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3.4% in 12 months: what are US consumers bracing for?
The Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of New York's Survey of Consumer Expectations (SCE) for March showed one-year-ahead inflation expectations jumping to 3.4%, up 0.4 percentage points from February's 3.0% reading.
EUR/USD gains as Trump’s Iran deadline approaches
The Euro (EUR) rises against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, as the Greenback softens amid cautious market sentiment ahead of a deadline set by US President Donald Trump for Iran to reach a deal or open the Strait of Hormuz.
US: Oil shock complicates Fed path – MUFG
MUFG’s Head of Research Derek Halpenny argues that rising Oil and gasoline prices from the Middle East conflict are set to push US inflation higher, with March CPI expected to jump. He highlights a sharp rise in ISM Services prices paid and weakening employment indices.
Gold: Range-bound trade with upside skew – DBS
DBS Group Research’s Eugene Leow notes that Gold has stayed relatively stable despite conflicting geopolitical news, including a potential ceasefire and renewed threats around the Strait of Hormuz.
Oil: Supply shock supports $90–100 well into 2027 – TD Securities
TD Securities’ commodity team argues that prolonged disruption in the Persian Gulf and blocked flows through the Strait of Hormuz leave Oil poised for another sharp leg higher.
Iran cuts off direct communications with US – WSJ
The Wall Street Journal reported on Tuesday that Iran has cut off direct communications with the United States (US) following President Donald Trump's threat to destroy Iran's whole civilization.
SEK: Growth outlook limits downside – Societe Generale
Kit Juckes at Societe Generale highlights Sweden as the only G10 economy forecast to grow faster than the United States (US) this year, yet notes the Swedish Krona (SEK) is currently the weakest G10 currency.
New Zealand GDT Price Index fell from previous 0.1% to -3.4%
New Zealand GDT Price Index fell from previous 0.1% to -3.4%
NZD: RBNZ seen on hold with dovish tone – ING
ING’s Chris Turner expects the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) to leave rates unchanged at 2.25% with no new forecasts and limited guidance, as markets price only modest tightening this year.
Turkey Treasury Cash Balance: -279.58B (March) vs previous -94.42B
Turkey Treasury Cash Balance: -279.58B (March) vs previous -94.42B
China Foreign Exchange Reserves (MoM) came in at $3.342T below forecasts ($3.4T) in March
China Foreign Exchange Reserves (MoM) came in at $3.342T below forecasts ($3.4T) in March
Eurozone HCOB Composite PMI above expectations (50.5) in March: Actual (50.7)
Eurozone HCOB Composite PMI above expectations (50.5) in March: Actual (50.7)
Eurozone HCOB Services PMI above forecasts (50.1) in March: Actual (50.2)
Eurozone HCOB Services PMI above forecasts (50.1) in March: Actual (50.2)
Germany HCOB Services PMI came in at 50.9 below forecasts (51.2) in March
Germany HCOB Services PMI came in at 50.9 below forecasts (51.2) in March
Germany HCOB Composite PMI in line with expectations (51.9) in March
Germany HCOB Composite PMI in line with expectations (51.9) in March
GBP/USD: Consolidation after failed downside break – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann report that GBP/USD briefly dipped to 1.3178 before rebounding to 1.3267 and closing at 1.3238, invalidating a prior downside-biased view.
USD/JPY Price Forecast: Ascending 20-day EMA supports more upside
The USD/JPY pair trades calmly around 160.00 during the European trading session on Tuesday. The pair trades broadly sideways amid uncertainty surrounding the ongoing war in the Middle East.
Equities: Markets price future Middle East de-escalation – Danske Bank
Danske Bank analysts observe that global equities are about 4% above recent lows, with investors increasingly pricing a future de-escalation in the Middle East. Cyclical sectors have outperformed and volatility has declined across regions and asset classes.
France HCOB Composite PMI came in at 48.8, above forecasts (48.3) in March
France HCOB Composite PMI came in at 48.8, above forecasts (48.3) in March
France HCOB Services PMI above forecasts (48.3) in March: Actual (48.8)
France HCOB Services PMI above forecasts (48.3) in March: Actual (48.8)
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