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Nomura International Wealth Management Expands DIFC Presence With New Dubai Premises
Nomura has officially opened new premises for its International Wealth Management business in the Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC), reinforcing its long-term commitment to the Middle East and strengthening its footprint in one of the world’s fastest-growing financial hubs.
The move marks an important milestone in Nomura’s regional expansion strategy, following the launch of its Dubai wealth management office in 2023. Since then, the business has scaled steadily, supported by expertise from Nomura Singapore Limited and the recruitment of senior relationship managers with deep regional experience.
Takeaway: Nomura’s new DIFC premises signal a long-term commitment to building a scalable, regionally anchored international wealth management franchise in the Middle East.
Building a Regional Wealth Management Platform
Nomura’s Dubai office was established to extend its International Wealth Management capabilities into the Middle East, leveraging Singapore as a hub for investment expertise, structuring, and product access. The initial focus was on serving the South Asian diaspora across the Middle East, Africa, and South Asia (MEASA) region—a client segment with increasing cross-border wealth and sophisticated investment needs.
That foundation has enabled the business to grow rapidly. According to Nomura, the combination of a strong platform, targeted hiring, and regional client demand has driven successful expansion in a relatively short timeframe.
With the opening of larger premises, Nomura is now positioned to support a growing on-the-ground team and broaden its client coverage beyond its original focus.
Expanding Client Coverage Across the GCC
As the Dubai operation matures, Nomura is shifting toward sustainable, diversified growth. The firm plans to expand coverage to include local high net worth individuals, single family offices, and external asset managers across the UAE and the wider Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC).
This evolution reflects broader trends in the region, where wealth pools are becoming more institutionalised and globally connected. Family offices and professional asset managers are increasingly seeking international investment access, structured solutions, and advisory expertise from global institutions with a strong local presence.
Nomura’s strategy aligns with these dynamics, positioning the firm as a partner for clients seeking both global reach and regional insight.
Takeaway: After establishing a base with the South Asian diaspora, Nomura is broadening its focus to local UHNW clients, family offices, and asset managers across the GCC.
DIFC as a Strategic Growth Hub
The expansion also underscores the growing role of DIFC as a gateway for international financial institutions operating across MEASA. DIFC offers a globally recognised regulatory framework, deep capital markets connectivity, and a concentration of financial talent that continues to attract leading banks, asset managers, and wealth platforms.
Salmaan Jaffery, Chief Business Development Officer at DIFC Authority, said Nomura’s expansion reflects both the firm’s regional growth story and the opportunities Dubai offers global institutions.
“As the leading global financial hub in MEASA, DIFC provides the ideal platform for international institutions to strengthen their operations and capture new regional opportunities,” Jaffery said. “We are pleased to see Nomura deepen its presence in the Centre, reinforcing Dubai’s role as a global destination for capital and talent.”
For Nomura, DIFC provides not only regulatory certainty but also proximity to clients, counterparties, and decision-makers across the region.
Supporting Growth With On-the-Ground Presence
Ravi Raju, Head of International Wealth Management at Nomura, highlighted the importance of physical presence in driving client engagement and growth.
“DIFC has long established itself as a key international financial centre,” Raju said. “At Nomura, we have seen high growth with our on-the-ground presence here in a short span of time. This move into a larger space will allow us to cater to our expanding team in Dubai and to better serve our growing client franchise in this region.”
The new premises are designed to support collaboration, client servicing, and further hiring as the business scales. This reflects a broader industry trend in which global wealth managers are investing in local infrastructure to capture long-term regional growth rather than operating purely through booking centres abroad.
Takeaway: Nomura’s investment in larger premises reflects confidence in regional demand and the importance of local teams in delivering global wealth solutions.
Positioning for Long-Term Regional Growth
Nomura’s expansion in Dubai comes as Middle Eastern wealth continues to grow in scale and complexity. The region is seeing increased intergenerational wealth transfer, greater interest in international diversification, and rising demand for sophisticated advisory and structuring services.
By strengthening its DIFC presence, Nomura is positioning itself to participate more deeply in these trends, offering clients access to global markets while maintaining strong regional relationships.
The new office opening is therefore not just a real estate milestone, but a signal of intent: Nomura is building a durable wealth management franchise in the Middle East, anchored in DIFC and integrated into its global platform.
As competition intensifies among international banks for regional wealth mandates, Nomura’s expanded presence places it firmly among the institutions betting on Dubai as a long-term centre of gravity for global private wealth.
Technical Analysis – BTCUSD loses steam below pivot point
BTCUSD under multi-week pressure below 20-day SMA
On track for its worst quarter since 2022
Momentum indicators signal further trader fatigue
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is trading near 87,500 on Tuesday, extending its consolidation below the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) for the eleventh consecutive session and hovering around the midline of the broader 84,200-93,600 range that has held for just over a month.
The largest cryptoasset is now heading for its worst quarter since April 2022, down more than 23%, and is set to close its third consecutive month in the red. For context, Bitcoin ended six out of the twelve months in the red in 2025, leaving the year down over 6%. This weakness comes as gold surges to new records and US equities gear up for the traditional ‘Santa rally’. Adding to the pressure, Strategy, the biggest corporate holder of Bitcoin, announced plans to sell stock to brace for a potential crypto winter.
The prolonged range-bound movement reflects market indecision, as traders await clearer macro and seasonal signals – an outlook mirrored by momentum indicators. The MACD remains in negative territory but above its signal line, while the RSI is flatlining below the neutral 50 threshold.
Downside risks could push Bitcoin lower, with initial support at the 86,000 round figure. A deeper pullback would expose the range floor at 84,300, followed by a full retracement of the October rally from the record high, targeting 80,500.
That said, recovery potential remains intact. A break above the 89,206 20-day SMA pivot point could open the door for a rebound toward the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the October-November decline at 91,364, located just beneath the 50-day SMA, followed by the monthly highs at the 93,600 range ceiling.
All in all, despite any near-term recovery, traders remain cautious heading into year-end, as evidenced by price action and declining institutional demand reflected in steady ETF outflows. For now, holding within the current range is critical – a drop below 80,500 could trigger a severe sell-off.
FanDuel and CME Group Launch FanDuel Predicts, Bringing Event Trading to Mainstream Audiences
FanDuel and CME Group have unveiled FanDuel Predicts, a new mobile platform designed to let U.S. customers trade on the outcomes of major financial, economic, cultural, and sports events. The launch marks a notable convergence between online gaming and regulated derivatives markets, opening prediction-style trading to a far broader audience than traditional futures and options platforms.
The initial rollout begins in Alabama, Alaska, South Carolina, North Dakota, and South Dakota, with a phased national expansion planned over the coming months and into early 2026. FanDuel Predicts will be available via the Apple App Store and Google Play, integrating FanDuel’s existing identity verification and compliance infrastructure.
Takeaway: FanDuel Predicts blends regulated derivatives market mechanics with a consumer-friendly mobile experience, expanding access to event-based trading.
A New Way to Trade on Headlines
FanDuel Predicts allows customers to express a view on real-world outcomes by buying or selling event contracts tied to future events. Contracts are priced between $0.01 and $0.99, with users selecting “Yes” if they believe an event will occur or “No” if they believe it will not.
The platform is designed to feel intuitive for existing FanDuel users while introducing concepts drawn from prediction markets and derivatives trading. By keeping contract pricing simple and transparent, the app lowers the barrier to entry for users who may have never interacted with futures or options before.
To access the platform, customers must complete a full Know Your Customer (KYC) process, including submission of a birth date, Social Security number, home address, banking details, and a government-issued ID. This mirrors the onboarding standards used across regulated financial markets and reflects CME Group’s involvement as the underlying derivatives marketplace.
Financial, Economic, and Sports Markets in One App
FanDuel Predicts will initially offer event contracts tied to a wide range of benchmarks and indicators. These include major equity indices such as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100, commodity prices for oil, gas, and gold, cryptocurrency benchmarks, and macroeconomic indicators such as GDP and CPI.
Beyond financial markets, the platform will also offer sports-related event contracts across baseball, basketball, football, and hockey in states where online sports betting is not yet legal, excluding tribal lands. As states move to legalize online sports betting, FanDuel Predicts will withdraw sports event contracts in those jurisdictions, maintaining a clear separation between prediction-style trading and regulated sports wagering.
Takeaway: The platform spans financial indicators, macro data, and sports events, positioning prediction markets as a hybrid between investing and gaming.
Strategic Goals for FanDuel and CME Group
For FanDuel, the launch represents an expansion beyond traditional sports betting and gaming into adjacent financial engagement. James Cooper, Senior Vice President of Flywheel and New Ventures at FanDuel, said the new platform gives customers a way to engage with the world’s biggest stories, from Federal Reserve decisions to major sporting outcomes.
“This launch in five states will provide valuable insights into customer engagement with this new platform, enabling us to refine our approach as we expand to additional states in 2026,” Cooper said.
