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AUD/USD Forecast: RBA Decision vs Hawkish Fed Risks Cap Near-Term Upside
The AUD/USD forecast edges to the downside despite a hotter inflation print as the yields fell sharply, suggesting only a single RBA hike in the near term. Trump’s nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair lifts the US dollar, as markets view the decision as less dovish. COT positioning suggests reduced AUD longs,...
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EUR/USD Weekly Forecast: Bulls Fading from Multi-Year Top Ahead of ECB, NFP
The EUR/USD weekly forecast points to a corrective downside despite the pair ending the week with net gains, as the US dollar recovered slightly. Upbeat US PPI and the Fed’s hold in its recent meeting lent room to the falling dollar. The markets will closely watch the ECB rate decision and US employment data for...
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GBP/USD Weekly Forecast: Firm USD Risks Break of 1.37, Eyes on BoE, NFP
The GBP/USD weekly forecast remains slightly subdued as the markets pared partial weekly gains amid dollar recovery and profit-taking. Fed’s data dependency and resilient UK economy continue to balance the GBP/USD. Market participants eye the US NFP and the BoE interest rate decision to gauge further directional bias. The GBP/USD price closed its second consecutive...
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Gold Outlook: Strong Selling Amid Firm Dollar Ahead of US PPI
The gold outlook remains slightly deteriorated after a 4% plunge in a single session amid profit-taking. The structural demand for gold stays intact, with institutional targets set at $6,200 by mid-2026. Gold’s path could be bumpy depending on US macroeconomic data releases. Gold has been experiencing increased volatility after breaking the $5,500 barrier. The metal...
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USD/JPY Price Holds Firm as Markets Re price Fed and BoJ Expectations
USD/JPY price analysis tilts to the upside as the dollar recovers on the Fed hold and the US Senate approval to avoid a shutdown. BoJ remains highly accommodative, keeping the yield differential unattractive for yen buyers. FX intervention warnings keep yen losses in check. USD/JPY is consolidating after recent gains. The pair remains supported by...
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GBP/USD Forecast: Holds Bid as Dollar Confidence Frays; 1.3925 in View
The GBP/USD forecast remains tilted to the upside, aiming for 1.3925 as the dollar loses further after the FOMC meeting. Despite the rates on hold and Powell’s reminder of higher inflation, the dollar could not find buyers amid Fed independence concerns. Option markets reveal the highest negative level since last May for GBP 3-month risk...
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AUD/USD Outlook: Bulls Continue a 3-day Rally Amid Dovish Fed
The AUD/USD outlook remains strongly constructive as the dovish Fed further weakened the dollar, giving the pair another push to fresh highs. Elevated inflation in Australia supports the case of a hawkish RBA with two hikes in 2026. Technically, the pair remains supported as long as it stays above 0.7000. AUD/USD is trading near 0.7080...
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GBP/USD Forecast: Eying 1.4000 Amid Fed Independence Fears Ahead of FOMC
The GBP/USD forecast points to further gains to 1.4000 provided the Fed shows a dovish stance in today’s meeting. Sterling remains at an advantage against the dollar amid recent upbeat UK data, pushing the BoE to rethink its aggressive easing policy. Technically, the price remains in a strong uptrend with a risk of profit-taking before...
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Gold Price Analysis: Eying $5,300 Amid Weak Dollar, Geopolitics
Gold price analysis suggests continued upside, with prices posting fresh record highs. Safe-haven demand and a weaker dollar maintain the bullish case for gold. Declining yields and dovish Fed expectations keep the gold dips attractive for buyers. Gold spot prices are at all-time highs amid strong safe-haven demand, a structurally weaker US dollar, and changing...
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GBP/USD Price Analysis: Consolidating Gains Under 6-Month Peak Ahed of FOMC
The GBP/USD price analysis suggests a bullish pound amid the data divergence between the US and the UK economies. Higher UK inflation could restrain the BoE from hikes at the Feb meeting, while the Fed’s two rate cuts are already priced in by the markets. Traders are focusing on the FOMC meeting, with attention on...
