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Semiconductor slide and tech resilience mark today's market

Semiconductor slide and tech resilience mark today's market? Semiconductor Sector: A Wave of RedThe semiconductor sector is experiencing significant declines today, marked by a drop in major players like Nvidia (NVDA) at -3.70%, Micron Technology (MU) down 5.15%, and Intel (INTC) plunging 6.00%. This trend is primarily driven by industry-specific challenges and general investor unease surrounding tech innovations and supply chain disruptions.? Tech Giants: A Tale of ResilienceNot all is grim in the technology sector: Microsoft (MSFT) stands out with a robust gain of 2.43%, pointing to renewed investor confidence in this tech titan's strategic initiatives and market positioning. Meanwhile, Apple (AAPL) manages a modest increase of 0.51%, indicating potential investor interest in its upcoming product launches.? Financial Sector: Mixed SignalsIn the financial realm, Visa (V) climbs by 1.64% and Mastercard (MA) posts a gain of 1.70%, suggesting positive sentiment in financial processing sectors. However, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Bank of America (BAC) show stagnant movement, hinting at caution among investors about broader economic outlooks.? Consumer Electronics and Communication: A Mixed BagAmazon (AMZN) sees a 1.50% decline amidst broader consumer cyclical softness, while communication entities such as Google (GOOGL) drop marginally by 0.55%, reflecting typical volatility faced by giants in these dynamic industries.? Overall Market AnalysisThe broader market reveals a mixed pattern, with major indices reflecting investor indecision brought on by geopolitical uncertainties and fluctuating economic indicators.The semiconductor downturn hints at sector-specific regulatory and supply risks.Investors should closely monitor tech and communication stocks for strategic pivots that may stabilize future earnings.Diversification remains key, with attention on bolstering portfolios with resilient sectors such as consumer staples and financial services, which appear to weather today's volatility better.As we navigate these turbulent times, it's critical for investors to stay informed and agile. For more insights, explore InvestingLive.com for real-time updates and strategic recommendations tailored to today's market landscape. ?️? This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.

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Microsoft shares are higher as Pershings Ackman bets on the company

Shares of Microsoft are trading up nearly $10 or 2.43% at $419.37, bucking the bias in the market which has a second exit down -1.26% in the S&P index down -0.8%. Although higher on the day, the price of Microsoft has been a big underperformer for the year. The stock is still down -13.21% after closing the year at $483.62. The rise today comes after Billionaire investor Bill Ackman revealed that Pershing Square has built a new core position in Microsoft, arguing the recent selloff has created an attractive long-term opportunity. Microsoft shares are down more than 13% this year as investors worry about slowing cloud growth, rising AI spending, and the company’s evolving relationship with OpenAI. Ackman believes those concerns are overdone and says the market is underestimating the durability of Microsoft’s enterprise software business.Ackman highlighted Microsoft’s Azure cloud platform and Microsoft 365 ecosystem — including Copilot AI — as key long-term strengths. He defended the company’s aggressive AI spending plans, saying the investments are necessary to support future growth. He also argued Microsoft’s shift toward a more open AI model strategy should be viewed as a positive, not a weakness, and estimated Microsoft’s economic interest in OpenAI could be worth roughly $200 billion.The investment continues Pershing Square’s recent strategy of buying major technology companies during periods of investor skepticism. Ackman noted the firm previously made similar bets on Alphabet, Amazon, and Meta Platforms when markets became overly focused on near-term risks tied to AI competition and spending.Technically, the stock is once again testing — and trading above — its 100-day moving average at $419.15 (see blue line on the chart below). That moving average has become an important battleground between buyers and sellers over the last few months. Back on April 22, the price pushed above the level but quickly reversed lower before the close. Similar upside attempts on April 28 and again on May 7 also failed to generate sustained momentum. Those repeated failures have reinforced the importance of the 100-day moving average as a key barometer for the market’s bias.For buyers, getting and staying above the 100-day moving average is an important first step in signaling that the worst of the recent selling pressure may be behind the stock. Holding above the level would help shift the short-term technical bias more to the upside and could encourage additional momentum buying. However, simply moving above the moving average is not enough on its own. Buyers still need to prove they can maintain control after multiple failed breakout attempts over the past several weeks.Looking higher, the next major technical hurdle comes at the 38.2% retracement of the decline from the all-time high reached at the end of July 2025. That retracement level comes in at $432.36 and has already proven to be a difficult ceiling. The corrective rally high on April 17 reached $431.58 before stalling, while the April 22 rally extended to $433.70 before reversing lower once again. Those prior failures near the retracement level underscore its importance as a key resistance target.Another key target would be the 200 day moving average which is all way up at $463.13.If buyers can break and sustain momentum above the 100 day MA and then the 38.2% retracement (and prior corrective highs) at the $432 area, it would go a long way toward improving the broader technical outlook and increasing confidence that a more meaningful recovery is underway. Until then, the stock remains in a rebuilding phase after a sharp decline. Even with the recent bounce, shares are still down roughly 24% from the all-time high reached in July 2025. This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

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China Foreign Minister:XI to visit the US in the Fall

China Foreign Minister Wang Yi, on ties with the U.S.: Teams on both sides are still working on details for outcomes on trade Encourages the U.S. and Iran to continue resolving their differences and disputes through talks Calls for reopening the Strait of Hormuzon Ukraine: Says China and the U.S. are willing to maintain communication China and the U.S. agreed to set up boards of trade and investment Both sides agreed to address each other's concerns regarding market access for agricultural products Agreed to promote the expansion of two-way trade under the framework of reciprocal tariff reductions Xi to visit the U.S. in the fall Comments are somewhat broad in nature. Recall that Trump explicitly invited him to come on September 24. China says the fall. Makes you wonder if it is the little battles that matter too.Trump on Fox is saying:They may or may not approve Taiwan weaponsIf US keeps it as it is, China is ok with it.Policy on Taiwan has not changed and discourages Taiwan from going independent. Some posts from Pres. Trump (PS he took the picture of the Statue from the Telegraph it appears). This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

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Major US indices open sharply lower led by the NASDAQ and the Russell 2000