For CME Group, the partnership offers a pathway to reach a vastly larger audience than traditional derivatives platforms typically serve. By embedding CME-backed prediction markets into FanDuel’s consumer ecosystem, the exchange operator is effectively testing how simplified event contracts resonate with mainstream users.
Lynne Fitzpatrick, President and Chief Financial Officer of CME Group, described the launch as a pivotal step in expanding the reach of CME products, enabling a new generation of users to express views on global benchmarks, economic indicators, and more.
Consumer Protection and Responsible Participation
FanDuel has emphasized that consumer protection standards applied across its gaming platforms will also extend to FanDuel Predicts. At launch, users will be able to set deposit limits, receive deposit alerts, or self-exclude entirely if needed.
The platform will also provide access to mental health and responsible gaming support services through Kindbridge Behavioral Health. These measures reflect growing regulatory and public scrutiny around the intersection of gaming mechanics and financial products, particularly when simplified trading tools are offered to retail audiences.
The integration of robust safeguards is likely to be critical as prediction markets attract users who may be engaging with financial-style risk for the first time.
Takeaway: FanDuel Predicts combines simplified trading with built-in consumer protections to address regulatory and social responsibility concerns.
Implications for Prediction Markets in the U.S.
The launch of FanDuel Predicts comes amid rising interest in prediction markets as tools for price discovery, sentiment analysis, and user engagement. Historically, these markets have been confined to niche platforms or institutional participants. By bringing event trading into a familiar gaming app, FanDuel and CME Group are testing whether prediction markets can scale to mass-market adoption.
The initiative also highlights a broader trend: regulated exchanges and fintech platforms are increasingly exploring simplified, outcome-based products as a way to engage retail users without exposing them to the complexity of traditional derivatives trading.
If successful, FanDuel Predicts could influence how exchanges, brokers, and gaming platforms think about the future of event-based markets, potentially accelerating innovation at the intersection of finance, data, and consumer engagement.
Looking Ahead
The rollout of FanDuel Predicts will continue across additional states through early 2026, with expansion dependent on regulatory considerations and user adoption. As the platform scales, both FanDuel and CME Group will be closely watching how customers interact with event contracts across financial, economic, and sports categories.
At a time when headlines move markets faster than ever, FanDuel Predicts represents a bold experiment in democratizing how individuals engage with future outcomes—bringing prediction markets from the trading floor to the smartphone.
VanEck Forecasts Dominant Bitcoin Rebound Amid Global Liquidity Shift
VanEck’s investment management team has released its highly anticipated 2026 outlook, predicting that Bitcoin is positioned for a major "performance catch-up" after a period of significant underperformance relative to traditional tech indices. David Schassler, VanEck’s Head of Multi-Asset Solutions, highlighted a stark dislocation in the current market, noting that Bitcoin has lagged the Nasdaq 100 by approximately 50% throughout 2025. This divergence, according to Schassler, is not a sign of fundamental weakness but rather a buildup of coiled potential that historically precedes a sharp vertical recovery. The firm maintains that the core investment thesis for digital gold remains intact, driven by a persistent global trend toward monetary debasement and the necessity of scarce, non-sovereign assets. As central banks navigate the complexities of funding massive fiscal liabilities, VanEck anticipates that the inevitable return of global liquidity will act as the primary catalyst for a substantial Bitcoin rally in the coming year.
Macroeconomic Drivers and the Resurgence of Hard Assets
The cornerstone of VanEck’s bullish thesis centers on the intensifying "debasement trade," a scenario where investors flee devaluing fiat currencies in favor of assets with fixed supplies. The firm’s 2026 projections suggest that gold could surge to $5,000 per ounce, acting as a lead indicator for the broader hard-asset complex that includes Bitcoin. Schassler argues that the infrastructure demands of the artificial intelligence revolution, combined with re-industrialization efforts across the West, are creating a "structural power crunch" that favors assets linked to energy and compute. By positioning Bitcoin as a "top performer" for 2026, VanEck is signaling a move away from the speculative volatility of the past and toward a role as a critical pillar of the "new world economy." The firm’s research indicates that once the current phase of tight liquidity reaches its terminal point, the transition back to an expansionary environment will favor Bitcoin more than any other major asset class due to its unique combination of digital scarcity and institutional accessibility.
Technical Signals and the Bullish Implications of Miner Capitulation
Adding a technical layer to the macroeconomic outlook, VanEck’s Head of Digital Assets Research, Matthew Sigel, has identified several on-chain signals that suggest a market bottom is currently forming. One of the most significant indicators is the recent 4% drop in the Bitcoin network hash rate, a phenomenon often associated with "miner capitulation." Sigel points out that historically, periods of declining hash rate have preceded positive returns over the subsequent 90 to 180 days with a high degree of statistical probability. Furthermore, while short-term speculators have retreated, VanEck’s data shows that long-term "diamond hand" holders and corporate treasuries have continued to accumulate assets during recent price dips. This transfer of supply from weak to strong hands, combined with the successful reset of speculative leverage following the October 2025 flash crash, has created a robust foundation for the next leg of the bull cycle. As the market enters 2026, VanEck expects these structural dynamics to override short-term sentiment, paving the way for a recovery that could challenge previous all-time highs.
S&P 500 and Gold Surge to Record Highs Amid Robust GDP Growth
The U.S. stock market achieved a historic milestone on December 23, 2025, as the S&P 500 closed at a new all-time high of 6,909.79. This rally was primarily fueled by a surprisingly strong third-quarter Gross Domestic Product report, which showed the American economy expanded at an annualized rate of 4.3%. This figure significantly outperformed economists' median forecasts of 3.2%, marking the fastest pace of growth since the autumn of 2023. Technology stocks led the charge, with artificial intelligence heavyweights like Nvidia rising 3% to pace the gains. Despite persistent concerns over high valuations, investors have interpreted the resilient growth data as a sign that the "Goldilocks" scenario of above-potential growth and moderating inflation remains intact as the market heads into the traditional Santa Claus rally period.
Safe-Haven Demand Propels Gold and Silver to Unprecedented Milestones
Parallel to the equities surge, the commodities market witnessed its own record-breaking performance as spot gold prices officially crossed the psychological $4,500 per ounce threshold. Settling near $4,515, gold has gained over 70% in 2025, on track for its strongest annual performance since 1979. This historic move is being attributed to a combination of geopolitical risk hedging and expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts in the coming year. Silver also participated in the rally, touching a fresh all-time high of $71.60 per ounce. The synchronized rise of both risk assets like the S&P 500 and defensive assets like gold suggests a complex market environment where high-end consumer spending and AI investment are driving growth, while geopolitical tensions and currency debasement fears are simultaneously pushing capital into hard assets.
Yield Sensitivity and the Changing Outlook for Interest Rates
While the headline indices celebrated new peaks, the bond market reacted with caution to the robust economic data. The 10-year Treasury yield remained steady near 4.17%, but shorter-dated yields rose as traders dialed back expectations for an aggressive series of rate cuts in early 2026. This shift indicates that the Federal Reserve may maintain a more restrictive stance for longer to ensure inflation continues its downward trajectory toward target levels. For corporate earnings, this environment presents a double-edged sword; while strong growth supports revenue, higher-for-longer interest rates continue to pressure sectors outside of the high-margin technology space. As the 2025 trading year draws to a close, the focus remains on whether this momentum can broaden beyond mega-cap tech to support a sustainable grind higher across the wider economy.
Spain Accelerates Digital Asset Oversight with 2026 MiCA and DAC8 Implementation
Spain has positioned itself at the forefront of European financial regulation by confirming the full implementation of two pivotal frameworks—the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation and the Directive on Administrative Cooperation—by 2026. While the European Union established a general deadline of July 1, 2026, for the complete application of MiCA, the Spanish government, through the National Securities Market Commission and the Ministry of Economy, has notably shortened the transitional "grandfathering" period for existing service providers. This accelerated timeline requires all entities operating within the Spanish territory to transition toward full authorization significantly ahead of their continental peers. By 2026, the Spanish regulatory landscape will have shifted from a registry-based system under the Bank of Spain to a rigorous licensing regime that mandates strict capital requirements, robust consumer protection standards, and enhanced operational resilience for all crypto-asset service providers.
The DAC8 Reporting Mandate and the End of Transactional Anonymity
Parallel to the market conduct rules of MiCA, the enforcement of DAC8 on January 1, 2026, will fundamentally alter the tax transparency requirements for digital asset users in Spain. This directive mandates that all exchanges and wallet providers—regardless of their size or geographic location—automatically report detailed information on users' transactions, balances, and fund flows to the Spanish Tax Agency. Unlike previous years where tax residents were largely responsible for self-reporting foreign holdings via Form 721, the new framework creates a direct pipeline of data between the industry and the authorities. This "zero-opacity" era allows the AEAT to conduct automatic parallel assessments, matching reported data against individual tax returns. Experts highlight that this level of traceability will virtually eliminate the ability to maintain undisclosed crypto portfolios, as the Spanish tax authorities will now have the power to freeze or liquidate digital assets on regulated platforms to settle outstanding tax liabilities.
