Despite its rapid growth, the sector still varies widely in standards, transparency, and operational maturity. For traders, that creates a practical question: how do you evaluate whether a firm is likely to behave consistently - especially when conditions get difficult?Massey points to a few basics that still matter:Clear ownership and accountability (who runs the firm, and are they visible?)A published business address and clear support channelsTransparent terms and conditions that are easy to find and understandA track record of communication with the trading communityConsistent proof of payouts over time, not just marketing claimsReview platforms and trader communities can provide useful signals too - particularly when recurring themes emerge over a long period, rather than in sudden bursts.Traders should also be cautious of offers that appear unsustainably generous. Artificially cheap programmes and unrealistic promises can be a red flag for business models that may not be built to last.“Trust is earned when the rules stay stable and the communication stays clear - especially when the market isn’t,” Massey says.Consistency Over HypeIn recent years, hundreds of funded trading firms have launched - and many have disappeared just as quickly. Competitive pressure has been intense, and the temptation to win attention through price wars or headline-grabbing claims is strong.But Massey argues that longevity tends to come from the opposite approach: consistency.“Stability is underrated,” he says. “If you want traders to take you seriously, the rules can’t feel like they change with the wind. At Funded Trading Plus we’ve had certain trading challenges running since 2021, it’s the simple rules that keeps people coming back”.For traders, the parallel lesson is familiar: systems that work tend to be repeatable, boring, and resilient. Hype is loud, but process is what compounds.A Message to Traders for 2026There will be opportunities in 2026 - almost certainly more than enough. But opportunity alone does not guarantee success.Traders should avoid over-fixation on any single market, remain adaptable to changing conditions, and resist the urge to force trades when valid setups are absent. Above all, maintaining discipline, realism, and trust - both in one’s strategy and in chosen trading partners - will matter far more than predicting the next headline-driven move.If you’re tightening your fundamentals for the year ahead, Funded Trading Plus has created a free Forex 101 guide focused on the core skills that matter most in changing market conditions - risk management, discipline, market structure, and avoiding common behavioural traps. The guide is designed to help traders build a process that adapts to volatility rather than chasing predictions. You can access the Forex 101 guide here: https://www.fundedtradingplus.com/propiq-forex-101-download-your-free-traders-guide/Disclaimer: This article was submitted by an advertiser. The views expressed are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Finance Magnates.
This article was written by IL Contributors at investinglive.com.
OneRoyal Promotes CMO Dominic Poynter to Chief Commercial Officer
OneRoyal has announced Dominic Poynter as its new Chief Commercial Officer. Mr. Poynter was internally promoted after a very successful stint as the broker’s Chief Marketing Officer. During his tenure as CMO, he helped secure an extremely valuable brand ambassador in Diego Forlán. Leveraging his 25 years of experience, Dominic spearheaded the company’s marketing efforts across multiple verticals. A Unified StrategyAccording to the industry veteran, during his time at the helm of OneRoyal’s marketing department, he implemented a unified marketing strategy that aligned multiple business and commercial operations to successfully serve different global regions. This was achieved by bringing together the global marketing and sales teams, while effectively utilising and securing valuable partnerships. These efforts paid dividends, increasing OneRoyal’s brand visibility and global reputation as a market-leading broker. It bolstered the premier broker’s already illustrious multi-decade standing. Over Two Decades of ExperienceDominic brought over twenty years of experience to OneRoyal, having previously held C-level positions at numerous high-profile companies. Fulfilling roles across multiple departments, Dominic contributed valuable, in-depth knowledge of the industry and the latest market trends. His career advancement was meteoric, a testament to his work ethic. After serving as Director of Marketing Operations at easyMarkets, Dominic moved to ATFX as Head of Marketing, then to HYCM as the company’s Chief Marketing Officer, before finally landing at OneRoyal as Head of Marketing. Moving forward, Dominic will be leveraging his wealth of knowledge and experience in his new position as Chief Commercial Officer. Award-winning LeadershipWhile heading up OneRoyal’s Marketing Department, Dominic helped the company gain recognition for its outstanding service by promoting its long list of industry awards. Its most recent win was at this year’s Smart Vision Summit Egypt, where the company was named Best Forex Broker 2025. OneRoyal also received the Finance Magnates award for the MENA region’s Most Innovative Broker for 2025. The company’s drive to innovate, enabling it to offer its clients the most advanced tools for analysis and trading, helps propel the industry forward. About OneRoyalOneRoyal has been serving both retail and professional traders since 2006. Founded on the mission to grow alongside its traders, OneRoyal has spent decades developing and expanding its products and services to help clients pursue their financial goals. To find out more about OneRoyal and what it offers, visit their website.
This article was written by IL Contributors at investinglive.com.