The major US stock indices are opening lower: Dow industrial average after closing above 50,000 for the first time since February 11th is back below the level at 49,650. The index is down -415 or -0.83%.S&P index is down 89 points or -1.20% at 7411.NASDAQ index is down -451 points or -1.69% at 26186.Russell 2000 is down -57 points or -2.0% at 2806.47Some of the big losers today:Arm (ARM): -7.26% Intel (INTC): -5.68% Newmont Goldcorp (NEM): -5.43% ASML ADR (ASML): -5.26% Ciena Corp (CIEN): -4.89% Barrick Mining (B): -4.87% Corning (GLW): -4.87% Lam Research (LRCX): -4.75% Vertiv Holdings Co (VRT): -4.61% Super Micro Computer (SMCI): -4.60% Alibaba ADR (BABA): -4.55% Ford Motor (F): -4.52% Baidu (BIDU): -4.34% Invesco Solar (TAN): -4.32% Coinbase Global (COIN): -4.28% Micron (MU): -4.18% GE Vernova LLC (GEV): -4.11%Cerebra which IPOed yesterday is trading at $305 down -2.4% on the day. The IPO opened at $285 after being priced at $185.Nvidia is trading down -3.6%.China is over and the news headlines did not impress.Focus returns back to Iran which is not very positive. Pres. Trump is gettingangrier whenever asked about the failure of the military offensive to date. The Iran will not have a nuclear weapon, is the go to answer no matter the cost. He commented today that he did not underestimate Iran. US interest rates are sharply higher with the two year yield up 7.5 basis points at 4.066%. The 10 year yield is up 10 point six basis points at 4.563%.Crude contract is up $2.52 or 2.6% at $99.44. The June contract which goes off the board on Tuesday is trading up $2.66 at $103.83. This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

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US industrial production for April 0.7% versus 0.3% estimate

Industrial production prior month -0.5% revised to -0.3% Capacity utilization prior month 75.7 Manufacturing production last month -0.1% revised to +0.1%For April:Industrial production 0.7% versus 0.3% expected. Year on Year industrial production is up 1.4%Capacity utilization 76.1% versus 75.8% estimate. The index a year ago was at 76.1% as well.Manufacturing output 0.6% versus 0.2% estimate. Year on Year the manufacturing output is up 1.3%, led by utilities which are up 2.7% Not surprising, utilities are helping with demand for AI increasing.The major market groups for industrial production:Final Products MoM: +1.1% vs -0.6% last month. HigherYoY: +1.4% Consumer Goods MoM: +0.9% versus -0.8% last month. HigherYoY: -0.2% Business Equipment MoM: +1.5% versus -0.1% last month. HigherYoY: +6.0% Nonindustrial Supplies MoM: +0.2% versus +0.5% last month. Lower YoY: +1.5% Construction MoM: 0.0% versus +0.9% last month. Lower YoY: +1.2% Materials MoM: +0.5% versus -0.4% last month. HigherYoY: +1.2%Capacity utilization for manufacturingCapacity utilization for manufacturing moved up 0.4 percentage point to 75.8 percent in April and is now 2.4 percentage points below its long-run (1972–2025) average. The operating rate for mining edged down 0.1 percentage point to 84.6 percent, and the operating rate for utilities increased 1.1 percentage points to 71.1 percent. The utilization rates for mining and for utilities were 0.6 percentage point and 12.9 percentage points below their long-run averages, respectively. This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

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The USD continues to move higher as yields move higher

The USD is ticking to highs /new highs as yields continue to move higher. The 10 year yield is now up 10.1 basis points at 4.562 year yield. The 2-year yield Is up 8.1 basis points at 4.073%. The EURUSD is moving back below the 50% midpoint retracement of the rally from the March low, which comes in at 1.16287. The inability to hold above that key technical level gives sellers more control in the short term.The pair is currently trading just above the session low at 1.1618, keeping downside pressure firmly in place. On the topside, resistance comes in near 1.1655, which marked a corrective high earlier today and also served as a key low from April 30 — the lowest level seen going back to April 9.Staying below 1.1655 keeps the near-term bearish bias intact, while a move back above would help ease the downside momentum.The USDJPY is holding above a key swing area between 157.97 and 158.26, helping to keep the technical bias tilted to the upside. However, buyers remain somewhat cautious after failing to extend beyond the session high.The pair is currently trading near 158.55, below the day’s high at 158.67. Even so, staying above the 158.00 area remains constructive technically and keeps buyers more in control.A move back below that support zone would weaken the bullish outlook and shift the bias back to the downside.The GBPUSD has moved back below the 61.8% retracement of the rally from the March 31 low, a key technical level that comes in at 1.33496. The break back below that retracement shifts the near-term bias more to the downside after buyers failed to sustain momentum above the level.The pair is currently trading just under the retracement point, while still holding above the session low at 1.3329. Staying below the 61.8% level keeps sellers more in control, while a move back above would be needed to ease the bearish pressure.The NZDUSD is trading at new session lows and, in the process, is testing the lower end of a key swing area between 0.5839 and 0.5858. Earlier in the day, buyers leaned against the bottom of that zone and helped spark a bounce. However, the pair has rotated lower once again and is now retesting that support area.Adding to the importance of the zone is the 50% midpoint retracement of the rally from the April low, which comes in near 0.5833. A sustained move below this cluster of support levels would tilt the technical bias more firmly to the downside and could open the door for further selling pressure.The AUDUSD broke below its 200-hour moving average yesterday, shifting the technical bias more firmly to the downside. That bearish momentum accelerated today with a sharp selloff that has the pair down roughly 0.96% on the session.The next key downside target comes in at 0.71344, the low from May 5. A break below that level would increase the bearish bias further and likely have traders targeting the next swing area between 0.7100 and 0.7110.Also within that support zone is the 38.2% retracement of the rally from the March low, making the area an important technical battleground for buyers and sellers.The USDCAD is testing the 50% retracement of the decline from the late-March high, which comes in at 1.37576. That key midpoint level has been challenged three separate times today, underscoring its importance as a near-term barometer for buyers and sellers.On the downside, the pair remains supported above the 100-day moving average at 1.37188 and a key swing area between 1.37089 and 1.37149. That support zone now serves as a defined risk area for buyers looking for additional upside momentum.If buyers can finally break and stay above the 50% retracement level, it would open the door for a move toward the next upside targets near 1.3787 and then the 1.3810 area. This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

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Canada Manufacturing Sales for March 3.0% vs 3.5% estimate

