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Eurozone: Financial impulse points to solid growth – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Dr. Marco Wagner introduces a new financial impulse indicator based on the Fed's FCI-G indicator that signals how strongly the financial environment is driving or slowing down the economy.
Coinbase stock surges 13% – But two resistance levels could define what happens next
Coinbase Global (COIN) turned heads today with a sharp 13.52% single-session rally, snapping back from multi-month lows to close around $183.94. It's the kind of move that grabs attention, and rightfully so.
A tale of two earnings reports: Rolls Royce beats Nvidia, because its European
The last 24 hours has seen a plethora of earnings reports, but two stand out: Nvidia and Rolls Royce. The contrasting investor response to both earnings reports is stark, and tells us something important about this market.
USD/CHF rebounds after consecutive losses amid US labor data, safe-haven flows
USD/CHF trades around 0.7740 on Thursday at the time of writing, up 0.15% on the day, snapping a series of consecutive losses. The pair is supported by a modest rebound in the US Dollar (USD), although the broader backdrop remains characterized by strong demand for safe-haven assets.
Fed: Steady policy with later cuts – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Oscar Munoz and Eli Nir argue that a stable US labor market and contained inflation should keep the Federal Reserve on hold in the near term, even as growth remains firm.
GBP/JPY falls as Yen firms on hawkish BoJ remarks
GBP/JPY snaps a two-day winning streak on Thursday as hawkish signals from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) strengthen the Japanese Yen (JPY), putting pressure on the British Pound (GBP).
UK: Spring Statement seen as quiet placeholder – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank’s Sanjay Raja expects the UK Spring Statement on 3 March to be a low-key update, with few new policy measures after the Autumn Budget. The Office for Budget Responsibility will refresh forecasts, with borrowing projected to undershoot and fiscal headroom to rise.
US weekly Initial Jobless Claims rise to 212K vs 215K expected
There were 212K Initial Jobless Claims in the week ending February 21, the US Department of Labor (DOL) reported on Thursday. This print followed 208K (revised from 206K) recorded in the previous week and came in slightly better than the market expectation of 215K.
USD/JPY: Dovish BoJ risks cap recovery – OCBC
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that dovish-leaning Bank of Japan nominees have reinforced concerns that policy normalisation may lag, weighing on the Japanese Yen even as it remains fundamentally undervalued.
USD/INR: RBI to hold rates as inflation stays modest – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Charlie Lay and Moses Lim expect the Reserve Bank of India to keep the policy repo rate at 5.25% as inflation remains contained within the 2–6% target band and growth stays above 7.4%.
United States Continuing Jobless Claims came in at 1.833M, below expectations (1.86M) in February 13
United States Continuing Jobless Claims came in at 1.833M, below expectations (1.86M) in February 13
United States Initial Jobless Claims 4-week average increased to 220.25K in February 20 from previous 219K
United States Initial Jobless Claims 4-week average increased to 220.25K in February 20 from previous 219K
Canada Current Account registered at -0.7B above expectations (-7.7B) in 4Q
Canada Current Account registered at -0.7B above expectations (-7.7B) in 4Q
United States Initial Jobless Claims came in at 212K below forecasts (215K) in February 20
United States Initial Jobless Claims came in at 212K below forecasts (215K) in February 20
EUR/USD: ECB sees 2% inflation over medium term – BNY
BNY’s Head of Markets Macro Strategy Bob Savage reports that Christine Lagarde told the European Parliament the Euro area outlook is highly uncertain, with growth supported by real incomes and investment but weighed by tariffs, a stronger Euro and geopolitics.
Oil: Geopolitical risks reshape supply outlook – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Michael Every highlights that escalating US–Iran tensions and potential military action could have far‑reaching consequences for Oil markets and broader commodities.
Gold: Debasement trade points to new highs – TD Securities
TD Securities commodity strategists see renewed upside in Gold prices. They argue that easier Fed policy, persistent core PCE near 3% and ongoing debasement dynamics could drive Gold toward fresh records around $5,700/oz.
GBP: Structural headwinds and political noise – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that U.K. political uncertainty and potential populist outcomes may trigger short-term volatility in Gilts and GBP, but questions the longer-term impact on U.K. government paper.
EUR/GBP gains as UK political uncertainty, BoE easing pressure Pound
EUR/GBP moves higher and trades around 0.8720 on Thursday at the time of writing, up 0.13% on the day.
Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq futures: New York session hinges on key pivot reclaims
ES holds above value while YM remains below control; NQ sits on the value edge, with gates and pivots defining the next rotation.
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