Operational Readiness and the Impact on the Spanish Fintech Ecosystem
The move toward full implementation in 2026 is driving a massive wave of technical and legal restructuring among Spanish fintech firms and international platforms serving the Iberian market. To maintain their "passporting" rights across the EU, companies are currently overhauling their internal compliance systems to meet the dual demands of MiCA’s prudential rules and DAC8’s reporting protocols. This includes the integration of advanced Know-Your-Customer procedures and the adoption of standardized data formats for transaction reporting. While the shortened transitional period has placed immense pressure on smaller domestic startups, the CNMV maintains that this fast-track approach is necessary to provide legal certainty and protect Spanish investors from the systemic risks observed in unregulated global markets. As the January 2026 deadline approaches, the Spanish digital asset sector is undergoing a consolidation phase where only the most well-capitalized and transparent operators are expected to survive the transition into the new institutional-grade regulatory environment.
Silver Overtakes Tech Giants to Become Third Largest Global Asset
The global financial hierarchy underwent a seismic shift on December 23, 2025, as silver’s market capitalization surged past those of Microsoft and Alphabet to claim the position of the world's third-largest asset. Following a historic rally that saw spot prices break above $69 per ounce, silver’s total above-ground valuation reached approximately $3.75 trillion. This milestone represents a 175% increase in value since early 2024, a performance that has dramatically outpaced both gold and the broader equity markets. Analysts attribute this explosive growth to a "perfect storm" of supply-side constraints and a massive expansion in industrial demand. As the metal leapfrogged some of the most dominant names in the technology sector, it solidified its new status not just as a speculative commodity, but as a foundational pillar of the modern global economy.
Industrial Scarcity and the Green Energy Supercycle
The primary engine behind silver's ascent to the global top three is its indispensable role in the clean energy transition. In 2025, the demand for silver from the photovoltaic and electric vehicle sectors reached record highs, accounting for over 50% of total annual consumption. Unlike other commodities, silver possesses the highest electrical and thermal conductivity of any metal, making it nearly impossible to substitute in high-efficiency solar cells and advanced automotive electronics. This industrial necessity has collided with a multi-year deficit in mine production, leading to a severe liquidity squeeze in major bullion hubs like London and New York. As global inventories plummeted to decade lows, institutional investors shifted their focus toward silver as a high-beta play on both industrial growth and monetary debasement, propelling the market cap beyond the $3.7 trillion mark previously dominated by Silicon Valley's "Magnificent Seven."
Monetary Hedge and the Re-rating of Precious Metals
Beyond its industrial utility, silver has reclaimed its historical mantle as a primary monetary hedge, benefiting from the same "debasement trade" that pushed gold to its own all-time highs this month. With global central banks continuing to diversify away from traditional fiat reserves, retail and institutional interest in physical silver ETFs has reached an all-time peak. The metal is increasingly viewed as an essential insurance policy against the long-term inflationary pressures created by massive government debt levels across the G7 nations. Financial experts note that silver's recent price action suggests a fundamental re-rating of the asset class; for the first time in the modern era, silver is being valued based on its dual identity as a critical technological component and a sovereign-grade store of value. As the 2026 fiscal year approaches, silver now trails only gold and Nvidia in the global asset rankings, marking the first time in decades that two precious metals have occupied the top three spots simultaneously.
Institutional Disengagement Deepens as Crypto ETF Flows Remain Negative
Institutional participation in the cryptocurrency market has entered a significant cooling-off period as spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs recorded a continued trend of net negative flows. As of late December 2025, the 30-day simple moving average for US-based crypto ETF flows has remained below zero, signaling a phase of subdued participation and a certain level of disengagement from major institutional allocators. On December 23, specifically, BlackRock’s Ethereum ETF recorded zero million in daily net flows, illustrating a potential standstill in institutional interest as the year draws to a close. This "wait-and-see" attitude among larger investors is frequently associated with year-end profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing following the substantial gains achieved earlier in the year. Analysts suggest that this contraction in liquidity is a key driver behind Bitcoin's recent struggle to reclaim the $90,000 level.
The Impact of Year-End Volatility and Liquidity Contraction
The negative flow trend observed since early November has reinforced a broader liquidity contraction across the digital asset market. With Bitcoin trading near $87,400, down from its recent local highs, the lack of fresh institutional capital has allowed short-term volatility to exert greater influence on price action. Traders are closely monitoring these flow metrics as they often correlate with critical support and resistance levels; a prolonged period of neutral or negative flows often precedes a phase of consolidation or minor pullbacks. While retail interest remains relatively steady, the absence of the aggressive "buying pressure" that characterized the first half of 2025 has led to a more cautious market sentiment. This environment highlights the transition of Bitcoin and Ethereum from purely speculative assets to institutional products that are now subject to the same seasonal cycles as traditional financial instruments.
Market Implications and the Outlook for Early 2026
Despite the current disengagement, the fundamental infrastructure for institutional crypto access remains stronger than ever. The zero-flow event at BlackRock and the broader outflows from other major funds are interpreted by many as a necessary consolidation phase rather than a long-term bearish reversal. As attention shifts to the 2026 fiscal year, the outlook for a rebound in ETF flows appears tied to the broader macroeconomic environment, including potential shifts in Federal Reserve policy and the implementation of new regulatory frameworks like those proposed in Russia. For now, the "wait-and-see" approach of institutional desks has created a lull in market momentum, providing an opportunity for long-term holders to accumulate while the speculative froth is cleared. The ability of the market to absorb these redemptions without a sharp collapse in price is seen as a sign of growing maturity and resilience within the decentralized finance ecosystem.
Trade Republic Reaches €12.5bn Valuation in €1.2bn Secondary Share Sale
Trade Republic has reached a €12.5 billion valuation following a €1.2 billion secondary share transaction, underscoring the rapid growth of Europe’s largest digital retail investment platform and the accelerating shift toward private investing across the continent.
The transaction, completed by existing and new institutional investors, marks Trade Republic’s third consecutive profitable year and reinforces its long-term ambition to build Europe’s leading digital banking and savings platform.
Takeaway: Trade Republic’s €12.5bn valuation highlights rising investor confidence in Europe’s retail investing and digital savings transformation.
Strong Investor Backing Signals Long-Term Conviction
The €1.2bn transaction was structured as a secondary sale, with investors acquiring shares from early shareholders rather than injecting new primary capital. The deal values Trade Republic at €12.5bn and reflects growing demand for exposure to profitable, scaled fintech platforms in Europe.
Existing backers including Founders Fund, Sequoia, Accel, TCV, and Thrive Capital increased their stakes, reaffirming long-term conviction in the company’s strategy and execution. The round also attracted new global investors such as Wellington Management, GIC, Fidelity Management & Research Company, Khosla Ventures, Lingotto Innovation, and Aglaé, the technology investment arm of the Arnault family.
The breadth of the investor base — spanning venture capital, sovereign wealth funds, and long-term asset managers — signals confidence not only in Trade Republic’s growth trajectory, but also in the structural shift underway in how Europeans save and invest.
From Trading App to Pan-European Savings Platform
Founded in 2019, Trade Republic launched with a mission to help close Europe’s growing pension gap by giving retail investors simple, low-cost access to capital markets. That mission has become increasingly relevant as public pension systems across Europe face demographic pressure and funding challenges.
According to co-founder Christian Hecker, the platform has more than doubled its customer base over the past 18 months, now serving over 10 million users who collectively manage approximately €150 billion in assets. Notably, around 70% of customers are first-time investors, highlighting the platform’s role in broadening market participation.
“We launched in 2019 with a mission to help close Europe’s pension gap,” Hecker said. “Today this is more important than ever as the public pension system is under growing pressure to fulfill its promises.”
Takeaway: Trade Republic is evolving from a low-cost trading app into a full-scale, pan-European savings and investment platform.
Policy Tailwinds and Pension Reform Accelerate Adoption
The company’s growth is unfolding alongside a broader cultural and policy shift toward private investing in Europe. Governments, including Germany, have begun advancing pension reforms designed to encourage long-term stock ownership among the general population.
These reforms are helping to legitimize equity investing as a mainstream savings tool rather than a niche activity, creating favorable conditions for platforms like Trade Republic that combine accessibility, automation, and low fees.
Hecker noted that the secondary transaction reflects early stages of a broader transformation. “This transaction underlines that the cultural shift to retail investing in Europe is only starting,” he said.
Regulatory Progress and Product Expansion
Trade Republic’s momentum has also been supported by regulatory progress. The company has raised more than €1 billion in primary capital across earlier funding rounds and secured a full banking license from the European Central Bank in 2023, significantly expanding its ability to offer savings and banking products.