Prior month 3.6% revised lower to 3.4%Details for March:Canadian manufacturing sales rose 3.0% in March to $73.6 billion, the highest level since January 2025. The expectation was for a gain of 3.5%. Sales increased in 9 of 21 subsectors, led by: Petroleum and coal products: +22.7% Transportation equipment: +6.0% Excluding petroleum and coal products, manufacturing sales still rose 0.7% in March. Year-over-year manufacturing sales increased 3.5%. In real terms, manufacturing sales rose 1.0%, while the Industrial Product Price Index increased 2.4%. First-quarter 2026 manufacturing sales edged up 0.1% to $214.1 billion, marking the third straight quarterly increase. Top contributors to the quarterly gain: Petroleum and coal products: +4.9% Primary metals: +4.3% Transportation equipment sales fell 6.5% in Q1, the largest quarterly decline among subsectors.How did specific industries do?Petroleum and coal product sales surged 22.7% in March to $9.4 billion, the highest since September 2023. The increase was largely price-driven, as real sales fell 3.5%. Energy and petroleum prices jumped 27.4% amid Middle East geopolitical tensions and disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz. Quarterly petroleum product sales rose 4.9% in Q1 2026, the third straight quarterly increase. Exports of refined petroleum products increased 14.4% in March. Transportation equipment sales rose 6.0% to $11.4 billion in March after a 19.8% gain in February. Motor vehicle sales jumped 15.0%, leading the increase within the sector. Auto production increased following factory retooling completion and the addition of a new production shift at another assembly plant. Motor vehicle and parts exports rose 5.4% in March. Despite the monthly gain, motor vehicle sales fell 13.6% in Q1 2026. Aerospace production rose 5.2% in March to a record $3.0 billion. Growth was supported by strong global demand for commercial aircraft, business jets, aircraft parts, and maintenance services. Q1 aerospace production increased 1.4% to $8.7 billion. Aircraft and aircraft parts exports rose 1.2% in March. This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

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NY Fed manufacturing index for May 19.6 vs 7.5 estimate

The Empire/NY Fed manufacturing index for May shows:Prior month 11.0new orders 22.7 versus 19.3 last month. Highershipments 18.9 versus 20.2 last month. Lowerunfilled orders 4.9 versus 9.1 last month. Lowerdelivery time 20.4 versus 12.1 last month. Higher.Inventories 9.7 versus 5.1 last month. Higher. Prices paid 62.6 versus 51.1 last month. HigherPrices received 31.8 versus 21.8 last month. Higher.Employees 8.3 versus 9.8 last month. Loweraverage employee workweek 11.5 versus 13.7 last month. Lowersupply availability -10.7 versus -10.1 last month. LowerLooking at the data, although the index is higher, things like prices increasing and employment decreasing is a problem. The good news is new orders and shipments did rise.Richard Deitz, Economic Research Advisor at the New York Fed“New York State manufacturing activity grew at its fastest pace in over four years in May. New orders and shipments rose strongly, and employment continued to increase. However, the pace of price increases surged while delivery times and supply availability worsened.” This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

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Fast break the other way.The USD is moving higher,yields spiking, and stocks sharply lower

The broader market mood is turning decidedly more defensive heading into the final trading day of the week. Oil prices are surging higher, equities are under pressure, precious metals are tumbling, and the global bond selloff continues to intensify. Crude oil is leading the move, with the July contract up $2.93 at $99.85, while the expiring June contract is trading at $103.99, up $2.82 ahead of its expiration next week. Meanwhile, gold is down sharply by $94 or -2.05% at $4,554, while silver has plunged $4.84 or -5.88%, underscoring the broader liquidation tone across markets.At the same time, Treasury yields are racing higher across the curve as markets continue to reprice inflation and growth risks. The expectation is for a 60% chance for a Fed rate hike this year. The 10-year yield is up nearly 8.5 basis points at 4.547% — the highest level since May of last year — while the 2-year yield has climbed 6.6 basis points to 4.052%, firmly back above the key 4% threshold after trading as low as 3.70% in April. The bond market is increasingly signaling concern that inflation pressures may remain sticky, especially with energy prices surging higher again. The latest breakout in yields is now becoming too significant for equity markets to ignore after weeks of resilience in stocks despite rising rates.US stock futures are reacting accordingly, with S&P 500 futures implying a decline of 72 points (now -92 points), Nasdaq futures down 394 points (whoops now -500 point), and Dow futures lower by 316 points in premarket trading. The stronger yield backdrop and rising risk aversion are also fueling another leg higher in the US dollar. EURUSD has fallen to a session low of 1.1618, while GBPUSD has slid to 1.3329. Sterling is facing an added headwind from mounting political uncertainty in the UK, as questions surrounding Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s future coincide with sharply higher gilt yields, delivering a double blow to the pound.In the video above, I take a technical look at the three major currency pairs — EURUSD, USDJPY, and GBPUSD — and outline the key technical levels driving the trade. For the week, EURUSD is down -1.28%, GBPUSD has fallen -1.93%, while USDJPY is up 1.21%. The dollar is stronger against all the major currencies in a classic “risk-off” flow environment, with the commodity-linked AUD and NZD getting hit the hardest. In the morning snapshot, the percentage changes versus the dollar are: EUR -0.33%, JPY -0.14%, GBP -0.31%, CHF -0.31%, CAD -0.24%, AUD -0.97%, and NZD -1.15%.Focus will return back to Iran where solutions are still unclear and seemingly not too near. This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

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Canada housing starts for April 279.3K vs 240.0K estimate

Prior month 239.7K (revised higher from 235.9K)Canada housing starts surged 17% in April to a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 279,317 units, up from 239,747 in March. The sharp monthly increase highlights the volatility in housing starts data and why month-to-month changes should be interpreted cautiously. Rural housing starts were estimated at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 13,694 units.The 6 month trends showed: The trend in Canadian housing starts rose 3.2% in April to 256,777 units. The trend measure reflects a 6-month moving average of the monthly seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of total housing starts across Canada. Actual housing starts fell 1% year-over-year in centres with populations over 10,000, with 21,805 units started in April 2026 versus 21,938 in April 2025. Toronto housing starts jumped 34% year-over-year, driven primarily by stronger multi-unit construction. Vancouver housing starts declined 30% year-over-year due to weaker multi-unit and single-detached construction. Montréal housing starts increased 21% year-over-year, supported by stronger multi-unit starts. This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com.

