News from the economy, politics and the financial markets
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AI selloff widens: Why Asia can diversify the next phase of the AI trade
The current selloff isn’t “AI is over” — it’s a rotation from AI pioneers priced for perfection toward AI enablers with nearer-term cashflows and pricing power.
GBP/USD slips as UK CPI eases and FOMC minutes loom
UK inflation data released Wednesday confirmed the disinflationary trend the Bank of England (BoE) has been watching for, with headline CPI dropping to 3% and the Retail Price Index falling to 3.8% from 4.2%.
NBH: First cut seen as easing cycle starts – ING
ING economists Peter Virovacz and Frantisek Taborsky expect the National Bank of Hungary (NBH) to start an easing cycle at its 24 February meeting, cutting the base rate by 25bp to 6.25%.
Russia Producer Price Index (MoM): -2.5% (January) vs previous -1.6%
Russia Producer Price Index (MoM): -2.5% (January) vs previous -1.6%
Russia Producer Price Index (YoY) declined to -5% in January from previous -3.3%
Russia Producer Price Index (YoY) declined to -5% in January from previous -3.3%
Nifty 350+ points rally and BankNifty 61,765 next? [Video]
In the last video, we warned: "Buy the tickets, don't just watch the flight take off from the runway." Since Monday (Feb 16th, 2026), Nifty has rallied 350-400 points from the 25370 lows!
Fed: Data-driven cuts reshaped – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Senior US Strategist Philip Marey expects the FOMC to deliver three 25 bps cuts in 2026, but now sees the easing cycle starting in June rather than March. Stronger US labor market data have reduced the urgency for near-term easing, while softer CPI inflation supports cuts later in 2026.
Palo Alto Networks stock down despite earnings beat
Palo Alto Networks (PANW) stock sold off sharply on Wednesday morning following the company's second-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings release.
USD/CHF holds above 0.7700 in subdued trade as Fed Minutes loom
USD/CHF trades around 0.7717 on Wednesday at the time of writing, up 0.20% on the day.
EUR/USD slips as markets eye FOMC Minutes
EUR/USD remains on the back foot on Wednesday as second-tier US economic data provided modest support to the US Dollar (USD).
AUD/USD: Growth signals soften as RBA bias stays hawkish – BNY
BNY’s Head of Markets Macro Strategy Bob Savage highlights that Australia’s Westpac-Melbourne Institute Leading Index slowed sharply, suggesting stalled momentum even as commodity prices support the Australian Dollar.
United States Capacity Utilization came in at 76.2%, below expectations (76.5%) in January
United States Capacity Utilization came in at 76.2%, below expectations (76.5%) in January
United States Industrial Production (MoM) above forecasts (0.4%) in January: Actual (0.7%)
United States Industrial Production (MoM) above forecasts (0.4%) in January: Actual (0.7%)
EUR/GBP: Rate convergence supports long bias – Nomura
Nomura Research Analysts Dominic Bunning and Yusuke Miyairi argue that UK wage and inflation data still point to further monetary policy convergence with the Euro area, while rising UK political risks are seen as under-priced and supportive of Euro outperformance versus Pound.
Xcel Energy (XEL) in early stages of a powerful wave (III) Ral
NASDAQ-listed XEL completes corrective wave (II) at $43.64 and turns higher, signaling the beginning of a potentially explosive impulsive advance.
CAD: Softer CPI lowers BoC reaction threshold – TD Securities
TD Securities analysts note that Canadian January CPI surprised slightly to the downside at 2.3% year-on-year, with core measures also easing. They argue the Bank of Canada is unlikely to overreact but say softer core momentum reduces the bar for policy response to future growth headwinds.
United States Redbook Index (YoY) rose from previous 6.5% to 7.2% in February 13
United States Redbook Index (YoY) rose from previous 6.5% to 7.2% in February 13
Gold steadies as easing geopolitical tensions and firm US Dollar cap gains
Gold (XAU/USD) trades firmer on Wednesday after sliding to its lowest level in nearly two weeks at $4,842 the previous day, as dip buyers stepped in to limit the downside and keep the pullback relatively shallow. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $4,952, up nearly 1.50% on the day.
US Durable Goods Orders contracted 1.4% in December
Durable Goods in the US dropped to $319.6 billion, or 1.4%, in December, the US Census Bureau reported on Wednesday. This print followed the 5.4% increase recorded in the previous month and surpassed market expectations for a 2.0% contraction.
US Dollar Index (DXY) holds gains above 97.00 ahead of FOMC Minutes
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback's value against a basket of six major currencies, holds steady on Wednesday as traders position ahead of key US economic releases. At the time of writing, the index trades near 97.29, up roughly 0.20% on the day.
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