Latest news
US President Trump: Lebanon and Israel agreed a 10-day ceasefire
United States (US) President Donald Trump just announced through Truth Social a 10-day ceasefire between Lebanon and Israel, to start on Thursday at 5 pm Eastern time.
United States 4-Week Bill Auction climbed from previous 3.56% to 3.595%
United States 4-Week Bill Auction climbed from previous 3.56% to 3.595%
USD/JPY edges higher as geopolitical risks and policy divergence support the US Dollar
The USD/JPY pair is trading near the 159.20 price region, having surged roughly 100 pips from its intraday low and posting modest daily gains as markets continue to digest developments in the Middle East and shifting expectations around central bank policy.
Fed’s Miran: I favor three, maybe four cuts this year
Stephen Miran, a member of the Federal Reserve (Fed), spoke in a moderated discussion about the United States (US) monetary policy at the Reinventing Bretton Woods Committee Global Macro Sessions in Washington, DC, on Thursday.
EUR/USD retreats as eight-day advance stalls amid US Dollar rebound
EUR/USD trades lower around 1.1770 on Thursday at the time of writing, down 0.24% on the day and bringing an end to a sequence of eight consecutive days of gains.
BoE: Rates seen on hold through 2026 – ING
ING economist James Smith argues that recent UK GDP strength is likely overstated and expects UK growth to slow as inflation moves towards 4% and real wages fall. He highlights rising energy prices and weaker corporate pricing power as headwinds.
Colombia Retail Sales (YoY) registered at 10.9% above expectations (9.8%) in February
Colombia Retail Sales (YoY) registered at 10.9% above expectations (9.8%) in February
India: Price pressures and rupee controls – DBS
DBS Group Research economist Radhika Rao assesses early post-conflict data for India, highlighting stronger wholesale inflation and modestly higher CPI. She notes that the Wholesale Price Index is more sensitive to commodity and imported costs and is likely to rise further.
Fed's Williams: War shock is about prices, but also unavailable commodities
John Williams, President of the Federal Reserve (Fed) of New York, spoke in Midtown Manhattan on Thursday and said the Fed’s current interest-rate setting is well calibrated for an economy facing additional risks from the conflict in the Middle East.
Latin America: Diverging central bank paths – BNP Paribas
BNP Paribas notes Latin American central banks are responding differently to renewed inflation risks. The easing cycle seems over in Chile and Peru, while Mexico’s central bank may deliver one last cut if Middle East tensions ease.
United States EIA Natural Gas Storage Change came in at 59B, above forecasts (55B) in April 10
United States EIA Natural Gas Storage Change came in at 59B, above forecasts (55B) in April 10
USD/CHF edges higher as USD rebounds, mixed US data and inflation risks in focus
USD/CHF edges higher on Thursday as the US Dollar (USD) stages a modest recovery after eight consecutive days of losses, putting pressure on the Swiss Franc (CHF). At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 0.7828, up nearly 0.11% on the day.
China: Growth beats expectations – Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered economists Carol Liao, Shuang Ding and Hunter Chan note that China’s Q1 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew 5.0% year-on-year, above the 4.8% consensus, supported by strong exports and a rebound in fixed asset investment.
Silver edges lower as US‑Iran talks, Fed caution weigh on safe‑haven demand
Silver (XAG/USD) trades slightly lower on Thursday, hovering around $78.60 at the time of writing, down 0.49% on the day.
United Kingdom NIESR GDP Estimate (3M) climbed from previous 0.3% to 0.6% in March
United Kingdom NIESR GDP Estimate (3M) climbed from previous 0.3% to 0.6% in March
NVDA has ripped 21% in 12 days, now it’s heading straight into a gap fill
NVIDIA, the massive semiconductor company behind the chips powering artificial intelligence infrastructure worldwide, has had one of the more impressive short-term recoveries on any chart I’ve looked at recently.
AUD/USD: Overbought rally eyes 0.7190 cap – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann highlight a sharp AUD/USD surge to 0.7178, far above their prior 0.7100–0.7155 range expectation, leaving the pair deeply overbought. They see scope for a test of 0.7190 intraday, but doubt a sustained break higher.
USD/CHF Price Forecast: US Dollar bears remain capped above 0.7800
The US Dollar (USD) is trading practically flat against the Swiss Franc (CHF) on Thursday, with the USD/CHF pair holding above the 0.7800 area for now, yet upside attempts are capped below Monday’s highs at 0.7830, as hopes of a resolution of the Middle East Conflict are weighing on the safe-haven G
EUR: Diverging Scandies driven by risk flows – Danske Bank
Danske Research Team notes that the Norwegian Krone (NOK) strengthened on risk-on sentiment, pushing EUR/NOK back to just above 11.00, while EUR/SEK initially resisted positive risk before slipping below 10.80 later.
AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Reaches fresh record highs above 114.00
AUD/JPY continues its winning streak that began on April 6, trading around 114.10 during the European hours on Thursday. The technical analysis of the daily chart suggests a bullish bias as the currency cross moves upwards within the ascending channel pattern.
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