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investingLive European markets wrap: Oil prices, yields surge as Beijing distraction ends

Headlines:Risk-off wave starts to sweep across markets ahead of European tradingTreasury yields jump across the curve, 10-year yields hit near one-year highEUR/USD falls to fresh five-week low as dollar firms in final stretch of the weekBitcoin and Ethereum analysis shows that 'sell the news' might have triggeredIran foreign minister says current negotiations are suffering from lack of trustUS and China have aligning views on Iran, says TrumpAnd so it ends.. Trump boards Air Force One to depart China after his visitUAE set to accelerate new oil pipeline project to help bypass Strait of HormuzMarkets:WTI crude (June contract) up 3% to $104.20, Brent crude up 2.4% to $108.3010-year Treasury yields hit one-year high of 4.54%S&P 500 futures down by 1.1% as equities slumpMajor indices in Europe down between 1.5% to 2.0%USD leads, AUD and NZD lag on the dayGold down over 2% to $4,548, Silver down over 6% to near $78So, Trump's visit to Beijing has come to an end with it being rather uneventful to say the least.If market players were hoping for some breakthrough on trade or at least perhaps some hope that China might offer to help with the Iran situation, then they will be left disappointed.In contrast to his previous meetings, there was no big victory shout by Trump this time around. That just reaffirms the nature of the meeting between the two leaders this week.It was mostly to reaffirm a more stable relationship between the two sides during a time of economic turbulence. That especially after the tariffs war last year.China's main focus was on Taiwan, while the US focused more on trade and business/investment ties. So, that in itself already set the tone for how both sides approached and left the meeting with nothing much to show for in the end.Trump offered no promises on Taiwan and China offered up no promises on helping with the Iran situation. And on trade, we have the usual gestures of goodwill set to follow but that will mostly be just to tie a pretty ribbon on the meeting this week. It won't extend beyond that.As such, markets are not feeling too optimistic as the US-Iran conflict drags on for yet another week now. The Beijing distraction certainly didn't help as it just meant no further progress on the events in the Middle East.Oil prices ramped higher with Treasury yields also seen breaking out to fresh highs in the final stretch of the week. WTI crude (June contract) is up 3% to $104.20 while 10-year Treasury yields hit one-year highs of 4.54%. Even 2-year Treasury yields are up nearly 9 bps to 4.11% - its highest since March last year.In turn, equities are slumping hard with major indices in Europe down around 1.5% to 2.0% on the day. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures are down 1.1% and Nasdaq futures down 1.5% in threatening to wipe out gains for the week.In the major currencies space, the dollar is the one leading the charge with EUR/USD down 0.4% to 1.1625 and GBP/USD down 0.4% to 1.3350 on the day. Meanwhile, AUD/USD is down 1% to 0.7150 amid the more risk-off sweep across markets.Looking over to precious metals, it's a rough day too with gold down over 2% to $4,548 and silver down over 6% to near $78 currently. This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com.

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US and China have aligning views on Iran, says Trump

We don't want Iran to have a nuclear weapon, we want the straits openXi clearly stated that Iran cannot possess a nuclear weaponIt is in China's interest to open the Strait of HormuzWe can destroy Iran's power plants in just two daysChina agreed to buy 200 Boeing planes, with potential commitment to purchase up to 750 planes"I made no commitment on Taiwan"Don't think there's a conflict regarding Taiwan situation, spoke a lot about it with XiSo far, the only comment that China has made regarding the Iran situation after Trump and Xi sat down to talk was: "This conflict, which should never have happened, has no reason to continue."The nature of the comments pretty much sums everything up. As mentioned earlier, the contrasting focus also says a lot about the lack of any real breakthroughs from their meeting this week.The US camp has avoided trying to talk about Taiwan and focused more on trade "victories" and business/investment deals. Meanwhile, China has clearly emphasised that Taiwan is "the most critical issue" regarding bilateral ties at the moment.And on the Iran war, China has given no commitment or promises about trying to mediate the situation. So, that is something that Trump cannot walk away with a win in claiming that he managed to twist Xi's arm into helping him end the war. And Beijing has been very careful about their messaging here so as to not give Trump the opportunity to spin the story.As for the rest of their meeting, I mentioned this earlier:"Trump's visit to China to meet with Xi was mainly for show, with both sides wanting to reaffirm to the world that the two major powers are keeping more stable relations in a time of economic turbulence. That especially after the tariffs war last year that strained ties between the two countries.There will be agreements on trade and a couple of other things to take away from the show in Beijing this week. However, don't expect that to change much in terms of the big picture between the US and China.Soybean purchases, Boeing airplane orders, tech investments, and AI chip orders. There will be some gestures of goodwill to tie a ribbon around the state visit this week but it won't extend beyond that. We've seen this all before and one too many a time already." This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com.

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Iran foreign minister says current negotiations are suffering from lack of trust

We are trying to keep the ceasefire in order to give diplomacy a chanceContradictory messages by the US have made us reluctant about their real intentions on talksAll vessels can pass through Strait of Hormuz except those at war with usVessels wanting to pass should coordinate with Iran navyWe are making the necessary arrangements in coordination with OmanThe situation around the Strait of Hormuz is very complicated and we are trying to helpInterested in continuing energy business with IndiaWe understand consequences of sanctions imposed by USThe comments aren't anything new and mainly reaffirm the existing status quo. With US president Trump making his visit to Beijing this week, the war with Iran took a bit of a backseat for two days. But now with that visit ending, we're back to continuing the focus on the conflict. The most damning remark above is Iran's foreign minister basically saying "we have no trust in Americans".Trump's visit also concludes with no commitments or promises by China to try and help mediate the situation. So, that sort of wipes out any small glimmer of hope of there being a positive development this week.As such, markets are now taking a turn for the worse in the final stretch of the week. Oil prices have ramped higher alongside bond yields and that is now weighing heavily on the risk mood ahead of the weekend.WTI crude (June contract) is up 3.7% to $104.95 with Brent crude up over 3% to $109.06 on the day. This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com.

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How to Trade Nasdaq Futures Today