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AUD/USD Forecast: Fed Concerns Lift Aussie Ahead of CPI, FOMC
The AUD/USD forecast edges higher as the US dollar remains soft ahead of the Fed meeting. Higher Australian yields and potentially elevated inflation could push the RBA to hike at the Feb meeting. Fed uncertainty and global risk sentiment favor the Aussie over the USD in the near term. AUD/USD is holding under a 16-month...
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EUR/USD Price Analysis: Dollar Weakness vs Fed Risk – GDP, HICP in Focus
The EUR/USD price analysis suggests strong bullish momentum, heading towards 1.1900 amid broad dollar weakness. Eurozone data remained mixed, keeping the ECB steady instead of supportive. Markets eye the FOMC rate decision and press conference this week as a major event. The EUR/USD price is trading higher mainly amid a weaker dollar, not because the...
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USD/JPY Outlook: Sellers Dominate on Intervention Risk, Hawkish BoJ
The USD/JPY outlook remains strongly bearish as intervention risks, a hawkish BoJ, and a weaker dollar ignite a reversal. The report of the NY Fed verifying USD/JPY levels with the dealers was considered a hint of intervention. Markets await the FOMC rate decision and Japan’s key data releases for more trading opportunities. The USD/JPY price...
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GBP/USD Weekly Forecast: Upbeat UK Data Pushing to 1.37 Ahead of FOMC
The GBP/USD weekly forecast turns strongly bullish as the dollar loses traction amid geopolitics. The upbeat UK CPI, retail sales, and PMI data provided adequate support to the pair. Markets await the FOMC rate decision and press conference next week. GBPUSD ended last week with sterling fundamentals improving, but price action still leaned heavily on...
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EUR/USD Weekly Forecast: Fed Meeting Dominates as Trump Headlines Drive Risk
The EUR/USD weekly forecast edges higher amid geopolitical risk and Fed worries, as the US dollar weakened. Easing US-EU trade war concerns outweighed the upbeat US Q3 GDP and unemployment claims data. Coming week, the markets await the FOMC rate decision with major focus on the press conference. The EURUSD price was driven far more...
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USD/CAD Forecast: Bearish Under 1.38 Amid Stable WTI & Improved Risk, US PMI Eyed
The USD/CAD forecast remains strongly bearish under 1.3800 as the geopolitical risks ease. Upbeat US GDP data failed to sustain buying pressure for the US dollar. Stable oil prices and receding oversupply concerns continue to support the loonie. USD/CAD has stabilized around 1.3790 after snapping a four-day losing streak, as the US dollar finds a...
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GBP/USD Price Analysis: Pound Firm Amid Surprising UK Retail Sales, Await PMI Data
The GBP/USD price analysis points to a bullish scenario, as UK retail sales surprise markets with an upbeat number. The US dollar could not gain traction despite better Q3 GDP and sustained Core PCE figures. The markets now await UK PMI data in the next two hours, followed by US PMIs in the New York...
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EUR/USD Price Analysis: Dollar Holds Firm on Easing Tensions, Fed Caution
EUR/USD price analysis remains range-bound despite eased US-EU tensions over Greenland. The Fed’s patience and the ECB’s growth concerns continue to weigh on the euro. Markets await US initial jobless claims, Core PCE, and GDP data for directional bias. EUR/USD traded around 1.1685 on Thursday after bouncing 0.3% on Wednesday. However, the pair remains stuck...
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AUD/USD Outlook: Strong Jobs Data Fuels Aussie to 15-Month High
The AUD/USD outlook remains firm, reaching the 15-month top after the upbeat Australian jobs report. Recent data could push the RBA toward hikes, provided inflation remains elevated in next week’s data release. US Core PCE and Q3 GDP remain today’s major releases to find further directional bias. The Australian dollar hit a 15-month high at...
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GBP/USD Price Analysis: Firm Near 1.3450 as UK CPI Rebounds Mildly
The GBP/USD price analysis remains firm after UK CPI reports a mild rebound to 3.4% against the expected 3.3%. Sticky inflation fades the odds of the BoE easing soon as the figures lie well above the 2% target. Markets await UK retail sales, PMIs, and US inflation and GDP data this week. GBP/USD is trading...
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