Why Gold Will Hit $10,000? This New Gold Price Prediction Sees the Yellow Metal Doubling
Gold price is
currently staging a quiet but significant rebellion against gravity. After
correcting through November, the precious metal is back on the offensive,
trading firmly around the $4,200 level today, Wednesday, December 3,
2025. While the market remains in consolidation below the October all-time high
of roughly $4,400, the technical structure and macroeconomic backdrop
suggest this pause is merely the "calm before the storm."While my
technical models point to an extension toward $5,700, new
"outrageous" gold price predictions from Saxo Bank warn that a
technological black swan could send the yellow metal skyrocketing to $10,000
in 2026. More than doubling the current rates.In this article, I examine why gold is going up, what technical analysis of the XAU/USD chart shows, and what the most up-to-date gold price predictions are.Gold Price Today:
Consolidation Before Explosion?To the
untrained eye, gold price’s
recent action might look like hesitation. However, seeing the market test local
resistance at $4,200 confirms that the bullish trend remains intact.
November’s dip served as a healthy reset, allowing indicators to cool off
without damaging the structural integrity of the rally."Today
brings a slight pullback in gold contracts, which market observers attribute to
profit-taking after significant gains in recent days,” Marek Rogalski,
Analyst at BossaFX, dismisses the recent pullback as a temporary phenomenon
driven by profit-taking rather than a shift in sentiment.“However,
in the wider context, the narrative still favors gains, and a breakout to a new
ATH above $4,400 on gold contracts seems to be a matter of time."Rogalski
notes that the market is already pricing in a Federal Reserve rate cut on December
10, providing a near-term catalyst for the next leg up.Gold Price Technical
Analysis: The Road to $5,700From my
technical perspective, the chart remains overwhelmingly bullish. Since hitting
historical maximums in October just below $4,400 per ounce, the price
has consolidated. Importantly, this consolidation has held above the
psychological floor of $4,000 and the key support zones established
between April and August.My
Technical Outlook:
November was corrective, but we are now witnessing a gradual return to higher
levels. The price is moving in a distinct uptrend, supported by both the 50-day
and 200-day moving averages. Even if we were to dip from the current
consolidation, those
local peaks from earlier in 2025 offer robust support.Forecasting
the Uncharted:
Forecasting price targets when an asset is trading near all-time highs is
difficult because we are navigating "uncharted waters,” there is no
historical resistance overhead. However, using Fibonacci extensions, we
can map out the likely trajectory:$5,000: This psychological level
aligns with forecasts from several major financial institutions.$5,700: This is the 161.8%
Fibonacci extension of the recent move.In my view,
$5,700
is the "bullish" technical target for the next major impulse.
However, compared to some institutional "tail risk" scenarios, this
figure might actually be conservative.Why Gold Is Surging? The
Fed & The DollarBeyond the
charts, the macro environment is conspiring to weaken the US Dollar—gold’s
primary rival.Vijay
Valecha, Chief
Investment Officer at Century Financial, highlights a political wildcard that
could supercharge gold’s ascent: the speculation surrounding Kevin Hassett
potentially becoming the new Fed Chair."Speculation
surrounding the possible selection of Kevin Hassett as the new Fed chair is
ramping up. This has added to this bullish outlook, given his perceived dovish
stance towards interest rates, as well as strengthening market expectations
that 2026 could see another accommodative policy."Valecha
argues that as the policy environment softens, the resulting weaker dollar will
naturally drive gains in gold, regardless of short-term profit-taking.Saxo Bank’s $10,000 Gold
Price Prediction And The "Black Swan"While
technicals point to $5,700, investors must consider "tail risks,” low-probability,
high-impact events. In their newly released "Outrageous Predictions
2026", Saxo Bank outlines two scenarios that could fundamentally
reprice gold.Scenario 1: The
"Quantum Leap" to $10,000Saxo’s UK
Investor Strategist Neil Wilson warns of "Q-Day,” the moment a quantum
computer breaks standard digital encryption. In this scenario, trust in digital
assets (crypto) and traditional banking systems evaporates."Bitcoin
collapses toward zero. Fear spills into traditional finance... Gold rockets
toward USD 10,000 as the ultimate 'no-password' asset." You
can read more about this gloomy Bitcoin price prediction here.Scenario 2: The
"Golden Yuan" to $6,000+In a
separate prediction, Saxo suggests China could back the offshore yuan (CNH)
with gold to challenge the US dollar's dominance."Market
impact: Gold advances above USD 6,000... as the 'golden yuan' becomes a
durable second global anchor." These
scenarios highlight that gold isn't just a hedge against inflation; it is the
ultimate hedge against systemic failure.Should You Buy Gold Now?The
confluence of technical strength, dovish monetary policy, and rising
geopolitical/technological risks creates a "perfect storm" for gold
prices.Watch $4,400: A breakout above the October
highs validates the trend.Target $5,700: This is the technical
objective derived from Fibonacci extensions.Hedge for $10,000: While an
"outrageous" prediction, the quantum risk highlights gold's
unique role as a non-digital store of value.As we
approach the December 10 Fed meeting, the window to accumulate below the
breakout level may be closing fast.Gold Price Analysis, FAQHow high can gold go in
2026? Based on
Fibonacci technical analysis, the primary target is $5,700. However, if
geopolitical shifts like a "Golden Yuan" or technological crises
occur, Saxo Bank predicts prices could reach $6,000 or even $10,000.Why is gold rising today? Gold is
recovering from a November correction, driven by expectations of a Fed rate cut
on December 10 and speculation regarding a dovish shift in US monetary policy
under a potential new Fed Chair.Is it too late to buy
gold? No. With
the price currently consolidating below the $4,400 all-time high, technical
analysis suggests the major breakout has not yet occurred. The trend remains
bullish as long as prices hold above the $4,000 support level.
This article was written by Damian Chmiel at www.financemagnates.com.
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