Nasdaq Futures tradeCompass Today: NQ Sell-the-News Risk With 29320-29375 as the Key Resistance ZonePrediction Score: -4 / +10 Bias: Bearish while NQ remains below the 29320-29375 resistance cluster, with bullish repair only above 29450Nasdaq futures are showing a bearish reversal relative to yesterday’s stronger structure, and the current setup fits a possible “sell the news” environment after the recent event-driven optimism. The 30-minute NQ chart now shows price back below several important reference levels, with the latest rebound attempt struggling around the current VWAP and value area structure. This is not an extreme bearish score because price is still near important intraday support and Friday trade can be jittery. But the structure has shifted enough to favor sellers unless buyers can reclaim a higher confirmation zone.NQ bearish setup: resistance at 29320-29375The main short-side decision zone is 29320-29375.That area matters because it combines several important references: today’s VWAP area today’s POC region today’s value area high the VWAP from two days ago near 29330 nearby failed-repair structure after the overnight decline For traders considering the bearish side, this zone can be treated as a possible short-entry area if price rebounds into it and fails to sustain acceptance above it.The key idea is not to short blindly, but to watch whether price rejects that cluster. If it does, sellers remain in control.Bearish partial profit targets for NQ futuresIf NQ rejects the 29320-29375 area, bearish partial profit targets to consider are:29261 - first quick target, above the POC from two days ago 29206 - just above today’s value area low 29126 - just above the still-naked value area low from two days ago 28955 - above the 28933 value area low from May 12, a relevant weekly support reference The fourth bearish target is intentionally placed above the obvious 28933 level. In fast markets, price can reverse before reaching the exact level many traders are watching.NQ bullish only above 29450The bullish threshold is 29450.A sustained move above 29450 would place NQ back above the 29438 value area high from two days ago. That would weaken the immediate bearish thesis and suggest buyers are attempting a real repair, not only a short-covering bounce.Because the current structure is still vulnerable, a simple wick above the level is not enough. Traders may want to see acceptance, such as a 15-minute hold, a bar close above the level on their preferred timeframe, or another confirmation method they normally use.Bullish partial profit targets for NQ futuresIf NQ sustains above 29450, bullish partial profit targets to consider are:29565 - below yesterday’s value area low and slightly below yesterday’s first lower VWAP deviation area 29640 - below yesterday’s VWAP 29682 - below yesterday’s POC 29739 - below yesterday’s value area high These targets are placed below the obvious reference levels, not directly on them, because strong levels often attract early profit-taking.Practical NQ tradeCompass mapHow traders can use this Nasdaq futures mapThis tradeCompass is a decision map, not a prediction that price must move in one direction.The bearish plan is active if NQ rallies into 29320-29375 and fails there. In that case, traders may consider scaling out at 29261, 29206, 29126, and 28955.The bullish plan only becomes relevant if price sustains above 29450. Above that level, the upside map opens toward 29565, 29640, 29682, and 29739.Because it is Friday and the market may remain jittery, partial profits matter. Traders should avoid waiting for perfect target hits if price reaches an important reaction zone.tradeCompass risk principlesUse the tradeCompass as a structured map, not as a reason to overtrade.A practical rule is to take maximum one long and maximum one short from the same tradeCompass. For example, do not take two separate longs or two separate shorts from the same map. Wait for the next tradeCompass instead.Stops should be placed just beyond the activation threshold with a reasonable buffer. Do not place the stop beyond the opposite threshold. If price breaches the opposite threshold, the setup is already invalid.After TP1 or TP2, some traders may consider moving the stop toward entry, depending on their method and volatility conditions. Partial profits help reduce emotional pressure and protect against reversals.Do not jump the gun on the first crossover. A sustained move matters more than a quick pierce. Some traders may wait 15 minutes, others may require a candle close on a specific timeframe. The key is to avoid being trapped by fakeouts.Trade at your own risk. This Nasdaq futures analysis is for educational purposes only. This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.

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Treasury yields jump across the curve, 10-year yields hit near one-year high

The broader risk mood is worsening on the session as we see oil prices ramp higher while stocks and precious metals sink lower. At the same time, we're seeing bond yields extend higher with Treasury yields jumping across the curve. 30-year yields broke the pivotal 5% threshold earlier this week and we're seeing everything run up now in the final trading day.Of note, 10-year yields in the US are up by over 8 bps to 4.54% - its highest since May last year. Meanwhile, 2-year yields are also shooting higher in moving back above the 4% threshold. That is a big momentum shift after having struggled to clear the 4% mark in March before falling to as low as 3.70% in April. And now, the tide is changing and we're seeing a breakout as the bond market faces a rout.While equities have been racing higher for many weeks already, the situation in the bond market continues to signal worries about inflation and a worsening global economic picture.And with the break of the key thresholds in Treasuries noted above, it looks like broader markets are having to stand up and take notice now as something's gotta give.As such, that is lending itself to a more risk-off wave across markets with the drop in US futures threatening to wipe out the gains for the week. S&P 500 futures are down 1% while Nasdaq futures are down by 1.3% currently.In turn, the dollar is ramping higher across the board in the major currencies space. EUR/USD is down 0.3% to 1.1630 while GBP/USD is down 0.4% to 1.3345 as sterling is also suffering from political uncertainty back home. UK prime minister Starmer's future hangs in the balance and that is compounding woes for the currency as gilt yields also jump up amid a double whammy. This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com.

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UAE set to accelerate new oil pipeline project to help bypass Strait of Hormuz

The pipeline is already under construction but the latest decision by the UAE is to accelerate said project in order to become operational in 2027. The Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi met with the executive committee of the ADNOC board of directors and directed to accelerate delivery of the project.For some context, the UAE's total production capacity is roughly 4.5 million bpd. But with the Strait of Hormuz now in de facto closure, they can only use the Fujairah pipeline to get oil exports out. However, that is only limited to around 1.9 million bpd at best even if running at maximum capacity.So, they are still facing troubles currently in that there is nearly 2.6 million bpd unable to be exported. And not only that, it is worth reminding that the existing pipeline can only carry crude oil. Other refined products such as petrol and diesel still have no alternative routes and remain stranded.The new pipeline under construction is expected to double the existing one and bring the export capacity through Fujairah to nearly 4 million bpd.And with the US-Iran situation potentially dragging on for much longer, the UAE isn't waiting around to find out and are pushing to try and make their own solution by some time next year. This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com.

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Bitcoin Trading Map for Traders Today at investingLive.com

