News from the economy, politics and the financial markets
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NOK: Inflation shock reshapes rate path – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Jane Foley notes that stronger-than-expected Norwegian CPI data has upended the Norges Bank’s easing narrative, pushing markets to price an extended pause instead of further cuts.
United States NAHB Housing Market Index registered at 36, below expectations (38) in February
United States NAHB Housing Market Index registered at 36, below expectations (38) in February
Johnson Controls (JCI) favors rally up to 151.50 before correcting next
Johnson Controls International plc, (JCI) engages in engineering, manufacturing, commissioning & retrofitting building products & systems in United States & globally.
USD/CAD extends gains on softer Canada inflation, firmer US Dollar
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) weakens against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday after softer-than-expected headline inflation data reinforced signs of easing price pressures. At the time of writing, USD/CAD is trading around 1.3676, extending gains for a fifth consecutive day.
Elliott Wave analysis: AMZN resumes downtrend as wave five decline unfolds [Video]
Amazon completes wave 4 bounce and turns lower toward Fibonacci downside targets.
Oil: Geopolitics and OPEC+ shape supply outlook – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Carsten Fritsch highlights how US–Iran nuclear talks and Iranian military exercises have lifted Oil prices as markets price escalation risk.
Fed’s Goolsbee: There are potentially several more rate cuts
Federal Reserve (Fed) President of the Bank of Chicago, Austan Goolsbee, said that services inflation is “not tame” and added that there are potentially several more rate cuts in 2026, in an interview with CNBC on Tuesday
SEK: Strong labour data reduces cut risk – Danske Bank
Danske Research Team highlights a sharp downside surprise in Swedish unemployment, with the seasonally adjusted rate dropping to 8.0% versus 8.8% consensus. December and January figures imply sizeable positive revisions to labour metrics.
SPY and QQQ revisit a familiar measured-move ceiling as weekly structure compresses
Since December 2021, both ETFs have followed a repeating expansion–reset rhythm. With price pressing the upper edge again, the focus shifts from prediction to confirmation: acceptance above the highs, or rejection and rotation back into range.
AUD/USD declines on RBA minutes, US Dollar cautious ahead of Fed minutes
AUD/USD trades around 0.7050 on Tuesday at the time of writing, down 0.40% on the day, as the Australian Dollar (AUD) weakens following the release of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) minutes.
ADP Employment Change 4-week average rises to 10,250 through January 31
Employment in the United States (US) private sector continues to expand at a moderate pace, with companies adding an average of 10,250 jobs per week in the four weeks ending January 31, according to the NER Pulse, a weekly update of the monthly ADP National Employment Report.
US: PCE seen re‑accelerating into 2026 – TD Securities
TD Securities forecasts PCE inflation to firm in December, with core PCE at 0.25% m/m and headline at 0.27% m/m, translating to 2.9% and 2.8% y/y respectively.
Breaking: Canada headline CPI rose 2.3% YoY in January
Canada’s inflation eased a tad in January, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rising 2.3% YoY, slightly below what markets were expecting, after a 2.4% increase in December. On a monthly basis, prices came in flat.
RBNZ: Inflation risks and delayed cuts – ING
ING’s Francesco Pesole argues that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s November 2025 projections underestimated inflation, with recent CPI data overshooting forecasts.
Canada Consumer Price Index - Core (MoM) remains unchanged at 0.2% in January
Canada Consumer Price Index - Core (MoM) remains unchanged at 0.2% in January
Canada Consumer Price Index (MoM) registered at 0%, below expectations (0.1%) in January
Canada Consumer Price Index (MoM) registered at 0%, below expectations (0.1%) in January
Canada Consumer Price Index (YoY) came in at 2.3%, below expectations (2.4%) in January
Canada Consumer Price Index (YoY) came in at 2.3%, below expectations (2.4%) in January
Canada BoC Consumer Price Index Core (MoM) up to 0.2% in January from previous -0.4%
Canada BoC Consumer Price Index Core (MoM) up to 0.2% in January from previous -0.4%
Canada Foreign Portfolio Investment in Canadian Securities came in at $-5.57B, below expectations ($14.27B) in December
Canada Foreign Portfolio Investment in Canadian Securities came in at $-5.57B, below expectations ($14.27B) in December
Pound Sterling Price News & Forecast: GBP/USD demonstrates a sharp volatility contraction
The United Kingdom (UK) labor market data for the three months ending December is scheduled to be published today at 07:00 GMT.
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