In 2025, Trade Republic localized its offering across key European markets including France, Italy, Spain, the Netherlands, and Austria, strengthening its position as a cross-border platform rather than a single-market fintech.
The product suite has expanded beyond equities and ETFs to include child savings accounts, private markets access, fixed income products, and a crypto wallet, reflecting a strategy to become a long-term financial home for retail savers.
Takeaway: Regulatory approval and product diversification are positioning Trade Republic as a long-term financial platform, not just an investment app.
Profitability Sets Trade Republic Apart
Unlike many high-growth fintech peers, Trade Republic has now recorded profitability for three consecutive years. This financial discipline has helped distinguish the company at a time when investors are prioritizing sustainable business models over growth-at-all-costs strategies.
The secondary nature of the transaction also suggests that Trade Republic is not under pressure to raise capital for operations, instead enabling early stakeholders to realize liquidity while allowing new investors to participate in the company’s next phase of growth.
This balance between scale, profitability, and regulatory credibility is increasingly rare in consumer fintech and may help explain the depth of demand seen in the transaction.
Looking Ahead
With more than 10 million customers, €150bn in assets under management, and expanding banking capabilities, Trade Republic is positioning itself at the center of Europe’s evolving savings ecosystem.
As pension reform, demographic change, and digital adoption converge, platforms that can combine trust, simplicity, and scale are likely to play a central role in shaping how Europeans build long-term wealth.
The €12.5bn valuation may mark not a peak, but a milestone in what investors increasingly see as a multi-decade shift toward retail-led capital market participation across Europe.
Bank of Russia Proposes Comprehensive Framework for Retail Crypto Access
The Bank of Russia has formally unveiled a new regulatory framework designed to provide Russian residents with legal access to cryptocurrency markets while maintaining strict investor safeguards. Announced on December 23, 2025, the proposal marks a definitive shift from the central bank's previous stance of total prohibition. The central bank has already submitted its proposed legislative changes to the government for review, with an ambitious goal to finalize the legal groundwork for the entire crypto ecosystem by July 1, 2026. This move follows the realization that nearly 20 million Russians are already active in the digital asset market, holding significant value in Bitcoin and stablecoins. By formalizing the sector, the regulator aims to bring underground activity into a transparent, state-monitored system that protects users while managing capital flow risks.
A Tiered System for Non-Qualified and Professional Investors
The proposed framework introduces a tiered access system that categorizes investors based on their financial knowledge and capital. Under these rules, non-qualified retail investors will be permitted to acquire highly liquid crypto assets, though their annual purchases will be capped at 300,000 rubles, or approximately $3,845. Furthermore, these individuals must pass a mandatory risk awareness test before being granted permission to trade through licensed Russian intermediaries. In contrast, qualified investors will have broader access to a wider range of digital assets, excluding only certain privacy coins that obscure transaction details. This structure is intended to prevent inexperienced traders from suffering catastrophic losses in the highly volatile crypto market while still allowing the Russian financial system to benefit from the liquidity and innovation inherent in blockchain technology.
Institutional Integration and the Crackdown on Illegal Intermediaries
The central bank's plan extends beyond individual traders to include strict operational standards for crypto exchanges, custodians, and other service providers. These entities will be required to follow regulations similar to those governing traditional banks, including robust measures for countering the financing of terrorism and money laundering. To enforce these new standards, the regulator intends to introduce legal liability for illegal crypto operations starting in July 2027, with penalties for unregistered intermediaries that mirror those for illegal banking activities. While the framework permits the trade and holding of digital assets as "monetary value assets," it reaffirms that the use of cryptocurrency for domestic payments within Russia remains strictly prohibited. This balanced approach seeks to harness the economic potential of the digital asset sector as a "new export item" without undermining the sovereignty of the national ruble.
tZERO Expands Tokenization Infrastructure With New Layer-1 Integrations
tZERO Group, Inc. has expanded its tokenization infrastructure to support additional Layer-1 (L1) blockchains, adding Stellar, XDC Network, and Algorand to its growing multi-chain ecosystem. The move builds on tZERO’s existing integrations with Ethereum, Tezos, and Avalanche, as well as its previously announced partnership with Polymarket, reinforcing the firm’s strategy to provide regulated, chain-agnostic infrastructure for tokenized assets.
The expansion is aimed squarely at institutional issuers and investors seeking flexibility, regulatory alignment, and scalability in how assets are tokenized, traded, and settled. Rather than committing to a single blockchain architecture, tZERO is positioning its platform as an open framework where issuers can select the network that best fits the asset’s structure, liquidity profile, and compliance requirements.
Takeaway: tZERO is doubling down on a chain-agnostic strategy, giving issuers flexibility to choose blockchain networks without sacrificing regulatory oversight.
Building a Multi-Chain Tokenization Model
At the core of tZERO’s approach is its Tokenize + Trade + Connect business model, which integrates compliant asset issuance, regulated trading, and seamless settlement into a single infrastructure stack. By expanding to additional L1 networks, the company is broadening the technical options available to issuers while maintaining a consistent regulatory and operational framework.
“Different assets require different technological foundations,” said Alan Konevsky, Chief Executive Officer of tZERO. “By integrating multiple Layer-1 networks into our open ecosystem, we’re giving issuers and investors the freedom to choose the platform that aligns best with their goals – whether that’s for speed, cost, or a specific ecosystem – all within the regulated, end-to-end environment tZERO provides.”
This issuer-centric model reflects a wider shift in institutional tokenization. As real-world asset (RWA) projects mature, market participants are increasingly prioritizing settlement efficiency, governance controls, and jurisdictional compliance over allegiance to any single blockchain. tZERO’s strategy acknowledges that tokenization use cases are diverse and that infrastructure must be adaptable to support them.
Why Chain-Agnostic Infrastructure Matters
Tokenization is no longer confined to experimental pilots. Institutions are exploring on-chain representations of private credit, real estate, structured products, and cross-border payment instruments. Each of these asset classes carries different operational demands, from transaction throughput and cost predictability to privacy controls and investor eligibility rules.
Chris Russell, Chief Information Security Officer at tZERO, highlighted how these differing requirements inform the company’s multi-chain strategy. “An issuer of a high-volume traded security may prioritize low fees and high throughput, while an issuer of a tokenized real estate fund might prefer the deep security and established liquidity of a more mature network,” he said.
By supporting multiple L1 blockchains within a single regulated framework, tZERO aims to reduce fragmentation while allowing issuers to optimize for their specific needs. This approach also helps mitigate concentration risk, ensuring that the failure or congestion of a single network does not constrain broader market activity.
Takeaway: Institutional tokenization demands flexibility—different assets require different performance, security, and compliance features.
Expanding the Tokenization Landscape
The newly supported networks each bring distinct capabilities to tZERO’s ecosystem:
Stellar – A blockchain with a ten-year track record, Stellar is purpose-built for asset issuance and financial services. It supports both decentralized assets and compliance-forward tokenization models, making it well suited for payment-linked instruments and regulated digital assets.
XDC Network – Designed with enterprise adoption in mind, XDC combines public transparency with private transaction features through its hybrid architecture. Its XDC 2.0 mechanism enables high-throughput, low-latency transactions, appealing to regulated sectors such as finance, trade finance, and logistics.
Algorand – Algorand’s Layer-1 framework is tailored for digital securities, with built-in compliance tools such as asset freezing and clawback. Its Pure Proof-of-Stake consensus delivers fast settlement and predictable costs, characteristics valued by institutional market participants.
By integrating these networks, tZERO is effectively widening the design space for tokenized products, enabling issuers to align blockchain selection with regulatory expectations and investor distribution strategies.
Implications for Regulated Digital Asset Markets
The expansion underscores a broader trend in digital asset infrastructure: regulation and interoperability are becoming as important as technological innovation. Institutions entering tokenization markets are looking for platforms that can support compliance across jurisdictions while remaining flexible enough to evolve alongside regulatory standards.
tZERO’s regulated, end-to-end model is designed to meet these expectations by combining blockchain optionality with oversight, governance, and market connectivity. This could prove particularly relevant as regulators increasingly scrutinize how tokenized assets are issued, traded, and custodied.
By extending its infrastructure across multiple L1 networks, tZERO is positioning itself as a bridge between traditional market structures and on-chain innovation, rather than as a blockchain-native platform tied to a single ecosystem.
Takeaway: Multi-chain, regulated infrastructure is emerging as a prerequisite for institutional-scale adoption of tokenized assets.
Looking Ahead
tZERO indicated that additional blockchain integrations are expected, suggesting that its multi-chain roadmap is still in its early stages. As institutional interest in RWAs, digital securities, and on-chain settlement continues to grow, the ability to offer interoperable, compliant infrastructure across networks may become a key differentiator.