Bitcoin Futures tradeCompass Today: BTC Weak Below 81050, Testing the Lower VWAP BandPrediction Score: -4 / +10 Bias: Bearish while BTC futures remain below 81050-81100, with a possible support reaction near 80650-80700Bitcoin futures are trading under short-term pressure after failing to hold the prior value area and rotating below the current VWAP zone. The latest price action is now testing the lower side of the VWAP band structure, which makes 80650-80700 an important near-term reaction area.The broader chart still shows yesterday’s key levels above price, including the prior VWAP/value area region near 81750-81850 and the upper value zone closer to 82300-82375. That means BTC needs a meaningful repair before the short-term picture improves.Key takeaway for BTC futures todayBTC futures remain bearish below 81050-81100. The first downside area is already being tested near 80650-80700, where the lower 1st VWAP deviation and yesterday’s lower value reference are close enough to create a possible reaction zone. If that area fails, BTC can continue toward 80500, 80250, and the 80000 psychological magnet.Bitcoin futures bullish above 81100The bullish threshold is 81100.This level sits just above the current VWAP area and above the obvious 81000 round number. A quick move above 81000 alone would not be enough. BTC needs to sustain above 81100 to show that buyers are reclaiming the intraday VWAP zone rather than only creating a small oversold bounce.Bullish partial profit targets to considerIf BTC futures accept above 81100, upside targets to consider are:8125081425, near the upper side of the current VWAP band 8165081750-81850, near yesterday’s VWAP/POC resistance zone 82300-82375, if buyers fully repair the prior breakdown The 81750-81850 area is the first major upside resistance cluster. That area matters because it combines yesterday’s important references with a high-volume zone from the prior session. A rally into that region may attract profit-taking or renewed selling unless buyers show clear acceptance above it.Bitcoin futures bearish below 80650The bearish threshold is 80650.BTC is already pressing this zone, so traders should treat it as a live decision area rather than a fresh breakout level. A sustained failure below 80650 would show that the lower VWAP band support is not holding and that sellers remain in control.Stronger bearish below 80500The bearish case becomes more convincing below 80500.That would confirm that BTC has lost the lower support reaction area and may be rotating toward deeper psychological and volume-based levels.Bearish partial profit targets to considerIf BTC futures sustain below 80650, downside partial profit targets to consider are:805008025080075, ahead of the obvious 80000 psychological level 798507950078950-78925, if selling expands toward the broader value-area low The 80000 level is a major psychological magnet, but it is also a crowded target. That is why 80075 can be a more practical partial-profit area for shorts.Key BTC futures support and resistance zonesWhy yesterday’s levels matterYesterday’s VWAP, VAL, VAH, and POC remain important because they show where the prior session built value and where traders previously accepted price.Right now, BTC futures are below the main prior value zone. That keeps the structure defensive. For the market to shift back toward bullish repair, BTC needs to reclaim the current VWAP area first, then work back toward 81750-81850.Until that happens, rallies below 81750-81850 may still be treated as corrective bounces inside a bearish short-term structure.What many Bitcoin traders may get wrongA bounce from the lower VWAP band does not automatically make BTC bullish.The lower band near 80650-80700 can create a reaction, but the better confirmation is whether BTC can reclaim 81100 and then challenge 81750-81850. Without that repair, the market can remain weak even if it pauses near support.How traders can use this Bitcoin futures tradeCompassFor bulls, the first constructive signal is a sustained reclaim of 81100. Above that level, upside targets are 81250, 81425, 81650, and 81750-81850.For bears, BTC remains vulnerable below 80650, with stronger confirmation below 80500. Downside targets are 80250, 80075, 79850, and possibly 78950-78925 if selling pressure expands.How to Trade Crytpo: Practical tradeCompass principlesA tradeCompass is a decision map, not a prediction that price must move in one direction. It gives traders clear bullish and bearish thresholds, partial profit zones, and invalidation levels.1. Wait for sustained acceptanceDo not jump the gun on the first crossover above or below a tradeCompass level. A quick pierce can be a fakeout. Some traders may wait 15 minutes, others may wait for a candle close on their chosen timeframe, and others may use their own confirmation method. The key is to see that price is actually holding beyond the level, not just briefly touching it.2. Trade one direction per tradeCompassAvoid flipping back and forth too aggressively. If the bullish setup triggers, focus on the bullish map. If the bearish setup triggers, focus on the bearish map. Over-trading both sides of the same map can lead to poor execution and emotional decisions.3. Take partial profitsDo not assume price will reach every target. Consider scaling out at predefined partial profit targets. This helps lock in gains while still leaving room for a larger move if momentum continues.4. Move the stop after progressAfter TP1 or TP2 is reached, traders may consider moving the stop to entry, or close to entry, depending on volatility and the instrument. This reduces the risk of turning a good trade into a losing one.5. Place the stop beyond the activation threshold, not beyond the opposite thresholdFor a long setup, the stop should usually be slightly below the bullish activation area, with a reasonable buffer. For a short setup, the stop should usually be slightly above the bearish activation area. The stop should not be placed beyond the opposite tradeCompass threshold. If price reaches the opposite threshold, the original setup is already invalid.6. Respect fakeout riskRound numbers, VWAP areas, value levels, and prior highs/lows can attract liquidity hunts. A move above or below a level is not enough by itself. Watch whether price stays there, builds acceptance, and does not immediately snap back.7. Do not over-tradeA tradeCompass is meant to reduce noise, not create constant trades. If price is stuck between the bullish and bearish thresholds, that is often a decision zone, not a high-conviction entry area.8. Trade at your own riskThe tradeCompass provides structured decision support, but it does not guarantee any outcome. Position size, stop placement, and risk management remain the trader’s responsibility.This is a decision map, not a guarantee. Trade Bitcoin futures at your own risk. This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.

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Bitcoin and Ethereum analysis shows that 'sell the news' might have triggered

