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FX Watch: USD/CHF and AUD/USD Triangle Breakouts If U.S. CPI Fails to Impress
Markets are expecting a significantly upbeat U.S. CPI to tip the scales in favor of Fed tightening soon, but what if the numbers fail to impress? Here’s what I’m watching on USD/CHF and AUD/USD in this scenario.
War-related inflation is still very much a hot topic these days, and the upcoming U.S. CPI release should shed more light on how price pressures are looking. Here’s what to look out for in this top-tier event.
Oil climbed sharply on a collapsed US-Iran ceasefire framework Monday, while the S&P 500 notched another record close driven by chipmaker strength amid a fractured diplomatic backdrop.
Premium Watchlist Recap: New Zealand Employment Reports (Q1 2026)
New Zealand’s Q1 2026 employment report delivered a modest but meaningful beat against expectations. Check out the setup that made it out of the watchlist stage and how it all played out.
Trump Rejects Iran Peace Deal: What It Means for Oil and the Dollar
Trump’s rejection of Iran’s latest peace proposal slammed the door on hopes for a quick resolution. For traders, the implications ripple well beyond the price of crude.
Last week’s $17 oil round-trip set the stage. This week, US CPI, PPI, a tentative Fed Chair nomination vote, and Iran’s reply raise the stakes considerably.
The Risk-On scenario’s price targets were all reached this week — but the exact trigger combination we assigned never fired. Here’s how the framework performed, level by level.
The Strait of Hormuz dominated the May 4–8 trading week, whipsawing markets between war-premium surges and peace deal relief — with a blockbuster U.S. jobs report landing right in the middle.
CAD/JPY Analysis for May 8, 2026: Key Support Levels Holding Ahead of Canada’s Jobs Release
CAD/JPY has spent the week sliding toward a long-term rising trendline that dates back to 2021, testing other key support levels as well. Will it hold or fold?
Markets whipsawed Thursday as Iran deal skepticism returned, sending oil on a sharp intraday swing and pulling equities from record highs while the U.S. dollar recovered.
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· Actio recta non erit, nisi recta fuerit voluntas ·
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