Rather than betting on one blockchain to dominate, tZERO is making a broader wager: that the future of tokenization will be modular, multi-chain, and governed by regulatory standards familiar to institutional market participants. If that thesis holds, platforms that combine flexibility with compliance could play a central role in shaping the next phase of digital capital markets.
XRP Struggles to Reclaim Two Dollar Threshold Amid Year-End De-Risking
XRP has entered the holiday season under significant technical pressure, with its price oscillating between $1.88 and $1.91 as of December 24, 2025. This current valuation represents a nearly 50% decline from the year’s local high of $3.67 achieved in July, signaling a period of prolonged consolidation. Analysts observe that despite the resolution of the SEC lawsuit earlier this year and the successful launch of spot XRP ETFs in November, the asset has struggled to maintain upward momentum. The failure to sustain the psychologically important $2.00 level has shifted the short-term market bias toward the downside, as traders increasingly engage in year-end profit-taking and tax-loss harvesting. While the broader crypto market faces a general "risk-off" sentiment, XRP’s specific price action reflects a deeper tug-of-war between steady institutional accumulation and aggressive distribution by long-term holders.
Technical Resistance Blocks and the Threat of Further Retracement
The technical map for XRP is currently defined by a dense cluster of resistance levels that bulls must overcome to invalidate the prevailing downtrend. The most immediate hurdle sits between $1.93 and $1.95, a zone that has repeatedly rejected recovery attempts throughout December. Beyond this, a more substantial resistance block spans from $2.07 to $2.25, where the 50-day moving average aligns with the upper boundary of a long-term descending channel. If the asset fails to clear the $1.90 pivot on a daily closing basis, the risk of a deeper retracement toward the $1.80 primary support level increases significantly. A breach below this floor could expose the market to even lower objectives, potentially testing the April lows near $1.62 or the October flash-crash support at $1.25 in a high-volatility holiday environment.
Institutional ETF Resilience vs. Fading Network Activity
Despite the sluggish price action, XRP investment products have demonstrated surprising resilience, recording a 25-day streak of positive net inflows as of late December. These inflows, which exceeded $80 million in a single week, suggest that institutional appetite remains robust even as retail interest appears to be waning. However, on-chain data paints a more cautious picture, with daily active addresses on the XRP Ledger dropping from over 13,000 in November to just under 3,500 today. This decline in network engagement, coupled with "whale" wallets gradually trimming their positions, indicates that the current market relies heavily on passive ETF demand to offset spot selling. For XRP to stage a meaningful rebound in early 2026, market participants are looking for a stabilization in network utility and a decisive break above the 20-day exponential moving average currently situated near $1.98.
Bybit Introduces Specialized Insurance Fund Pools to Curb Trading Risk
Bybit, the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume, officially began rolling out a sophisticated new insurance fund mechanism on December 19, 2025. This upgraded system is specifically designed to enhance protection for USDT perpetual contracts and significantly reduce the frequency of auto-deleveraging events during periods of extreme market volatility. The initiative follows a year of rapid growth for the platform, which recently reached a milestone of 80 million global users. By shifting from a monolithic fund structure to a more granular, pool-based approach, Bybit aims to boost its average loss-absorption capacity per contract by over 200%. This proactive adjustment ensures that the exchange remains a resilient liquidity hub, capable of handling the massive trading surges that characterized the fourth quarter of 2025.
The Strategic Rollout of New Listing and Portfolio Insurance Pools
The core of the new mechanism lies in the creation of two specialized categories: the New Listing Insurance Fund Pool and the Portfolio Insurance Fund Pool. The New Listing pool provides a dedicated capital buffer of at least $8 million for newly listed USDT perpetual contracts during their first 30 days, a period typically marked by high price discovery and volatility. Simultaneously, the Portfolio pool groups up to nine correlated contracts together, sharing a secondary reserve of $2 million to $4 million to manage shared liquidity risks. This structured approach allows Bybit to provide targeted protection tailored to the specific risk profiles of different assets, rather than relying on a single general fund. Traders can monitor these fund balances and drawdown ratios in real-time through an updated API interface, providing a new layer of transparency to the platform's risk management operations.
Mitigating Auto-Deleveraging and Enhancing Market Stability
A primary objective of this insurance overhaul is to provide a stronger defense against Auto-Deleveraging (ADL), a process where profitable positions are closed to cover the losses of bankrupt accounts when insurance reserves are exhausted. By increasing the capital allocated to individual contract groups, Bybit significantly raises the threshold required to trigger ADL, thereby protecting successful traders from involuntary exits during flash crashes. The exchange has also implemented an 8-hour drawdown threshold of 30%, which acts as an automated circuit breaker to preserve fund solvency. Furthermore, Bybit retains the authority to manually inject capital into these pools during "black swan" events, ensuring that the platform’s execution quality remains dependable even under duress. This evolution in insurance architecture marks a significant step in Bybit’s transition toward a more institutional-grade financial infrastructure.
Gnosis Executes Hard Fork to Recover Funds From $116M Balancer Hack
What Did Gnosis Do After the Balancer Hack?
Operators of the Gnosis Chain carried out a hard fork this week to recover funds linked to the $116 million Balancer exploit disclosed in November. The action followed earlier emergency measures taken by validators and comes after weeks of coordination between node operators, developers, and affected protocols.
In a post on X published Tuesday, Gnosis confirmed that the hard fork had been executed and that the affected funds were now “out of the hacker’s control.” While the project did not specify whether the recovery was partial or complete, the statement pointed to a material change in the status of assets previously considered lost.
The hard fork was executed on Monday after a majority of validators had already adopted a soft fork in November. That earlier step was taken to contain the damage from the exploit, which targeted Balancer-managed contracts deployed on Gnosis Chain.
Investor Takeaway
A chain-level intervention to recover funds is rare. The move shows how far ecosystems may go to protect users when exploits reach systemic scale.
How Did the Balancer Exploit Unfold?
On Nov. 3, Balancer disclosed that its decentralized exchange and automated market maker had been exploited, with losses exceeding $116 million. Onchain data later showed that the attacker moved millions of dollars’ worth of staked ether into newly created wallets, complicating recovery efforts.
Balancer later said that white hat hackers and internal rescue efforts managed to retrieve roughly $28 million of the stolen assets. Even so, the majority of funds appeared to remain inaccessible, prompting continued discussions among developers and infrastructure providers about extraordinary recovery measures.
The exploit affected a subset of Balancer’s deployment, specifically V2 Composable Stable Pools. According to the project, the vulnerability was isolated to that pool design rather than the broader protocol.
Why Did Gnosis Choose a Hard Fork?
Hard forks are among the most extreme tools available to blockchain communities, as they alter the chain’s state and require broad validator coordination. In this case, Gnosis had already seen validator support for intervention through the earlier soft fork, creating a path toward a more decisive action.
Philippe Schommers, head of infrastructure at Gnosis, addressed the recovery effort in a Dec. 12 forum post. He said discussions were still underway around how affected users would claim recovered funds and how contributors involved in the rescue effort might be recognized or compensated.
“Right now we’re focused on enabling funds to be recovered by Christmas,” Schommers wrote. He added that once the assets sit in a DAO-controlled wallet, the community would determine the next steps.
The emphasis on DAO custody suggests that, while the chain-level intervention moved assets away from the attacker, governance decisions around distribution and compensation remain unresolved.
Investor Takeaway
Hard forks to reverse exploit outcomes introduce governance risk alongside security protection. Investors should weigh both when assessing protocol exposure.
What Does This Say About DeFi Security?
The Balancer exploit has reignited scrutiny around the limits of smart contract audits. Public records show that Balancer V2 underwent 11 audits conducted by four separate security firms. Despite that review history, the exploit still occurred.
The incident adds to a growing list of attacks that bypass formal audits by targeting edge cases in contract logic rather than obvious coding errors. It also highlights how interconnected DeFi deployments can spread risk across chains, drawing infrastructure providers like Gnosis into incident response.
For Gnosis, the fork sets a precedent that may influence future governance decisions when exploits affect critical infrastructure. For DeFi users, it reinforces that even well-audited systems carry tail risk, and that recovery paths can extend beyond the protocol itself.
Whether the hard fork leads to full restitution remains to be seen. What is clear is that the response to the Balancer exploit has moved from protocol-level fixes to chain-level intervention, raising new questions about decentralization, governance, and responsibility in times of crisis.
flatexDEGIRO Hit With €560,000 BaFin Fine for Fee Disclosure Failures
What Did BaFin Penalize—and Why?
Germany’s financial regulator BaFin has imposed two administrative fines totaling €560,000 on flatexDEGIRO Bank AG for breaches of the German Securities Trading Act tied to how the broker presented its pricing. The case centers on advertising used at the start of 2022, when the firm promoted investment services as “free” on two websites without clearly stating that a regular processing fee applied.