Crypto futures turn defensive as Nasdaq weakness adds sell-the-news pressure after Trump-Xi eventBitcoin futures are mildly bearish short term, while Ether futures are showing a cleaner bearish structure. At the time of writing, Nasdaq futures are down around 1.2% from yesterday’s close, roughly 1 hour and 45 minutes before the US stock premarket opens. That is not a small move for this stage of the session, and it adds weight to the idea that markets may be shifting into a post-event “sell the news” or risk-off phase after the Trump-Xi meeting/event.As the highly anticipated Xi-Trump meeting concludes, we are seeing classic "sell the news" positioning begin to materialize in the cryptocurrency space, fueled by broader macro anxieties as a risk-off wave starts to sweep across markets ahead of European trading. This jittery sentiment is being amplified by resurfacing geopolitical tensions, highlighted by the fact that South Korean stocks reverse record highs as Trump patience on Iran wears thin, prompting speculative capital to quickly rotate out of high-beta assets. However, while short-term profit-taking is evident, a major bearish macro reversal is far from confirmed; underlying market mechanics are still being heavily supported by adjacent tech liquidity narratives, particularly the Bitcoin, Cerebras IPO mania, and the SpaceX speculation angle traders are watching, which suggests buyers may simply be retreating to moving averages like the 200-day to wait for a safer entry point before resuming the structural trend.Key takeaways for Crypto Traders on 15 May, 2026:BTC futures score: -3 / +10 - mildly bearish short term, but the daily structure is not fully broken. ETH futures score: -5 / +10 - bearish short term and weaker than BTC. Relative strength: BTC > ETH - Bitcoin is holding up better than Ether. Macro backdrop: Nasdaq futures weakness increases the risk that crypto follows broader risk assets lower. Best relative expression: Long BTC / Short ETH, if BTC continues to hold better and ETH keeps lagging.What is the crypto futures outlook today?The combined read is defensive. Bitcoin futures are under short-term seller control after failing to extend yesterday’s bullish repair, while Ether futures are showing a weaker and more decisive downside pattern.The important macro overlay is Nasdaq futures. A move of around -1.2% from yesterday’s close before the US premarket opens suggests risk appetite is fading early. If this weakness continues into the cash session, it may pressure crypto as well, especially the weaker parts of the market.This is where the Trump-Xi event risk matters. Markets often rally into a major event on hope, positioning, and liquidity. Once the event is behind the market, traders may reduce exposure, take profit, or fade the move if there is no fresh catalyst strong enough to extend the rally.That does not mean crypto must collapse. But it does mean that the burden of proof is now on buyers.Bitcoin futures analysis today: Mildly bearish, but not brokenBTC futures score: -3 / +10Bitcoin is weaker short term, but not fully broken on the daily structure.The May 14 daily bar showed a meaningful bullish repair, with stronger buyer response and higher value acceptance. However, the current May 15 bar is not confirming that impulse so far. Price is digesting lower, sell volume is above buy volume, and the short-term value area has slipped.Key BTC futures levelsThe short-term bearish case strengthens if BTC stays below 81,100-81,700 and then loses 80,540. That would suggest sellers are not only rejecting the prior repair area, but also forcing a lower-value acceptance phase.For bullish repair, BTC needs to reclaim 81,700-81,750 with stronger buying participation. Without that reclaim, rebounds should be treated cautiously.Ether futures analysis today: Cleaner bearish structure than BTCETH futures score: -5 / +10Ether is the weaker crypto futures market right now.ETH did not show the same clean daily repair that Bitcoin showed. While BTC printed a stronger bullish daily response on May 14, ETH had higher volume but still could not produce clean positive buyer control. That matters because rising activity without bullish acceptance can point to supply still being active.ETH is also trading below important short-term and daily reference areas. The latest intraday breakdown moved into the 2,248.5 area, with lower value acceptance and a wider downside range.Key ETH futures levelsThe bearish ETH case remains active while price stays below 2,266-2,270. A stronger breakdown would be confirmed if ETH accepts below 2,240.5.For repair, ETH first needs to reclaim 2,275-2,282. A stronger invalidation of the bearish read would require a move back above 2,300-2,310.Bitcoin Futures Test Key Resistance: Bear Flag Risk or Short Trap Setup?My simple chart above shows Bitcoin spot price sitting at a major decision point. It is one of those areas where several important technical forces meet at the same price zone: trend structure, statistical resistance, and trader psychology.In simple terms, the market is testing a level where both bulls and bears have a strong reason to act.1. Normal channel vs. regression channelThere is an important difference between a regular price channel and a linear regression channel.A normal channel is drawn manually. A trader connects a few swing lows, projects a parallel line across the swing highs, and uses that as support and resistance. It can be useful, but it is also subjective. Two traders can draw it slightly differently.A linear regression channel is more statistical. It calculates the “best-fit” trend line through price over a specific period, then adds upper and lower bands based on how far price usually moves away from that average path.Why does this matter?Because a regression channel helps show when price is stretched relative to its recent trend. When price reaches the upper band, it is not automatically bearish, but it does mean price is statistically expensive for that window. That is where some traders and algorithms start looking for mean reversion, profit-taking, or short setups.2. The bear flag riskEven though price has been grinding higher inside the blue channel, the bigger structure still carries risk.The sharp drop on the left side of the chart into February can be viewed as the “flagpole.” The slow upward channel that followed can be viewed as the “flag.”That is why some traders may see this as a potential bear flag.A bear flag often happens after a strong selloff, when price slowly drifts higher but does not show enough strong buying to fully reverse the prior damage. In that case, the move higher may only be a corrective bounce before sellers try to take control again.The important trigger would be a daily close below the lower side of the regression channel. If that happens, the bear flag thesis becomes much more serious, and traders may start looking for a larger downside move.3. The bullish “handle” scenario and the short trapBut the bearish case is not guaranteed.Markets are fluid. Just because price gets rejected at resistance does not mean the entire recovery is finished.If bulls can absorb the selling pressure without losing the lower regression band, price may start moving sideways below the 200-day simple moving average. That kind of sideways digestion can create a “handle” structure, similar to a cup-and-handle or volatility contraction setup.This is where the short trap can develop.If price chops sideways long enough, the 200-day moving average can flatten or move closer to price. That makes the breakout level easier to attack. Then, if price suddenly breaks above both the upper regression band and the 200-day SMA, the bear flag thesis gets invalidated.At that point, traders who shorted the resistance zone may be forced to cover. Their stop-loss orders become buy orders, and that can fuel a fast move higher.In crypto, this kind of setup can move quickly because positioning often becomes crowded around obvious technical levels.4. Why selling here makes senseFor now, the rejection near $81,932 is not surprising. It does not necessarily mean the asset is fundamentally weak. It simply means price reached an area where many market participants are expected to sell.There are several reasons for that:The upper band of the linear regression channel is acting as statistical resistance.The 200-day SMA is a major trend reference watched by traders, funds, and algorithms.Traders who bought near the February lows may be taking profits.Short sellers may see this as a clean risk-reward area to defend.So the current selling pressure is logical. The real question is what happens next.If selling pressure leads to a break below the lower regression channel, the bear flag scenario gains strength.But if price absorbs the selling, holds the structure, and later breaks above the 200-day SMA, the setup can flip from bearish rejection to bullish breakout fuel.For crypto traders, this is the key point: the level itself is not the full signal. The reaction after the test is what matters most.BTC vs ETH: Which crypto futures market is stronger?Bitcoin is stronger than Ether right now.The difference is not extreme, but it is meaningful. BTC still has some daily repair structure behind it. ETH has a weaker daily sequence, weaker short-term value migration, and a sharper intraday breakdown.That makes ETH the cleaner short-against candidate if risk-off sentiment continues.Trade scenario: Long BTC / Short ETHThe most logical relative-value idea is:Long BTC / Short ETHPair score: 6.5 / 10This is not a pure bullish Bitcoin call. It is a relative strength expression. The idea is that BTC may hold up better if crypto remains under pressure, while ETH may remain the weaker leg.The pair idea works best if: BTC avoids a decisive loss of 80,540 ETH remains below 2,266-2,270 Nasdaq futures weakness continues to pressure risk assets ETH fails to reclaim 2,275-2,282 BTC continues to show better relative stability than ETH If BTC also breaks down aggressively, the pair becomes less attractive because both legs may move lower together. In that case, a direct ETH short may be cleaner than a relative BTC/ETH expression.What would confirm bearish continuation?For BTC futures, bearish continuation strengthens if price stays below 81,100-81,700 and breaks below 80,540.For ETH futures, bearish continuation strengthens if price stays below 2,266-2,270 and breaks below 2,240.5.The broader risk-off read strengthens if Nasdaq futures remain weak into the US premarket and early cash session. Crypto traders should watch whether equities stabilize or whether the early decline turns into a broader de-risking move.What would invalidate the bearish crypto read?The bearish read would weaken if Bitcoin reclaims 81,700-81,750 and Ether reclaims 2,275-2,282.A stronger bullish repair would require ETH to recover 2,300-2,310, while BTC would need to push back above the repaired daily value area near 82,250.Until then, the market remains tilted toward short-term caution.Today’s summary for Bitcoin and Ether futures tradersBitcoin futures are mildly bearish at -3 / +10, but the daily structure is not fully broken. Ether futures are weaker at -5 / +10, with a cleaner bearish short-term setup and more damaged intraday structure.The key macro risk is that Nasdaq futures are already down around 1.2% before the US premarket opens. That supports the possibility of a broader risk-off move after the Trump-Xi event is behind the market.For directional shorts, ETH currently looks cleaner than BTC. For relative-value traders, BTC is the stronger leg and ETH is the weaker leg. The practical map is simple: BTC needs to hold above 80,540, while ETH needs to recover 2,275-2,282 to reduce downside pressure. Until those conditions change, caution remains justified.Always do your own research and trade crypto futures at your own risk only. The above is for educational purposes only. This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.