UK FTSE 100 Technical Analysis: Road to all-time highs after soft UK CPI, dovish BoE
KEY POINTS:UK data supports more rate cutsThe BoE cut the Bank Rate to 3.75% as expectedBoE Governor Bailey sounded more upbeat on disinflation with scope for more easingFTSE 100 gained on expectations of more policy easing, better growthFUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEWThe BoE cut the Bank Rate to 3.75% as expected yesterday and sounded more upbeat on disinflation. This keeps the room for more easing intact, supporting the stock market into new highs.The risk sentiment was also supported by a soft US CPI report. The hawkish risks are now behind us and the next key risk events will be in January, starting with the US NFP on January 9. FTSE 100 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - DAILY TIMEFRAMEOn the daily chart, we can see that FTSE 100 (CFD contract) bounced from a major trendline on November 21 when Fed’s Williams lift the global risk sentiment by endorsing a rate cut in December. We had some rangebound price action since the first week of December, but following the soft UK CPI, the market broke out to the upside. The natural target for the buyers should be of course a new all-time high. The sellers, on the other hand, will wait for the price to reach the all-time high to position for a drop back into the trendline.FTSE 100 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – 4 HOUR TIMEFRAMEOn the 4 hour chart, we can see that after the strong rally triggered by the soft UK CPI report, the market pulled back to retest the broken resistance-turned-support around the 9760 level. The buyers stepped in there with a defined risk below the support to position for a rally into a new all-time high. The price is now testing the recent highs around the 9874 level. This is where we can expect the sellers to step in with a defined risk above the highs to position for a move back into the support. The buyers, on the other hand, will look for a break higher to increase the bullish bets into new all-time highs.FTSE 100 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – 1 HOUR TIMEFRAMEOn the 1 hour chart, we can see that we have a minor support zone around the 9820 level. If we get a pullback into that level, we can expect the buyers to step in with a defined risk below the minor support to target a break above the 9874 level. The sellers, on the other hand, will look for a break lower to increase the bearish bets into the 9760 support next.
This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com.
investingLive European markets wrap: Yen slides further after BOJ press conference
Headlines:USD/JPY set to post biggest daily gain in a month, eyes on December highsBOJ governor Ueda says the possibility of further rate hikes will be data-dependentBOJ governor Ueda says rate hikes will continue if economy develops as per projectionsS&P 500 Technical Analysis: Is Santa Claus coming to town?Interest rate expectations for the Fed remain the most dovish among major central banksECB policymaker Rehn tries to keep the door open for rate cutsUK retail sales disappoint on expectations with another slump in NovemberMarkets:USD leads, JPY lags on the dayEuropean equities little changed; S&P 500 futures up 0.8%US 10-year yields up 2.7 bps to 4.151%Gold down 0.2% to $4,325.23WTI crude oil up 0.4% to $56.09Bitcoin up 3.0% to $88,019There wasn't too much in European morning trade today, with the day being the supposed last "real" trading day for the year. Come next week, the Christmas and New Year break will overshadow everything else and that should lead to thinner liquidity conditions until we wrap up the year.But for today, there was some decent action - particularly with the Japanese yen as the currency tumbled after the BOJ policy decision. The central bank raised its short-term policy rate by 25 bps to 0.75%, marking the highest in 30 years. However, the yen fell across the board in what is a sell the fact move.USD/JPY already climbed up to 156.00 after the decision but extended gains as BOJ governor Ueda did not offer too much certainty of when the next rate hike will be. He did drop hints that it could be in March but as we all know, the threshold to trigger such conditions is very much higher than the one needed for today.As such, USD/JPY also jumped up to break the early December highs in a push above 157.00 with the pair now up over 1% to 157.30 levels - its highest in nearly a month.Besides that, the dollar held steadier in the major currencies space with the euro and pound keeping lightly changed against the greenback. The same as well for the loonie and aussie, with the FX looking rather dull outside of the yen today. That despite UK retail sales disappointing on economic woes, not being enough to do much to change the sterling outlook for now.In other markets, European indices were relatively muted in closing out the week while US futures are pointing to a solid jump in tech shares once more. S&P 500 futures are up 0.8% with Nasdaq futures up 1.4% as investors continue the relief rally after the US CPI report yesterday.In the commodities space, gold is not showing much interest alongside silver as precious metals continue to hang near the highs for the year. A consolidation of gains ahead of the holiday period perhaps? Meanwhile, Bitcoin is posting a decent bounce back to around $88,000 but the technical picture remains challenging with the cryptocurrency poised to end the year lower for the first time since 2022.To those taking off for the holidays, I wish you a pleasant break and an enjoyable one at that. Merry Christmas and a very Happy New Year to everyone, in case we don't cross paths again on the server for the year. Have a good one!
This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com.
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