BaFin said the disclosures did not meet statutory transparency rules intended to prevent retail investors from being misled about costs. While flatexDEGIRO later adjusted its practices in 2022 to meet legal requirements, the regulator proceeded with enforcement based on the earlier conduct.
In absolute terms, the penalty is small for a large retail brokerage. In regulatory terms, it reflects a clear line: marketing language that highlights zero-cost trading must present any associated fees plainly and alongside the headline claim.
Investor Takeaway
“Free” trading claims remain a compliance flashpoint. Even fixed or routine processing fees must be presented clearly at the point of marketing, not buried in later disclosures.
Why Fee Transparency Is a Priority for Regulators
European supervisors have increased scrutiny of retail broker pricing as low-cost, high-volume models spread across the region. Where commissions are low or absent, revenues often come from processing fees, spreads, or other embedded charges. Regulators expect those costs to be easy for customers to understand before they trade.
This focus has intensified alongside changes to execution and order-routing rules. Policymakers want to avoid situations where simple pricing messages mask the true economic cost of trading or influence how orders are handled. From BaFin’s perspective, transparency is not a formality; it is a core investor-protection rule.
In this case, the issue was not the existence of a processing fee, but the way it was presented. Advertising that frames services as “free” while omitting a clear reference to routine charges risks creating an inaccurate impression for retail users.
Why flatexDEGIRO Draws Attention
flatexDEGIRO runs one of Europe’s largest retail brokerage platforms. Across its flatex and DEGIRO brands, the group serves roughly 3 million customer accounts and processes more than 60 million securities transactions each year. Its growth has relied on self-directed trading, digital onboarding, and simple pricing messages that resonate with cost-conscious investors.
The current structure dates back to the 2020 acquisition of Amsterdam-based DEGIRO by Germany’s flatex. After the deal, the group centralized banking operations under a German license, bringing it squarely under BaFin’s supervision. That shift placed greater emphasis on governance, controls, and customer-facing compliance.
As retail trading surged during and after the pandemic-era market boom, supervisory attention followed. High transaction volumes and cross-border operations tend to amplify regulatory interest, particularly where marketing practices play a central role in customer acquisition.
Investor Takeaway
Large retail platforms face closer scrutiny on how pricing is marketed. Scale magnifies conduct risks when simplified messages are used to attract mass-market clients.
Part of a Longer Supervisory Record
The fine adds to a multi-year supervisory record between BaFin and flatexDEGIRO. In 2022, a special audit identified serious shortcomings in areas such as risk management and anti-money laundering controls. That review led to remedial requirements and closer oversight.
In early 2023, BaFin imposed a separate administrative fine of just over €1 million and appointed a special representative to monitor corrective actions. The appointment indicated that the regulator viewed the problems as structural. By late 2024, flatexDEGIRO said the mandate ended after remediation steps were completed and assessed positively.
Seen in that context, the €560,000 penalty fits a pattern of sustained supervisory pressure—not only on internal controls, but also on front-end conduct such as advertising and disclosures.
What the Case Signals for the Market
For flatexDEGIRO, the immediate financial effect is limited. The broader impact lies in reputation and in the message sent to competitors. As margins tighten and competition increases, brokers relying on simplified pricing claims may face closer examination of how those claims are framed.
For BaFin, the action reinforces a visible approach to supervision in the post-Wirecard era. Even relatively small conduct breaches are addressed publicly, reinforcing expectations around transparency and discipline in retail finance.
As retail participation in markets continues to grow, the decision serves as a reminder that “free” trading remains a regulatory red line. Where costs exist, regulators expect them to be stated plainly—and they are willing to enforce that standard.
Crypto.com Builds In-House Market Maker as Prediction Markets Expand
What Is Crypto.com Doing?
Crypto.com is assembling an internal market-making team as part of its push into prediction markets, a step that has drawn attention as outcome-based trading gains momentum across both crypto and traditional finance. The move was first reported by Bloomberg, which cited a job posting for a quantitative trader role tied to buying and selling contracts on Crypto.com’s prediction platform.
The role focuses on markets linked to the outcomes of sporting events, placing the exchange directly on both sides of certain trades. That structure is common in derivatives and prediction markets but remains sensitive, particularly when the platform operator is also involved in providing liquidity.
In response to questions, Crypto.com said the internal trading desk operates within U.S. regulatory rules and is disclosed to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. According to the company, the team supports liquidity across its North American derivatives business rather than acting as a profit-driven proprietary trading arm.
Investor Takeaway
Prediction markets need constant liquidity to function. Building an internal market maker gives Crypto.com more control over spreads and execution quality, but also places its governance and compliance practices under closer watch.
Why Is Market-Making in Prediction Markets Sensitive?
Prediction markets differ from spot crypto trading in that outcomes are binary or event-based. Liquidity often concentrates around short timeframes, making spreads volatile and order books thin without active market makers. For exchanges, supplying liquidity can improve pricing and participation, but it also raises questions about conflicts when the venue itself is trading.
Bloomberg’s report drew attention to these dynamics as Crypto.com expands its offering. Critics of exchange-led market-making often point to information asymmetry: whether an internal desk might see customer flow earlier or gain insights unavailable to external participants.
Crypto.com directly addressed those concerns. A spokesperson said that internal and external market makers operate under the same rules, with no priority access to order flow or proprietary customer data. “No market maker at Crypto.com gets a ‘first look’,” the spokesperson said, adding that the internal desk has no advantage over other participants.
The company also said it does not rely on proprietary trading as a revenue stream. “We have a simple business model providing our retail customers access to digital assets for a fee, while staying risk neutral,” the spokesperson said.
Is Crypto.com an Outlier?
The use of market makers in prediction markets is not unique to Crypto.com. Most platforms rely on designated liquidity providers rather than purely peer-to-peer trading, especially during early growth phases.
Kalshi, a federally regulated event-contract exchange, uses designated market makers to support trading activity. Those arrangements have been publicly acknowledged, and reporting has shown that quantitative trading firms have supplied liquidity as volumes increased. The model has allowed Kalshi to scale while keeping spreads tight during periods of heavy interest.
Polymarket, a decentralized prediction market that gained visibility during the U.S. presidential election cycle, is also building its own internal market-making capability, according to Bloomberg. Despite its on-chain structure, Polymarket faces the same liquidity challenges as centralized venues when activity spikes around major events.
Across the sector, the pattern is consistent: prediction markets struggle without active liquidity provision, and exchanges are increasingly choosing between relying on external firms or developing in-house desks.
Investor Takeaway
Internal market making is becoming standard in prediction markets. The key variable for regulators and users is not who provides liquidity, but how conflicts, data access, and disclosures are handled.
What Does This Say About the Prediction Market Push?
Crypto.com’s hiring effort highlights how quickly prediction markets are moving from niche products to mainstream trading tools. Platforms are racing to support higher volumes, tighter spreads, and smoother execution as interest grows around sports, politics, and economic events.
At the same time, scrutiny is rising. U.S. regulators have made clear that event-based contracts fall within established derivatives frameworks, placing pressure on platforms to show that internal trading activity does not disadvantage customers or blur regulatory boundaries.
For Crypto.com, the internal desk appears designed to stabilize markets rather than speculate. Whether that distinction holds up will depend on transparency, auditability, and how closely regulators monitor exchange-led liquidity provision as prediction markets scale.
What is clear is that prediction markets are no longer experimental side products. As more exchanges invest in infrastructure and staffing, the debate is shifting from whether these markets belong in regulated finance to how they should operate at scale.
BitMine Adds $88M in ETH as Ethereum Treasury Holdings Top a Whopping 4M
BitMine Immersion Technologies has expanded its Ethereum treasury again by acquiring roughly $88 million worth of ETH. According to on-chain data and filings, the latest purchase takes the company’s total Ethereum holdings to over 4 million tokens. The accumulation adds to a strategic reserve that positions BitMine as the largest institutional holder of ETH globally and also shows sustained confidence in Ethereum’s long-term growth.
The fresh purchase also reflects BitMine’s systematic accumulation strategy, which involves the firm accumulating more ETH after an initial $140 million worth within the past week, amid market volatility and macro uncertainty. By embracing a long-term approach to Ethereum, BitMine reminds the world that it views ETH as a store of value for investors.
BitMine Drives Consistent Accumulation of ETH Amid Market Volatility
As usual, BitMine’s latest addition was executed via over-the-counter channels and multiple wallet transfers designed to minimize market impact and preserve liquidity for existing holders. On-chain analytics suggest that the acquisition was structured over time instead of in a single, bulky trade.
The company’s holdings of more than 4 million ETH place it at the top of Ethereum treasuries globally. The continued interest is due to Ethereum’s continuous development, shifting from a gas-fee-driven “programmable chain” to a potential backbone for real-world tokenization, decentralized finance (DeFi), and institutional payment systems.