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And so it ends.. Trump boards Air Force One to depart China after his visit

And that ends the sidetracking period for markets, with the focus and attention now switching back to the Middle East.Trump's visit to China to meet with Xi was mainly for show, with both sides wanting to reaffirm to the world that the two major powers are keeping more stable relations in a time of economic turbulence. That especially after the tariffs war last year that strained ties between the two countries.There will be agreements on trade and a couple of other things to take away from the show in Beijing this week. However, don't expect that to change much in terms of the big picture between the US and China.Soybean purchases, Boeing airplane orders, tech investments, and AI chip orders. There will be some gestures of goodwill to tie a ribbon around the state visit this week but it won't extend beyond that. We've seen this all before and one too many a time already.Meanwhile, there was very little emphasis on the Middle East conflict and Iran situation. And for market players who were hoping that there might be something, they will be left disappointed heading into the weekend it seems. This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com.

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The Path to $8,000: How Continuous Trading Infrastructure Accelerates Gold's Repricing

Deutsche Bank recently published a scenario analysis projecting that gold could reach $8,000 per ounce within the next five years. And current market realities reflect this upward momentum. Yahoo Finance data shows COMEX gold futures for June 2026 reaching $4,731 per ounce, which marks an 8.24% increase year-to-date. This historic repricing of precious metals will not unfold on a tidy, predictable COMEX schedule. Instead, the market is entering a phase punctuated by weekend geopolitical announcements, central bank disclosures, and unexpected supply shocks that hit exactly when Western traditional futures markets are closed. Global capital is increasingly seeking infrastructure capable of pricing these events instantly. The shift from current levels to the projected highs will rely on immediate market reactions.When Legacy Hours Limit the Macro TradeGlobal crises don’t adhere to standard banking hours and traditional trading platforms introduce significant friction during periods of acute geopolitical tension. Recent supply disruptions and escalations in the Strait of Hormuz frequently developed over weekends. The crisis left institutional and retail traders paralyzed if they relied solely on legacy exchanges. When markets gap upon Monday openings, participants absorb unnecessary risk and miss critical execution windows. Crypto-native infrastructure fills this exact void by offering stablecoin settlement and continuous uptime. "When we launched TradFi perpetual contracts, we knew there was latent demand from our users for round-the-clock access to commodities and macro assets. But $103 billion in combined April volume across the segment—with Binance capturing 59% of that—tells us this is a structural shift in how traders want to engage with markets like gold, oil, and equities. They don't want to wait for London or New York to open. They want to act when the news breaks. And we're building the infrastructure to let them do exactly that," said Binance Global Product & Designer Lead Jeff Li. This continuous access ensures market participants maintain control over their macro exposure regardless of when news breaks.The Infrastructure Absorbing the ShockA massive volume migration toward continuous perpetual platforms is currently underway. Recent data from CoinDesk shows that commodities accounted for $83 billion, representing 81% of the total traditional finance perpetual volume in April. Within this expanding segment, gold and silver make up 64% of Binance's commodity trading activity. This heavy concentration demonstrates a clear preference among traders for safe-haven assets during periods of acute macroeconomic stress. Investors are actively seeking platforms that can handle heavy transaction flows outside traditional market hours.During this period, Binance captured a 59% overall market share in the traditional finance perpetuals space. The platform handled $60.6 billion in total volume, establishing itself as the primary price-discovery venue when major global catalysts fire outside of conventional banking hours. Strong market depth allows these massive capital flows to clear without the structural bottlenecks seen on legacy exchanges. Traders are moving their hedging operations to venues that are designed to offer constant liquidity. The data indicates a structural shift where round-the-clock trading replaces delayed execution models.Compressing the Repricing TimelineThis continuous trading infrastructure directly accelerates the projected timeline for the $8,000 gold forecast. The Deutsche Bank thesis notes that central banks have added over 225 million troy ounces to their reserves since the 2008 financial crisis. The transition toward a less dollar-dependent world is happening in real time. Historical data reinforces this shift. The USD’s share of global reserves dropped steadily from 71% in 2000 to 59% at the end of 2025.The availability of deep, 24/7 liquidity pools for precious metals perpetuals allows institutional and retail capital to price in these macro shifts instantly. Traders no longer have to wait for Monday morning bells to react to sovereign wealth reallocations or surprise central bank moves. This continuous pricing mechanism compresses a multi-year repricing timeline into sharper, more immediate market reactions that legacy markets struggle to capture. The ability to trade continuously around the clock removes the lag inherent in traditional finance, forcing global asset prices to reflect new realities the moment they emerge.The Midnight Price Discovery MechanismThe journey from $4,600 to $8,000 gold demands trading infrastructure capable of digesting global shocks in real time, regardless of the day or hour. Platforms offering continuous access to macro markets will dictate the pace of future price discovery. The rigid schedules of traditional exchanges are increasingly incompatible, especially with a financial system reacting to weekend geopolitical developments and sudden macroeconomic shifts. Traders need environments that support instant execution and robust liquidity whenever volatility strikes. And real-time market environments are reshaping how capital responds to global uncertainty. This article was written by IL Contributors at investinglive.com.

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