Crypto Markets and Institutions Get A Strong Signal
On one hand, BitMine’s move is a strategic approach to diversifying the company’s balance sheet. On the other hand, the significant increase in ETH holdings sends multiple signals to markets, institutional investors, and competitors.
First, it reiterates institutional confidence in Ethereum’s long-term role. Also, it shows that the markets are mature for whale purchases that won’t impact liquidity. Other institutions can acquire large amounts of ETH without causing significant price slippage using the same format as BitMine.
Additionally, it reflects the ongoing competition in the Ethereum treasury space, as BitMine continues to reinforce its pole position despite the presence of similar entities. As the firm continues to build its treasury, it reflects a broader trend among institutional allocators who view Ethereum not merely as a speculative token but as a foundational digital asset with diversified utility and strategic value.
However, significant Ethereum exposure carries risks, especially price volatility. Ethereum historically exhibits sharp price swings, influenced by macro trends, network upgrades, and speculative trading. Large concentrated holdings can amplify both profits and losses on treasury balance sheets.
Liquidity and exit considerations also exist. Accumulating at scale via OTC desks mitigates market impact during entry but poses questions about exit strategies if institutional positions are rebalanced. Well-defined liquidity channels are essential for managing such positions responsibly.
Whether the BitMine approach becomes a template for other institutions will largely depend on how regulatory, macroeconomic and technical narratives evolve through 2026 and beyond.
IMF Says El Salvador Is in Talks to Sell State-Run Chivo Bitcoin Wallet
San Salvador — On Monday, the International Monetary Fund said that El Salvador is moving forward with talks to sell its state-run Chivo Bitcoin wallet. This could mean that the government is moving further away from directly managing cryptocurrency infrastructure.
The IMF released the report as part of its ongoing evaluation of a $1.4 billion loan facility agreed in 2024. The financing came with stipulations to mitigate the risks associated with the country's early embrace of Bitcoin.
"Well Advanced" Talks for Chivo Sale
The IMF's mission chief for El Salvador said in an official statement that "negotiations for the sale of the government e-wallet Chivo are well advanced." The fund also said that talks on the larger Bitcoin project are ongoing and that they are "focused on increasing transparency, protecting public resources, and lowering risks."
This change aligns with the loan requirements, which state that the government should stop involvement in the Chivo wallet, limit public-sector involvement in Bitcoin-related activities, and make it optional for the private sector to accept the cryptocurrency. Chivo was launched in 2021, the same year that El Salvador made history by recognising Bitcoin as legal tender.
It was meant to make transactions easier and, at first, offered customers a $30 Bitcoin bonus to get them to use it. But the wallet has been criticised for technical problems, fraud allegations, and insufficient use over time. If the transaction goes through, it might shift operations to private companies, allowing non-government wallets to serve consumers without the government being directly involved.
Mixed Signals About Bitcoin Accumulation
Even though the IMF deal limits new Bitcoin purchases, it's still unclear whether people are following the rules. The fund said earlier this year that there had been no purchases since December 2024.
However, El Salvador's National Bitcoin Office has continued to make public announcements of buying, including a batch of 1,090 Bitcoin worth almost $100 million in November.
At the end of the day on Monday, the government owned 7,509 Bitcoin, which was worth about $659 million at the time. President Nayib Bukele, who was behind the 2021 Bitcoin law, had promised in March that the daily purchase plan, buying at least one Bitcoin a day, would continue no matter what happened outside.
What This Means For Bitcoin Strategy In General
The Chivo talks show how El Salvador's ambitious cryptocurrency experiment is causing problems with international financial control. For a long time, the IMF has been worried about how volatile risks could affect state finances and consumer protection.
The financing arrangement was a step forward after years of tense talks, but the wallet's future and continued Bitcoin purchases indicate that there are still issues to be worked out.
People who watch say that privatising Chivo might keep Bitcoin accessible by letting the market find solutions, even if the government stops running Chivo directly.
As talks continue, the results of the Chivo sale and the Bitcoin policy discussions will likely shape the next steps for the IMF's funding and El Salvador's status as the first country in the world to use Bitcoin as legal tender.
UNI Price Outlook: How Uniswap’s 100M Token Burn Could Impact UNI’s Market Value
In December 2025, the Uniswap governance community voted decisively in favour of the UNIfication proposal. This plan would burn 100 million UNI tokens from the treasury and turn on long-awaited protocol fees, enabling continuous token burns linked to trading activity.
This decision, which got more than 69 million votes, which is more than the 40 million quorum level, marks a significant change in Uniswap's tokenomics.
The goal is to more closely link the UNI token to the protocol's revenue generation and reduce its circulating supply so it can gain value. Uniswap is the largest decentralised exchange, with monthly trading volume exceeding $150 billion across more than 30 blockchains.
Its choice could establish a standard for long-term DeFi economics. Using recent data on governance and market analysis, this study examines the proposal's components, the immediate market reaction (a 16% price rise), and the possible effects on UNI's market value, while accounting for the volatility of the crypto market.
This analysis assesses the potential of a deflationary strategy to improve UNI's long-term sustainability in light of prevailing DeFi trends, integrating information from community votes, management remarks, and economic models.
Information on the UNification Proposal
The UNIfication proposal, which was officially submitted for governance vote on December 19, 2025, includes changes to Uniswap's ecosystem, including turning on a fee switch, burning tokens retroactively, and adding incentives for liquidity providers.
The suggestion comes from talks about how to make UNI more useful. It also discusses the fee switch, which has been part of the protocol since the beginning but has never been used due to regulatory concerns and challenges in getting everyone on the same page.
Some of the most important parts are moving operational duties from the Uniswap Foundation to Uniswap Labs, allocating a $20 million growth budget, and removing fees on interfaces, wallets, and APIs to make it easier for people to use.
This revision intends to make the governance system more cohesive. It has the backing of influential figures, including Jesse Waldren, the founder of Variant; Kain Warwick, the founder of Synthetix; and Ian Lapham, a former engineer at Uniswap Labs, whose significant voting power helped the plan gain traction.
The proposal's design shows that the community is working together to change UNI from a governance-only token to one with direct economic linkages to the protocol's performance. This might be similar to how traditional share buyback models work in crypto.
Voting for the Governance
The vote started on December 19, 2025, at 10:30 PM EST and was supposed to end on December 25. However, it reached quorum in just three days, with over 69 million UNI votes in favour and only 741 against, giving it a near-unanimous approval rate of 99.999%.
This overwhelming support shows that decentralised governance is not always in agreement, but it does show that everyone wants UNI to have a deflationary future.
Hayden Adams, CEO of Uniswap Labs, said that after the formal closure, there would be a 2-day timelock before the fee switch could be enabled for v2 and v3 pools on the Unichain mainnet.
The vote's success, which exceeded the 40 million UNI threshold, shows that the community is working well together and makes Uniswap a good example of how to evolve a protocol strategically through on-chain decision-making.
The 100M UNI Token Burn System
The main idea is to burn 100 million UNI tokens from the treasury, which are worth about $940 million at current prices. This is meant to mimic burns that would have happened if fees had been in place since launch.
This one-time cut is meant to make supply tighter, like when companies buy back their own stock, by permanently removing tokens from circulation and addressing past excess supply.
After the burn, automated systems will use protocol revenues to do frequent buybacks and burns. This will create a deflationary economy in which trade volume directly affects token scarcity. Economic studies show that these burns can increase token value by rebalancing supply and demand, but the results depend on how long the protocol has been in use.
Activation of Fee Switch and Revenue Overhaul
The fee switch will send some of the trade fees that were previously directed only to liquidity providers to protocol-level burning. This will start on the Unichain mainnet and then move to Layer 2s, additional Layer 1s, Uniswap v4, and UniswapX.
The Protocol Fee Discount Auctions mechanism will also allow liquidity providers to bid for lower fees, potentially increasing their yields and encouraging them to create deeper liquidity pools.
This revenue model connects UNI's economics to Uniswap's $4 trillion in historical trading activity, turning it into an asset tied to cash flow rather than a speculative governance token. Supporters say that this alignment "makes UNI more valuable for holders," but critics point out that it could lead to lower treasury funds and higher implementation risks.
Immediate Market Reactions and Price Surge
After the vote, UNI's price rose 16.27% from $5.30 to $6.16 over just a few days. This shows that the market was hopeful about lower supply and higher revenue.
jump, which put UNI 39th in the world with a market worth of $3.8 billion, shows that investors expect deflationary forces to make things harder to find. In the past, token burning has led to short-term benefits in DeFi, but long-term growth requires strong protocol growth.
What Analysts Think About UNI's Value Effect
Analysts see the burn as a "powerful economic tool" that may "affect supply and demand dynamics," similar to share buybacks that could increase value. Hayden Adams stressed that after the timelock, "100m UNI will be burned" along with fee activations, putting UNI in a position to capture structural value.
Supporters, including Kain Warwick, say it "aligns Uniswap's scale with its token economics," which could make UNI a stronger asset. But the results depend on how well things are done. Some people say, "The UNI token burn impact in 2025 might look good now, but it's a gamble, not a guarantee."
After the timelock ends, the burn and fee switch will turn on. This might further raise UNI's value due to lower supply and burns tied to revenue. If trading volumes are high, this could help UNI stay strong in DeFi. This plan could be a model for DeFi tokenomics in the long run, but market volatility and adoption rates will decide how long it lasts.
References
Crypto News: "Uniswap to burn 100M UNI tokens as community backs “UNIfication” proposal."
How Secure Are Anonymous Crypto Wallets in 2025?
KEY TAKEAWAYS
Anonymous crypto wallets in 2025 remain highly secure when users follow strict self-custody practices to protect against online threats while preserving privacy.
Emerging AI-driven threats, including deepfake phishing and malware infostealers, pose a significant threat to anonymous wallets.
Global regulations in 2025 primarily target custodial services, leaving non-custodial anonymous wallets unrestricted and reinforcing their role as a secure option for privacy-focused users.
Top anonymous wallets such as Wasabi and Zashi offer strong privacy through advanced protocols.
Adopting best practices such as manual seed phrase storage, Tor usage, and asset segregation ensures anonymous wallets can withstand 2025's sophisticated threats in a user-responsible security model.
Anonymous crypto wallets, which are mostly non-custodial solutions that let users transact without proving their identity, remain very important for protecting financial privacy amid greater governmental scrutiny and more advanced cyber threats.
These wallets don't require Know Your Customer (KYC) verification, allowing users to retain possession of their private keys. This makes them more anonymous, but it also means that the user is responsible for their own security. As global crypto losses hit $3.1 billion in the first half of the year, primarily due to phishing attacks and wallet breaches, the safety of these technologies has come under scrutiny.
This article examines the resilience of anonymous wallets, utilising industry evaluations from security experts and regulatory assessments, emphasising their advantages in self-custody models while addressing vulnerabilities intensified by AI-driven fraud and legal frameworks.
This analysis aims to provide a comprehensive review of how different wallets fare in ensuring secure, private cryptocurrency management in an era marked by both innovation and risk, synthesising data on threat landscapes, best practices, and regional policies.
What Are Anonymous Crypto Wallets And What Are Their Main Security Features?
Anonymous crypto wallets are usually non-custodial, meaning users retain full control of their private keys without any third-party assistance. This helps them make transactions without revealing their identity. Wasabi Wallet, Sparrow Wallet, Zashi, Nunchuk, and combinations like Silent.link with Mutiny Wallet are some of the best examples in 2025.
Each of these wallets uses advanced privacy features, including CoinJoin protocols, Tor routing, and zero-knowledge proofs to hide transaction details.
Different types of wallets have different security characteristics. For example, hardware wallets from Ledger use secure elements and tamper-proof circuits to keep keys offline, making them immune to malware on the internet. Software wallets, on the other hand, use encryption and multi-factor authentication that the user controls.
For example, Wasabi's WabiSabi CoinJoin combines transactions to break linkages, and Zashi's shielded z-addresses use zero-knowledge technology to mask the sender, receiver, and amounts. These features not only protect privacy but also make things safer by lowering the chance of centralised threats. However, they require strict user discipline to avoid linking through bad habits like reusing addresses.
It's essential to know the difference between hardware and software: Hardware wallets let you store your money offline, making them less vulnerable to online attacks. Software wallets, on the other hand, are easy to use but can get infected by malware.
Seed words, which are secret recovery sequences, are the best way to control things, but you need to write them down and store them safely to avoid losing everything if they are stolen.
In general, the safety of anonymous wallets depends on decentralised designs that prioritise user sovereignty. This aligns with Bitcoin's spirit, but it also means finding a balance between ease of use and safety.
New Risks to Anonymous Wallets in 2025
In 2025, anonymous crypto wallets are at risk of attacks using advanced AI and malware-as-a-service. Infostealers like RedLine and Lumma are targeting wallet interfaces to steal private keys and seed phrases.
Phishing is still the most common type of attack, but it has evolved into deepfake schemes that use AI to clone voices and impersonate people in real time.
Right-Hand reports that these types of attacks have increased by 1,633% in the first quarter. Malicious browser extensions that mimic popular wallets and infected software, such as PDF converters that hijack transactions, are examples of malware sub-vectors.
Smart contract risks, such as blind signatures, put consumers at even greater risk by allowing people to approve transactions they shouldn't, as shown by losses of more than $50 million in separate cases.
CoinJoin schemes like Wasabi's are vulnerable to the coordinator trust model, in which mediators could be exploited. Tools like Zashi are vulnerable to metadata leaks if viewing keys are not handled properly. Regulatory scrutiny adds another layer, as Privacy coins must comply with exchange regulations, which might make them less liquid and leave users more vulnerable to phishing on bogus platforms.
CertiK says that "most of the losses have come from wallet compromises and phishing," underscoring the importance of caution in environments where individual users are easy targets.
Chainalysis says that crime in the first half of 2025 was "more devastating than the whole of 2024." This shows how dangers that exploit anonymity characteristics can worsen if they aren't handled effectively.
How Regulations Affect The Safety and Privacy of Wallets
In 2025, global rules will mostly affect custodial services and centralised exchanges. Non-custodial, anonymous wallets will be less affected, protecting user privacy without requiring them to follow KYC or AML rules.
The Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) framework in the EU requires service providers to maintain capital reserves and be transparent about their operations, but it does not restrict self-custody; thus, anonymous wallets can still operate freely.
The SEC and CFTC in the U.S. don't work together very well, and they focus on enforcing rules on platforms rather than on personal wallets.
In Asia, on the other hand, there are different rules: Singapore and Japan focus on licensing exchanges, while China's ban stops trading but allows people to keep their own coins. Countries in Latin America, including El Salvador, promote flexible wallets that don't limit people's ability to stay anonymous.
These policies indirectly make things safer by compelling custodial companies to take strong steps, such as disclosing risks and maintaining reserves, thereby improving conditions across the ecosystem. But they go against anonymity by making compliance more expensive for centralised providers.
This could lead consumers to non-custodial choices like Trust Wallet, which doesn't hold private keys and handles more than 10 million assets without verification. Regulations for anonymous wallets are like a double-edged sword: they protect the integrity of the market as a whole while also scrutinizing privacy technologies. For example, some places have banned Zcash trading.
How to Keep Anonymous Wallets Safe
To keep their anonymous wallets as safe as possible, users should follow basic rules like keeping their keys offline on hardware devices, managing their seed phrases safely by writing them down, and storing them without digital copies.
Tor routing, like in Sparrow and Nunchuk, hides IP addresses, and currency control stops transactions from being linked. To avoid phishing, check URLs, ignore urgent claims, and never enter seed words online. For smart contracts, ensure you sign clearly and quickly cancel authorisation.
Separating assets into different wallets reduces the damage that breaches can cause, while regular firmware updates protect against new threats. Users of non-custodial wallets like Trust Wallet should check their recovery phrases immediately after they are generated to ensure they are safe.
These procedures, along with open-source audits, bring anonymous wallets up to 2025 security standards. This puts the onus on users to keep their privacy.
Problems and the Future
Even while things have gotten better, there are still problems, such as users making mistakes when setting things up, as seen in the multisig issues with Nunchuk, and changing regulatory demands that may make privacy protocols harder to monitor.
Hacken said that "$3.1 billion in crypto was lost in the first six months of the year," which shows how serious the situation is. In the future, new technologies in AI-resistant security and decentralised nodes could make anonymous wallets stronger.
These could work alongside features that comply with the law, such as selective disclosure, to strike a balance between privacy and accountability.
FAQs
What defines an anonymous crypto wallet in 2025?
Anonymous wallets are non-custodial, allowing users to transact without KYC, using features like Tor and CoinJoin to hide identities and transaction details.
How do regulations affect the security of anonymous wallets?
Regulations target custodial services, enhancing ecosystem security through mandates like reserves, but leave non-custodial anonymous wallets unrestricted for privacy.
What are the main threats to anonymous wallets?
Key threats include phishing, malware infostealers, and smart contract exploits, with AI-driven deepfakes surging in prevalence.
How can users secure their seed phrases?
Record seed phrases manually, store them physically in secure locations, and never enter them online or share them digitally.
Which anonymous wallets are recommended for 2025?
Top options include Wasabi for CoinJoin, Sparrow for precision control, and Zashi for shielded Zcash transactions, each offering strong privacy and security.
References
Ledger: "Crypto Wallet Security Checklist 2025: Protect Crypto with Ledger."
Trust Wallet: "Global Crypto Regulation in 2025: What It Means for Your Wallet."
Coincub: "Top 5 Anonymous Crypto Wallets for Ultimate Privacy in 2025."
Chainalysis: "2025 Crypto Crime Report: Mid-Year Update."
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